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College Football Spreads: 4 ATS Fade Candidates Saturday, Week 5

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Kansas State Wildcats quarterback Avery Johnson (2). Credit: Evert Nelson/The Capital-Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Four college football teams are primed for a huge letdown Saturday – but the public isn't expecting it.

Here's what to know for Week 5 betting odds.

A backtested trend identifying value on spread picks reveals four teams to bet against on Saturday. The "Bounce-Back Fade" angle in Bet Labs is active, and it warns bettors of overvalued lines that might otherwise go unnoticed.

Here's a neat trend to apply to four college football spreads for Saturday of Week 5.


College Football Spreads: 4 ATS Fade Candidates Saturday, Week 5

The public tends to put too much stock in teams to rebound from a loss.

Posting a 58% win rate against the spread, the "Bounce Back Fade" is a college football strategy that capitalizes on public overreactions to teams that may seem "due."

Specifically, when teams in conference play