Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 9 College Football Game

Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 9 College Football Game article feature image
Credit:

Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Justin Fields

  • Collin Wilson projects the point spread for every Week 9 college football game using his power ratings.
  • Use his projections to find early betting value when books release opening lines on Sunday.

Last week, Georgia’s loss felt like the end of the world for the Dawgs. This week, they were outdone by Wisconsin.

But the biggest news in college football world and national title picture came from Tua Tagovailoa. The Alabama quarterback and Heisman front-runner left the Tennessee game with a high-ankle sprain.

Our Action Network power ratings do not reflect a Crimson Tide team without Tagovailoa, but estimate his absence to be around 7 points.

For now, we look ahead to Week 8. Every Sunday morning, we’ll project point spreads for the following week’s college football games using our power ratings so you can find early betting value.

Look here in preparation for opening lines and follow me in The Action Network App when I bet those lines on Sunday afternoon.

Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

Projected College Football Odds, Week 9

A negative number indicates the home team is favored by that many points; a positive number indicates the home team is an underdog.

Week 9 Scheduling Notes

  • Texas State, Colorado State, New Mexico State, Notre Dame, Michigan State, Nebraska and UMass are all off a bye week.
  • Ohio State has extra rest against Wisconsin, which is on back-to-back travel.
  • Stanford has extra rest against Arizona, which is on back-to-back travel.
  • UCLA has extra rest against Arizona State, which is on back-to-back travel.
  • Central Michigan, South Florida, Missouri, Tulane, Southern Miss, San Diego State and Nevada will be on back-to-back travel.

Week 8 Injury Notes

  • Air Force quarterback Donald Hammond III left the Hawaii game with a shoulder injury.
  • Tennessee quarterback Brian Maurer was forced from Saturday’s game with a head injury, as was the case in Week 7.
  • Utah quarterback Tyler Huntley’s status is unknown after suffering a calf injury against Arizona State.
  • Cal quarterback Devon Modster left with an undisclosed injury.
  • Clemson running back Travis Etienne left with an undisclosed injury and his status is unknown for Boston College.
  • Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr left with an undisclosed injury and his status is unknown for Nebraska.
  • Northern Illinois quarterback Ross Bowers left with a head injury and his status is unknown for Akron.
  • Vanderbilt  quarterback Mo Hasan left with a head injury and his status is unknown for South Carolina.
  • Virginia Tech quarterback Hendon Hooker left with a knee injury and his status is unknown for Notre Dame.
  • Syracuse quarterback Tommy DeVito left with an upper body injury and his status is unknown for Florida State.
  • Alabama quarterback and Heisman front-runner Tua Tagovailoa left the Tennessee game with a high ankle sprain. He will likely be out next week.

Tua Tagovailoa to the medical tent after this nasty looking ankle injury. pic.twitter.com/AM9cuV11Dx

— Bryan Fischer (@BryanDFischer) October 20, 2019

Week 9 Situational Spots to Play

  • Air Force may have overlook against Utah State with Army on deck.
  • San Jose State will see the triple option for the second time this season against Army. The Spartans previously lost to Air Force, allowing 382 yards on the ground. San Jose State ranked 100th defensively in power success before Week 8.
  • Tulane will see the triple option for the second time this season against Navy. The Green Wave previously defeated Army, 42-33.
  • Michigan will play Notre Dame in a non-conference spot between two Big Ten games after a loss to Penn State and a Week 10 game with Maryland.
  • Oregon has not beaten Washington State since 2014.
  • Virginia at Louisville presents one of the most chaotic defenses in havoc with the Cavaliers versus one of the worst offenses in havoc allowed with the Cardinals.

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