CBB Sharp Report: Loyola Marymount-Georgetown Attracting Wiseguy Action
Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Georgetown Hoyas head coach Patrick Ewing
- Pro bettors are getting down on three Friday college basketball games, headlined by Loyola Marymount-Georgetown (7 p.m. ET).
- Sharps are also betting Towson-Pepperdine (8 p.m. ET) and Oakland-UNLV (10 p.m. ET).
Professional bettors are always looking for an edge. When it comes to college hoops, one of the best kept sharp secrets is betting unders in neutral court games.
The unfamiliar rims, backboards and “road” games for both sides have historically led to lower-scoring games. Since 2005, neutral court unders have hit at a 53.6% clip with +108.48 units won.
The best time of year for neutral court unders is right now. In November, teams haven’t gelled yet. Players are still getting used to each other.
Coaches are installing their playbook and defenses are ahead of offenses, which makes the edge even more valuable.
After analyzing Friday’s massive 58-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three NCAAB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7 p.m., 8 p.m. and 10 p.m. ET.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
>> All odds as of 2:00 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets.
Loyola Marymount vs Georgetown
7 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 149 to 147)
Pros and Joes appear to be on the same side of this neutral court under.
The total opened at 149. Currently 86% of bets and 93% of dollars are taking the under. This overload of sharp and square action dropped the total down to 147.
Sports Insights has also tracked three profitable bet signals all on the under. Wiseguys hit the under 149 as soon as the line opened. Then sharps doubled down on the under 148 again this afternoon.
Towson vs Pepperdine
8 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: The Dine (moved from -1 to -3)
We’ve seen some massive line movement toward Pepperdine in this one.
The Waves are getting moderate public support but big sharp action. Currently 63% of bets are taking the short favorites, but it accounts for a whopping 96% of dollars.
Wiseguys across the market hammered Pepperdine at -1.5, triggering a pair of steam and reverse line moves. This overload of sharp action has pushed the line all the way to -3.
Oakland at UNLV
10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 148.5 to 145.5)
This isn’t a neutral court game, but it checks off all the boxes for sharp under bettors.
Seventy-one percent of bets are taking the over, but 81% of dollars are on the under. This massive bets vs. dollars discrepancy is evidence of predominantly five-dollar Average Joes going over, but big smart money wagers going under.
The total opened at 148.5. Pros hammered the under across the market, triggering three separate steam and reverse line moves that dropped the total down to 145.5.