Welcome to Week 12.
Our staff has spent the week breaking down every game from every possible angle, so you don't have to.
We have four games circled in the Noon slate, highlighted by Notre Dame battling Pitt.
Read on for our college football picks and best bets for the Noon slate on Saturday, November 15.
College Football Picks for Saturday's Noon Games
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our college football betting staff is targeting from Saturday's slate of noon games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 12 p.m. | |
 | Noon | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Notre Dame vs. Pitt Pick
A few comments from Pitt head coach Pat Narduzzi about the importance of this game had the markets selling the Panthers.
Narduzzi mentioned that Notre Dame can "put 100 up on us as long as we win the next two after that," referring to the goal of the ACC Championship.
The Irish took heavy steam after the comments, despite Narduzzi also mentioning the team will "play hard" in Week 12.
Ultimately, Pitt can stop Notre Dame's ground attack.
Jadarian Price and Jeremiyah Love will use a heavy dose of outside zone against edge rushers Jimmy Scott and Isaiah Neal. Pitt has a 57% Success Rate against outside zone while creating a negative play on 17% of opponent attempts.
Notre Dame's best chance of success will come through the air. The Panthers rank 78th nationally in Pass EPA allowed, so quarterback CJ Carr will have chances to get into scoring position against a Pitt defense that has been plundered in the red zone.
The bigger question is whether the Pitt offense can answer an improved Notre Dame defense.
Explosives from Mason Heintschel will be the key, but Notre Dame ranks 35th nationally in Pass EPA allowed and 18th in pass breakups per game. The heavy man coverage from the Irish will provide a window of mistakes from Heintschel, who has posted a Success Rate of just 45% against the tendency.
Action Network projects Notre Dame as a six-point favorite, while the market drifts farther in the direction of the Irish in double digits.
Read Collin's full Week 12 card here:
Pick: Pitt +11 or Better
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Air Force vs. UConn Pick
By Joshua Nunn
The Falcons have lost a lot of close games this year, but they can still secure Bowl eligibility with a few tough wins down the stretch.
Meanwhile, UConn has played up and down against its competition all season. Joe Fagnano is an elite quarterback (25 touchdowns, zero interceptions). The Huskies have played three max-effort games, including their best effort of the season against Duke last week.
But if you’ve looked at what happens the week after those big performances, the Huskies have struggled. They laid an egg against Delaware, played down to Ball State, and struggled against Buffalo in the weeks after big ACC wins. Additionally, after beating Boston College on the road earlier this year, UConn lost outright to Rice as 10-point favorites the next week.
I like Air Force’s offense. Liam Szarka has been controlling the offense. The ground game was effective against San Jose State.
The Falcons peaked around this time last season, and they should be able to run the ball effectively against UConn’s ineffective rush defense, which is unfamiliar with Air Force’s scheme.
This is a significant trouble spot for the Huskies.
Listen to the Week 12 Group of 5 Deep Dive here:
Pick: Air Force ML
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South Carolina vs. Texas A&M Player Prop Pick
By Doug Ziefel
Gamecocks' quarterback LaNorris Sellers began the year as a dark horse Heisman candidate.
While struggles through the air and overall team success have dampened those aspirations, Sellers is still a tremendous threat on the ground and the team's leading ball carrier.
The big caveat for Sellers rushing totals this season is the additional factors of sacks. South Carolina ranks 135th in sack rate, which has negated many of Sellers' gains with his legs and led to him averaging just 1.1 yards per carry.
Now, the Texas A&M Aggies' defensive line is formidable, ranking third nationally in defensive sack rate. However, the constant pressure should force Sellers to run more than usual in this matchup.
He has the volume and the ability to pick up chunk gains with his legs.
Pick: LaNorris Sellers Over 16.5 Rush Yards
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Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State Pick
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
Early Unranked Unders is a college football system that identifies value in early-season matchups where neither team is ranked and offensive expectations are often overstated.
In the first 10 games of the season, unranked teams often lack the consistency and firepower of top programs, leading to sloppy execution, conservative play-calling, and a slower tempo.
The system focuses on regular-season contests where the closing total is above 46, a range that signals scoring potential but often proves inflated when factoring in real game conditions.
Additional filters, such as wind speeds above 6 MPH and temperatures no higher than 66 degrees, further suppress offensive efficiency, creating an environment where scoring struggles to match market projections.
With the home spread allowed to range widely from slight underdog to heavy favorite, the system captures a broad spectrum of unranked contests where defenses or conditions keep outcomes tighter and lower-scoring than the total suggests, making the under a profitable angle.
Want more PRO betting systems? Get an Action PRO subscription today:
Pick: Under 50.5
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Stuckey's Full Action App Card
Need more picks for Saturday's slate? It's always wise to see what our guy Stuckey is betting on.
Additionally, if you haven't already, make sure you download the free award-winning Action Network App to track all your bets and tail all of your favorite experts:
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