Purdue vs. Saint Peter’s Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness Sweet 16

Purdue vs. Saint Peter’s Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness Sweet 16 article feature image

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Purdue vs. Saint Peter's Odds

Purdue Odds-12.5
Saint Peter's Odds+12.5
Opening spread and over/under via BetMGM. Find more March Madness odds here.

After four days of madness, the 2022 NCAA Tournament rolls into the Sweet 16, where No. Higher Purdue will face No. 15 Saint Peter's. Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match up below.

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Projected Purdue vs. Saint Peter's Odds

Projected Purdue Odds-10.5
Projected Saint Peter's Odds+10.5
Projected Over/Under136.8
March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here.

Purdue vs. St. Peter's Matchup Matrix

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Purdue and St. Peter's match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:

Purdue Offense vs. St. Peter's Defense
Turnover %9241
Rebound Rate14166
Free Throw Rate40344

St. Peter's Offense vs. Purdue Defense
Turnover %321342
Rebound Rate5726
Free Throw Rate2911

Pace of Play
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More About Purdue

Stuckey: Purdue came into the season as a legit national title contender, but the Boilermakers have a few issues, primarily on the defensive end. They don’t force turnovers and struggle mightily to defend the perimeter, especially against pick and roll.

The offense, which works through the post as much as almost any team, is absolutely elite in almost every sense outside of a few turnover issues that can creep up. However, I’m just not sure they have the caliber of defense necessary for a national championship.

A good rule of thumb that has almost always held true is you can’t win a national title if the sum of your offensive and defensive efficiency (per KenPom) is greater than 50. Purdue ranks second in offense, but 101st in defense.

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More About Saint Peter's

Kyle Remillard: Saint Peter's own the best defensive efficiency in the MAAC, while allowing just 63 points per game heading into the conference tournament. The Peacocks were also holding opponents to just 31% from 3-point range (42nd) and 46% on 2-point attempts (25th) before tournament play.

Much of that is thanks to one of the top rim protectors in the country in KC Ndefo, who led the conference with 2.5 blocks per game during the regular season.

The defense is undoubtedly elite, but the offense has major question marks.

The Peacocks turn the ball over at a rate outside the top 300 in the country. They were also hitting just 46% of their 2-point attempts heading into the conference tournament, 322nd in the nation at the time. But all those misses have led the Peacocks to grab offensive rebounds at a top-50 rate.

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Nick Sterling
May 29, 2024 UTC