2024 March Madness Odds & Predictions to Win NCAA Tournament, Make Final Four
Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Detail of the March Madness logo on the court.
One half of the Sweet 16 is already in the books and the next set of games are set for Friday as March Madness rolls on. Here's what you need to know about 2024 odds to win the NCAA Tournament, odds to make the Final Four, and our expert predictions.
The UConn Huskies are the favorites to win the 2024 NCAA Tournament at +120. Our expert prediction gives UConn a 29;9% chance of winning the championship.
Throughout this year's men's college basketball tournament, we've been updating the 2024 March Madness odds and our expert predictions to win the 2024 NCAA Tournament and to make the Final Four for every team in the field.
In addition, our director of predictive analytics, Sean Koerner, is predicting the chances of each team to win the tournament and to make the Final Four, as well as setting his own lines on all of the teams and their 2024 NCAA Tournament odds to win the championship.
In the tables below, we've compared our expert projected odds with the available NCAA futures. Teams that are showing value between our predictions and the available lines are bolded and highlighted in green. If you're looking for predictions and best bets on who will win the 2024 NCAA Tournament or who will make the Final Four, these are best, data-driven projections you will find.
2024 March Madness Odds & Predictions to Win NCAA Tournament
Odds via FanDuel and as of Friday at 12:45 a.m. ET.
| Team | NCAA Tournament Odds | Expert Prediction | Expert Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | +120 | 29.9% | +335 |
| Houston | +600 | 15.1% | +663 |
| Purdue | +600 | 13.2% | +757 |
| Tennessee | +1000 | 8.5% | +1179 |
| Marquette | +1600 | 4.6% | +2153 |
| Alabama | +1600 | 9.3% | +1070 |
| Illinois | +1700 | 6.7% | +1486 |
| Duke | +2300 | 5.7% | +1749 |
| Creighton | +2300 | 2.3% | +4407 |
| Gonzaga | +2700 | 2.2% | +4604 |
| Clemson | +3500 | 2.3% | +4268 |
| NC State | +10000 | 0.1% | +74250 |
Alabama appears to have good value in the betting market compared to Koerner’s projections, while Illinois is closer after its Thursday win.
UConn at +120 is wild to see with 12 teams left in the field, and the Huskies aren’t showing any value in the market, according to Koerner.
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out the new user FanDuel promo code offer before placing your bets on the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
Of course, those are just the available NCAA Tournament odds at FanDuel, so be sure to shop around at your available sportsbooks and compare the live lines to our expert projections.
2024 March Madness Odds & Predictions to Make Final Four
| Team | Final Four Odds | Expert Prediction | Expert Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | -430 | 69.1% | -203 |
| Alabama | -152 | 64.2% | -156 |
| Houston | +100 | 44% | +227 |
| Purdue | +120 | 40.5% | +247 |
| Clemson | +126 | 35.8% | +279 |
| Marquette | +200 | 27.5% | +364 |
| Tennessee | +210 | 31.5% | +318 |
| Illinois | +330 | 30.9% | +324 |
| Duke | +350 | 24.7% | +404 |
| Creighton | +450 | 14.3% | +577 |
| Gonzaga | +500 | 13.7% | +730 |
| NC State | +1400 | 3.8% | +2625 |
Are you in North Carolina? North Carolina sports betting came online on March 11, so you can bet legally at major sportsbooks today. Learn more.
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