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CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Texas-TCU, 2 Other Wednesday Games

Jan 23, 2019 4:52 PM EST
Credit:

Texas Longhorns forward Jaxson Hayes (10) and guard Jase Febres (13). Credit: Stephen Spillman-USA TODAY Sports

  • Wiseguys are getting down on three college basketball games Wednesday night, headlined by Texas-TCU (7 p.m. ET on ESPNU).
  • Sharps are also betting Tennessee-Vanderbilt (7 p.m. ET. ESPN2) and La Salle-Fordham (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+).
  • Using the tools available at the Action Network, we analyze how the pros are betting all three games.

The countdown to Super Bowl 53 is officially underway. For the next two weeks, the gambling universe will be fixated on the big game. How will we bide our time until the SB53 sweat begins?

You guessed it. Betting on college hoops.

After breaking down Wednesday’s loaded 42-game college basketball slate using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve pinpointed three games that sharps are focusing in, all starting at 7 p.m. ET.

Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary 


La Salle @ Fordham

7 p.m. ET | ESPN+

Sharp angle: La Salle (moved from +4 to +2)

While casual bettors focus mostly on the marquee televised games, value-minded sharps will look to exploit an edge no matter how big or small a game is. Take, for instance, this overlooked A10 showdown.

Fordham (9-9) opened as a short 4-point favorite against visiting La Salle (3-14). Because of the Explorers’ awful won-loss record, nearly 70% of bets expect an easy cover from Fordham at home.

However, we’ve seen this line fall two full points toward the road dog (+4 to +2). In situations such as this, Average Joes would double down on Fordham, knowing they can now get a better line. But seasoned wiseguys know that if it looks too good to be true, chances are it is.

Wiseguys got down hard on La Salle +3, triggering market-wide reverse line movement. The Explorers are getting only 31% of bets but 61% of dollars, making them a match for the Bet Labs PRO system Money Disparity Causes Line Move (59% ATS since 2005).

Texas @ TCU

7 p.m. ET | ESPNU