Wilson: 3 College Football Win Totals I’m Betting Now

Jun 18, 2019 09:20 AM EDT

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Stephen Calvert

  • Sportsbooks across the United States are starting to release win totals for every FBS college football team.
  • Collin Wilson dives into three Group of Five schools he thinks have value right now.
  • Using his power ratings and projected point spreads for every game, he can derive an expected win total.

College Football win totals are slowly leaking for all FBS teams. Most shops in Las Vegas have the weekend around the July 4 targeted for mass release, but a few books in New Jersey and Vegas have nearly every team offered, and I’m pouncing on a few now.

The Action Network Power Ratings were designed to help build a win total so we can use them when books release those numbers. Of the recently released lines, three Group of Five teams caught my attention.

During the first week of May, I spoke briefly about the Group of 5 win totals on The Favorites podcast. While the Power 5 is the best place to look for a season long unders, its the G5 that can supply sneaky over wagers.

In this article we will focus on the Group of 5, with further content to follow on the Power 5 teams to bet now. As more win totals and conference odds are released, subsequent content will be in the pipeline as tickets are printed.

Memphis Tigers 

How much of a workhorse was now-departed running back Darrell Henderson for this team? Just look at his highlight yards per opportunity.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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