Clemson vs. LSU Prop Bets & Picks: How to Bet Joe Burrow’s Props & 6 Others for National Championship Game
Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Burrow, Justin Jefferson
- According to the latest prop odds for the LSU-Clemson National Championship Game, QB Joe Burrow is expected to throw for more than 350 passing yards, but what's the bet that's offering the most value taking into account the current lines?
- Our college football betting experts dig deep into the prop card, picking out their favorite bets for Burrow, Diondre Overton, Justyn Ross and more.
It’s not quite Super Bowl levels, but there are plenty of wagering options for Monday night’s national title game between Clemson and LSU outside of just the point spread and total.
Here are some of our favorite prop bets for Clemson-LSU.
Clemson vs. LSU Prop Bets
Terrace Marshall Jr. First Touchdown (16-1): bet365 is offering this at 16-1 right now. LSU should get the ball first if Clemson wins the toss, which I like.
Joe Burrow’s weapons are endless. Justin Jefferson has 19 red zone targets and 12 touchdowns, which is why he’s only +650. Ja’Marr Chase has 18 touchdowns this season.
But Marshall comes in at a much better price at 16-1 and he’s been LSU’s most efficient red zone target.
The 6-foot-4 wide receiver has been targeted 12 times in the red zone and come away with 10 touchdowns. — Collin Wilson
First Score is a Clemson FG (+695): This is available at bet365 at 6-1, but can be found elsewhere around the globe at a higher price, nearly 7-1.
There isn’t a ton of analysis for a prop pick like this, but I expect both teams to be able to score some points. All it takes is a flip of a coin to see who gets the ball first and if Clemson has it out of the gate, I think they’ll score.
I simply think there’s a better chance than 7-1 that Clemson ends up with a field goal attempt on its first drive. — Kyle Miller
The right side in the slot is expected to be a hot bed of activity for Clemson, according to LSU efficiency charts. I covered this in-depth in my full betting breakdown of the national title game.
Overton has been apart of designed play-action and screen passes, and may be Lawrence’s most open target with a pair of LSU star corners trying to shut down Tee Higgins and Justyn Ross on the outside.
The senior has averaged just over 30 yards in the past five games, and the matchup gets him over 35 here. — Collin Wilson
Amari Rodgers Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (Bet Now at FanDuel): Injury was the reason behind his slow September start and November fall off.
Rodgers had one reception for 38 yards against the Buckeyes, but should find himself in more open pockets against the middle of LSU’s defense. — Collin Wilson
Joe Burrow Over 0.5 Interceptions (+110): While individual player props may not exist for the defense, this is more of a bet on Isaiah Simmons.
The Clemson linebacker is one of the best havoc-makers in the nation in all areas.
The last time Burrow saw an individual defensive player with this much havoc was in Austin against Texas LB Joseph Ossai. He had a sack and an interception against Burrow in Week 2.
Clemson’s defense should match up with LSU’s receivers on the outside, similar to how Collin described LSU’s defense will match up with Clemson. That should open up the middle of the field.
I think we see a big night from LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the passing game, and we see Burrow use his legs more than he has all year. People forget how athletic he is.
I’ll be keying in on all Burrow rushing props — he’s averaged just over 22 yards per game rushing this season, but will be forced to use his legs a little bit more here. — Stuckey
Justyn Ross Under 69.5 Receiving Yards (Bet now at DraftKings). There’s been something wrong with Justyn Ross all season, and his numbers have regressed since a stellar freshman year.
Despite peppering Ross with target after target against Ohio State, he rarely had separation and didn’t make much happen after the catch. He dealt with a shoulder injury against the Buckeyes and missed most of a game in November with a rib injury and hurt his hip flexor in September.
Ross relied on huge plays last season to reach those ridiculous yards per catch and yards per target numbers you see above. He had nine plays of 40-plus yards in 2018. This year, he has just two.
Clemson continues to look toward Ross, so I don’t feel as confident in under 5.5 catches (especially juiced at -140 or more, which is what most books have as of Sunday night).
But the big plays have not been there — maybe some combination of natural regression and injury — and he’ll need one big play to top 69.5 yards against LSU’s athletic corners. I’ll bet against that. — Steve Petrella