Stuckey, Locky, Wilson: 3 College Football Moneyline Underdogs to Bet for Week 14
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Georgia running back Elijah Holyfield
- Don't forget about moneyline underdogs when finalizing your college football Week 14 bets.
- Three of our college football experts give their best moneyline underdog bets for conference championship weekend.
- If you're feeling lucky, a moneyline parlay of all three pays approximately 26-1.
Like we do each week, we’ll give out our favorite moneyline underdogs on the Week 14 college football slate. Bet one that catches your eye, throw all three in a longshot parlay or just absorb some additional insight ahead of the weekend.
In Week 13, we were able to get Baylor home at +200, while almost getting a juicy payout with Nebraska +335. After breaking even last week, our YTD record stands at 14-24 +5.35 units.
Two of our three underdogs for Week 14 involve teams playing for a conference title. If you’re feeling lucky, a moneyline parlay of all three pays approximately 26-1 .
All three play on Saturday afternoon, so let’s get things started with the Conference USA championship game in Murfreesboro, Tenn.
>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time CFB odds and track your bets
Locky: UAB +110
- Spread: MTSU -1.5
- Over/Under: 44
- Time: 1:30 p.m. ET
- TV: CBSSN
With only 14 games on the schedule for Saturday, there wasn’t much to choose from. As a result, I ended up going with the Blazers as a very small underdog.
I simply think there is too much value to pass up on in a rematch of last week’s game. On this exact same field, UAB was a 3-point favorite in that game and now it is listed as a 1.5-point underdog just seven days later? Why? Because of a loss in a game it clearly mailed it, playing without numerous starters?
The Blazers also had a very basic game plan, as they didn’t really go after the quarterback. I assume they didn’t want to show much on defense. After all, their defensive pressure is the strength of the team; the UAB defense ranks No. 2 in the country in Adjusted Sack Rate, while the MTSU offensive line ranks 103rd.
The forecast calls for nasty weather, which should hurt MTSU’s style much more than UAB. I’m going with the small underdog moneyline here on a week without many options.
Collin Wilson: California +145
- Spread: Stanford -3.5
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- TV: PACN
One of the best West Coast rivalries was rescheduled due to the wildfires and subsequent poor air quality. Both teams have qualified for a bowl at 7-4, but this is still a very important rivalry to the players, fans and alumni.
Stanford has recently owned this series, winning the past five games. The Cardinal have also covered five of the past six in Berkeley. However, the Golden Bears do come into the game on a hot streak — going 5-0 against the spread (with four wins) in their previous five games.
Cal can win this game because of its stellar defense, specifically a Passing S&P+ defense that ranks 11th in the nation. If you are going to take on a Stanford team loaded with talent in the passing game, you need disruptive players in the defensive backfield. Cal has those players in safety Ashtyn Davis and corner Camryn Bynum, who are fully capable of shutting down the Stanford tip ball offense. There’s a reason why Cal ranks fifth in defending explosiveness on passing downs.
Give me the home dog at plus-money in what should be a low-scoring coin flip.
Stuckey: Georgia +425
- Spread: Alabama -13
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Time: 4 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
Call me crazy, but I think Georgia has a shot in this game — and I can’t pass up the value offered at +425.
Georgia has one of the better offenses in the country and more importantly, it is very well balanced — which is an absolute necessity against Alabama. I think the Dawgs can break a few huge runs with their uber-talented backfield, while quarterback Jake Fromm can also make some things happen through the air. Fromm has been playing at an extremely high level the past few weeks and the accuracy of his deep ball has been fantastic.
On the other side of the ball, Georgia can take away explosiveness in the passing game as well as anybody in the country, which is also critical when facing the Tide. Led by cornerback Deandre Baker, who hasn’t allowed a touchdown in coverage in 700 DAYS, the Georgia secondary ranks No. 1 in the nation in S&P+ Passing Defense on passing downs (and No. 3 overall).
Georgia should also have a slight motivational edge, as it will not only be playing to avenge last year’s national championship loss, it will also be playing for a berth in the College Football Playoff. On the other hand, Alabama probably gets in regardless.
In 1996, Evander Holyfield shocked the world when he defeated Mike Tyson as a 25-1 underdog. Well, I think his son Elijah and the rest of the Dawgs have a shot to pull off another upset this weekend — although it would be much less shocking than the result of that boxing match 22 years ago.
Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.