College Basketball Betting Odds & Picks: How to Bet the Oregon State-Arizona Total
Chris Coduto/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Zeke Nnaji
- Both Oregon State and Arizona have struggled shooting the ball lately, driving the total all the way down to 138.5.
- Michael Calabrese thinks that both the Wildcats and the Beavers may have better luck on Thursday in Tucson, but will it be enough to clear 138.5?
- See Calabrese's full betting breakdown and analysis below.
The Arizona Wildcats have righted the ship down the stretch, and could wake up on Friday morning in sole possession of first place in the Pac-12.
For that to happen, they’ll need to enact some revenge on Oregon State. The Beavers blasted the Wildcats by 17 points up in Corvallis back in mid-January, but have since hit a skid.
Can Arizona return the favor and boat race the Beavers in Tucson, or should they be put on upset alert?
Oregon State at Arizona Odds
- Spread: Arizona -10.5
- Over/Under: 139.5
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: Pac-12 Network
Both Arizona and Oregon State have gone under the closing number in three straight games, which is why this total has dipped below 140. When you combine their season scoring averages, this matchup checks in at 150.2, but recent performance indicates these offenses have gone cold.
When you drill down deeper and examine home and away splits for Arizona, it’s fairly clear that they’re a cut above at home. The Wildcats’ backcourt deals in extremes, shooting 27.4% from three-point range on the road and 35.3% from deep at home.
Freshman star Nico Mannion must be thrilled to be come back to campus after a two-game road trip to the Bay Area. Mannion shot 5-for-19 from the field and 0-for-7 from long range against Cal and Stanford.
When he’s clicking, the Arizona offense (17th nationally) can really put up big numbers. When Mannion goes for 16 points or more, U-of-A overs have cashed in three of the last four.
Winners of five of its last six straight-up, Arizona appears ready for their Oregon homestand.
Oregon State, on the other hand, hasn’t scored more than 70 points in a month and is in desperate need of a vintage Tres Tinkle performance. The senior stretch four hasn’t topped 20 points in his last seven games, and he’s gone absolutely ice cold from three-point land.
This spread and total essentially come down to the shooting prowess of Arizona’s backcourt and Tres Tinkle. Recent history indicates that the Wildcats will experience an accuracy bump from long range when firing shots at home.
And Tinkle is much closer to a 35% shooter from three-point range than what he’s shown in the past month. A return to the mean for both teams should be enough to push this game over the low total.
Pick: Over 138.5