Twenty-six college hoops games will tip off this evening, and sharps are making moves on a handful of them, including what could be the most heavily bet game of the night: an SEC showdown between Kentucky and Texas A&M.
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Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
7 p.m. ET
Most bets on this game have landed on the favorite, which, as you'll see, will be the case for every game on this sharp card. Sixty-seven percent of tickets in this case have come on the eighth-ranked Wildcats, who opened as 7-point favorites across most of the market, and even at -8 at the earliest shops.
That line has come down to just -6 as of the late morning, however.
The 33% backing of Texas A&M has generated 64% of actual money, and while that obviously creates a monetary liability for sportsbooks, it more importantly points out the opinion of bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.
Confirming pro action to be at the root of the cause for the line move, two Sports Insights Bet Signals on Texas A&M have revealed two instances of sharp money hitting a a 6.5-point spread, and helping to push the line down to its current number.
Sharp angle: Texas A&M (moved from +7 to +6)
DePaul vs. Xavier
7 p.m. ET
A very similar betting market story is taking place in this Big East matchup. Xavier opened as an 8-point favorite, and like Kentucky, has dropped by a point to -7 despite attracting the majority of bettors.
Once again, 67% of bets have landed on favorite, and once again they've made up for a smaller percentage of actual money (44%).
Another two Bet Signals have hit DePaul at +8, confirming pros to be taking the points with an underdog again.
Sharp angle: DePaul (moved from +8 to +7)
Kansas State vs. Baylor
8 p.m. ET
Even as one of the biggest favorites on the Tuesday slate, No. 2 Baylor has had no trouble garnering a majority backing tonight against Kansas State. A conference record of 13-1 hosting a team at 2-12 makes the spread almost meaningless to the casual bettor, I suppose.
In any case, the 26% of bettors taking K-State have once again generated a significantly higher percentage of money (53%), and the line has fallen from Baylor -15 to -14.
An SI Bet Signal along the way at +14.5 has served as confirmation of pro action on the underdog.
Sharp angle: Kansas State (moved from +15 to +14)
Colorado State vs. San Diego State
11 p.m. ET
One of two 11 p.m. ET tips tonight, this game is following right along with the pattern set by the games above.
The fifth-ranked Aztecs opened as 14-point favorites over Colorado State, but are now listed at -13.5, despite also drawing 71% of spread bettors. But with those bettors generating just 40% of money and another pair of Bet Signals confirming the sharp underdog action (both at +14), oddsmakers have had no choice but to lower the spread, even though it's given the majority of customers an easier cover.
Sharp angle: Colorado State (moved from +14 to +13.5)
