College football Week 3 is upon us.
Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson cashed his early bet last week, as Baylor and SMU went well over the total. Now, he's back with another over in Arkansas vs. Ole Miss.
Let's dive into Wilson's college football picks and NCAAF predictions for Week 3 below.
Arkansas vs Ole Miss Odds
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -110 | 62.5 -110o / -110u | +265 |
| Ole Miss Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -110 | 62.5 -110o / -110u | -357 |
There are enough data points to conclude that the Arkansas Razorbacks will be involved in plenty of high-scoring affairs this season.
Transfer portal additions at the skill positions in the form of wide receiver O’Mega Blake and running back Mike Washington Jr. have created highlights through the first two games of the season.
The Razorback offense is working at a higher tempo for coordinator Bobby Petrino, while the maturation of quarterback Taylen Green has led to an uptick in explosive plays.
Through two games, the Razorbacks rank top-10 in standard downs explosives — the opposite of an Ole Miss defense that ranks 93rd in standard downs EPA.
Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin lost a stellar defensive line from 2024 and now fields a bottom-10 defense in terms of Stuff Rate.
Considering a Defensive Line Yards rank of 132nd and a pass rush outside of the top 100, Arkansas should have no issues pushing the ball downfield offensively.
The bad news for the Razorback faithful is a defense that fails to disrupt.
Through eight quarters of play against Alabama A&M and Arkansas State, coordinator Travis Williams' unit has recorded a Havoc ranking of 86th, combined with a poor Success Rate mark against the rush.
This could be good news for a struggling Rebels quarterback in Austin Simmons, who has already posted four interceptions and five turnover-worthy plays.
The Hogs and Rebels are on track for an uptempo game with plenty of explosives. Thanks to struggling defensive lines and a Rebels tackling grade outside the top 100, expect the scoreboard to light up in Vaught Hemingway Stadium on Saturday.
With the next key number in this current market at 65, look to take an over through that number.
Pick: Over 62.5 (Play to 65)
