The North Carolina Tar Heels host the Arizona Wildcats in the Chapel Hill Super Regional for the 2025 NCAA Baseball Tournament.
North Carolina enters as a -330 favorite to advance to the College World Series, while Arizona sits at +250.
Let's dive into our UNC vs. Arizona prediction and NCAA baseball picks for the Chapel Hill Super Regional.
UNC vs Arizona Prediction
- Game 1: North Carolina -2.5 (-115 at bet365)
We have one best bet for the Chapel Hill Super Regional. Check out more college baseball content on our NCAA Baseball page.
UNC vs Arizona Odds
 | UNC Odds | -330 (Series) |
 | Arizona Odds | +250 (Series) |
Read Doug Ziefel's full college baseball betting preview for the 2025 NCAA Super Regionals here.
Projected Pitching Matchups for Chapel Hill Super Regional
- Game 1: Jake Knapp (UNC) vs. Owen Kramkowski (ARI) · Friday, June 6, 12 p.m. ET (ESPN2)
- Game 2: Jason DeCaro (UNC) vs. Smith Bailey (ARI) · Saturday, June 7, 12 p.m. ET (ESPN2)
- Game 3 ( If necessary): Aidan Haugh (UNC) vs. Raul Garayzar (ARI) · Sunday, June 8
It’s clear the North Carolina Tar Heels have a big edge in this series. Their -330 series price on DraftKings indicates a 76.7% implied probability that they win this series.
The Tar Heels' path to Omaha got much easier with Oregon losing in Regionals, and now North Carolina has a sizable pitching advantage over the Arizona Wildcats.
While the Wildcats are nowhere near a bad pitching staff, they're a rung below the Tar Heels. Ultimately, UNC ranked third in ERA and eighth in WHIP, while Arizona came in at 33rd and 36th, respectively.
At the dish, both of these lineups got hot as Regionals progressed. Arizona put up 28 runs over its final two games, and the Tar Heels outscored their opponents, 38-14, over four games.
Arizona may be closer to the Tar Heels than the series price implies, but I don’t have it stealing Game 1 by any means. That puts the Wildcats in a tough spot, as the Tar Heels' pitching advantage only grows from there.
If you bought in on the Tar Heels to win the College World Series prior to Regionals, you’ve gotten value because their price now sits at +700.
However, they may still be one of the best buys on the board, as they won’t have to contend with LSU or Arkansas in pool play in the College World Series.
UNC vs Arizona Pick, Best Bets
Pick: Game 1: North Carolina -2.5 (-115 at bet365)
