Wilson: Projecting Week 10 College Football Spreads, and Games I Want to Bet Sunday

Oct 28, 2018 07:04 AM EDT

Julie Bennett-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Derrick Dillon

  • Collin Wilson uses his power ratings to project every Week 10 college football point spread.
  • He also gives out games he's hoping to see when sportsbooks open lines on Sunday.
  • Use these numbers as a guide when placing wagers early in the week or on Saturday.

Welcome to Sunday Morning Coffee. Let this column serve as your first look at the projected point spreads for Week 10’s college football matchups.

These numbers are based off my college football Power Ratings, which you can find here.

When the real lines come out later on Sunday, I’ll compare my power-rated spreads to what oddsmakers posted to find betting value before the odds move.

Be sure to follow me in The Action Network app to get alerts whenever I make a pick off these numbers.

College Football Week 10 Point Spread Projections

Numbers I’m Looking For

Alabama at LSU

Projected Spread: LSU +12.5
Number I Want: LSU +14.5 or better

The lookahead line was posted LSU +14 at various offshore books. Both Alabama and LSU come off a bye week, so the same number should be available when lines open for Week 10.

The Tigers present the stiffest defense Alabama will face all season, ranking top 10 in defending passing-downs explosiveness. There is a clear advantage with LSU’s special teams, as well.

Boston College at Virginia Tech

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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