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Virginia vs. Duke Odds & Betting Predictions - February 28, 2026

Virginia at Duke

5:00 pm • ESPN

Virginia Cavaliers

29-5
51
51 - 77

Duke Blue Devils

32-2
77

Virginia at Duke Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Virginia
29-5
+9.5
+10.5-112
o143-107
+410
Duke
32-2
u137.5
-10.5-107
u143-110
-600
location pinSaturday 5:00 p.m.
February 28, 2026
Cameron Indoor StadiumDurham
Virginia vs. Duke Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 88-81-5 (+1.3u)
Under 141.5 (Live)-110
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 117-120-6 (-13.5u)
Over 143-110
1.1u
Mike McNamara
Mike McNamara
Last 30d: 48-64-0 (+1.9u)
UVA +9.5-110
0.2u
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 129-132-0 (+11.3u)
UVA +10.5-115
1u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 92-75-1 (+3.4u)
C.Boozer u21.5 Pts+100
1u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 196-246-3 (-0.5u)
UVA +10.5-110
$1.10
John Feltman
John Feltman
Last 30d: 20-24-0 (-3.8u)
UVA +10.5-110
0.55u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 31-35-1 (+0.5u)
UVA +10.5-110
0.3u
Kendra Middleton
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 3-10-0 (-7.3u)
DUKE -10.5-107
0.93u
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 30-52-0 (-12.9u)
Over 140.5+104
1u
80-point games by UVA from 2020 through 2025: 13 80-point games by UVA this season: 18 A pair of top 15 defenses collide, but both teams have been willing to play more uptempo. Duke has hit 80+ in 9 ACC games, and only one high scoring game was sweaty late (4 pt win @ FSU) Every quality ACC defense Odom’s team has faced, they’ve passed the test, scoring at least 76 against Louisville, Miami (FL), NC State (2x) and UNC
JMann
JMann
Last 30d: 20-30-0 (-9.9u)
UVA +10.5-105
1u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 264-361-20 (-23.9u)
Over 137-110
0.55u
Sean Paul
Sean Paul
Last 30d: 19-23-1 (-3.4u)
Under 137.5-107
0.93u
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Virginia vs. Duke Previews & Analysis

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    Our 5 CBB Best Bets for a Loaded Saturday

    Action Network Staff•
    Feb 28, 2026 UTC
  • Virginia vs Duke: Defensive Contest article feature image

    Virginia vs Duke: Defensive Contest

    Sean Paul•
    Feb 28, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Virginia vs. Duke Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Virginia

Public

Home Logo

Duke

44%

Bets%

56%

Money%

NCAAB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Duke are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
  • Duke are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Duke are 8-3 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Duke' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Duke' 23 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Duke		19-1511-128-315-131-0
Virginia		18-1612-106-614-134-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Duke		12-228-154-710-180-1
Virginia		15-1910-125-712-152-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Duke		32-2N/AN/A26-21-0
Virginia		29-5N/AN/A24-33-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Feb 25th@NDW 100-56-17 WO 142DUKE -2000
Feb 21stMICHW 68-63+2.5 WU 150.5DUKE +138
Feb 17thSYRW 101-64-20.5 WO 144.5DUKE -5000
Feb 14thCLEMW 67-54-13.5 LU 134DUKE -1200
Feb 11th@PITTW 70-54-17.5 LU 136.5DUKE -2800
Team Stats

16-55 (29%)
Field Goals
26-53 (49%)
12-13 (92%)
Free Throws
13-14 (93%)
7-35 (20%)
3P
12-24 (50%)
25
Rebounds
34
10
Assists
17
8
Turnovers
8
4
Steals
6
4
Blocks
1
15
Fouls
16

Virginia vs. Duke Odds Comparison

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Virginia at Duke Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Virginia
29-5
N/A
N/A
Duke
32-2
N/A
N/A