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College Football Sharp Report: How Pros Are Betting Texas-Georgia

Jan 01, 2019 10:30 AM EST
Credit:

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Lil’Jordan Humphrey

  • Before placing your bowl game bets for New Year's Day, you might want to know which bets sharps are making.
  • Sharps are bettors with long track records of consistent success.
  • Their favorite Tuesday plays include a bet on the Sugar Bowl between Texas and Georgia (8:45 p.m. ET, ESPN).

It’s New Year’s Day, meaning many are shaking off long nights and hangovers with greasy breakfasts and morning beverages. And what pairs great with a Bloody Mary? Betting.

Today’s bowl games draw massive betting interest, especially from casual bettors who are off work and looking for a sweat. This, in turn, floods the market with recreational money, providing extra value for savvy bettors.

Of today’s five college football matchups, two have been steady targets of professional bettors: the Outback Bowl (Mississippi State vs. Iowa) and the Sugar Bowl (Georgia vs. Texas).

Let’s dive in.

Outback Bowl: Mississippi State vs. Iowa

12 p.m. ET | ESPN2 | Tampa, FL

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 44.5 to 40.5)

Sharp and public players seem to be in agreement on this total, and the line has reacted accordingly.

Sixty-four percent of bets are on the under, but they’ve generated 92% of actual money being wagered, meaning bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are among that majority.

Also pointing toward wiseguy activity on the under have been the four Sports Insights Bet Signals triggered, indicating at least four instances of market-wide line movement caused by sharp action.

Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Texas

8:45 p.m. ET | ESPN | New Orleans, LA