BLACK FRIDAY -- 50% OFF
Start betting like a PRO

College Football Odds & Weather: Cold, Wind Provides Iowa vs. Minnesota Betting Edge (Friday, Nov. 13)

Credit:

Hannah Foslien/Getty Images.

College Football Odds: Iowa vs. Minnesota

Iowa Odds -3.5
Minnesota Odds +3.5
Over/Under 58
Time 7 p.m. ET
TV FS1
Try PRO for FREE to unlock all the Week 11 games attracting sharp bettors.

If you’ve happened to land on a post such as this one in this past, you know we at The Action Network put some significant stock into the weather when finding betting edges. It’s not for no reason, either. It’s because history tells us there’s value.

In fact, one of our most profitable PRO betting systems comes simply from taking unders in college football games played in winds of at least 13 mph — they’ve hit at a 57% rate over the past 15 years on a sample of about 1,000 games.

And while tonight’s Big Ten Friday appetizer doesn’t meet that mark, its forecast still calls for attention from bettors looking for an historical edge through Mother Nature.

Note: Odds, forecast as of 12 p.m. ET.

The betting tools used by the pros

Best bets & signals for every game

Projections from proven pros

Profitable betting system picks

College Football Weather: Iowa vs. Minnesota

A 10-11 mph wind is expected throughout tonight’s game in Minneapolis, making the low-30s temperature all the more unpleasant.

That cold-wind combo has also been one that’s slowed down offenses in the past.

Here’s how unders have fared in games since 2005 with double-digit wind speeds at various temperatures:

  • 50 degrees or more: 927-821-23 (53.0%)
  • Less than 50: 294-226-10 (56.5%)
  • Less than 40: 100-75-4 (57.1%)
  • Less than 35: 58-34-4 (63.0%)

The theory makes sense, too. As these games tend to increase passing difficulty, big plays become less common. And with the ball remaining on the ground more often as a result, the clock runs more continuously, reducing the overall number of drives, and therefore, scores.

Tonight’s total has risen throughout the week from its opening number of 55. But perhaps a result of the forecast, the most recent move has been a downward one, from 59 to 58.

The betting tools used by the pros

Best bets & signals for every game

Projections from proven pros

Profitable betting system picks
How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories