2021 Heisman Trophy Odds Tracker: Bryce Young, Kenny Pickett Stocks Soaring

2021 Heisman Trophy Odds Tracker: Bryce Young, Kenny Pickett Stocks Soaring article feature image

Justin Berl/Getty Images. Pictured: Kenny Pickett.

2021 Heisman Trophy Odds

Odds via DraftKings, updated October 25. Learn more about reading American odds, or compare Heisman odds at every legal sportsbook.

Player Odds Probability
Bryce Young +160 38.4%
Matt Corral +280 26.3%
CJ Stroud +550 15.4%
Kenny Pickett +1000 9.1%
Caleb Williams +1400 6.7%
Kenneth Walker III +2000 4.7%
TreVeyon Henderson +2500 3.9%
Desmond Ridder +2800 3.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. +3500 2.8%
Bijan Robinson +4500 2.2%
Sam Hartman +6000 1.6%
Brennan Armstrong +8000 1.2%
Stetson Bennett +10000 1.0%
Breece Hall +10000 1.0%
Blake Corum +10000 1.0%
Cade McNamara +10000 1.0%
Jerome Ford +10000 1.0%
Jameson Williams +10000 1.0%
Jordan Davis +10000 1.0%
Drake London +10000 1.0%
John Metchie III +13000 0.8%
Brocky Purdy +13000 0.8%
Malik Willis +13000 0.8%
Carson Strong +13000 0.8%
Garrett Wilson +15000 0.7%
Isaiah Spiller +15000 0.7%
Payton Thorne +15000 0.7%
Chris Olave +15000 0.7%
Tyler Goodson +15000 0.7%
Sam Howell +15000 0.7%
Jayden Daniels +15000 0.7%
Casey Thompson +15000 0.7%
Sean Clifford +15000 0.7%
Hendon Hooker +15000 0.7%
Anthony Brown +15000 0.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. +15000 0.7%
Kyren Williams +15000 0.7%
Travis Dye +15000 0.7%
Zamir White +15000 0.7%
Devin Leary +15000 0.7%
KJ Jefferson +20000 0.5%
Zach Calzada +20000 0.5%
Kennedy Brooks +20000 0.5%
Spencer Sanders +20000 0.5%
Tanner Mordecai +20000 0.5%
Jordan Addison +20000 0.5%
Jayden Reed +20000 0.5%
Sincere McCormick +25000 0.4%
Jahan Dotson +25000 0.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson +25000 0.4%
Bo Nix +25000 0.4%
Grayson McCall +25000 0.4%
Will Levis +30000 0.3%
Will Rogers +30000 0.3%
Spencer Petras +30000 0.3%
Kedon Slovis +30000 0.3%
Emory Jones +30000 0.3%
Malik Cunningham +30000 0.3%
Jake Haener +30000 0.3%
Jack Coan +30000 0.3%
Bailey Zappe +50000 0.2%

Clemson’s D.J. Uiagalelei, North Carolina’s Sam Howell and Miami’s D’Eriq King were all listed at 20-1 or shorter to win the Heisman entering the 2021 season.

Not a single leg of that quarterback trio is currently listed better than 150-1.

Instead, three other gunslingers out of the ACC find themselves in the mix entering Week 9.

Here’s the full Heisman odds board, paced by a quarterback who’s still atop the throne — for now.

Bryce Young (+160)

  • Team: Alabama
  • Position: QB

Young’s still the player to beat, making a small jump from +175 to +160 after a blowout against Tennessee.

The dual-threat quarterback’s trending the right direction, collecting eight total touchdowns and zero interceptions over the last two weeks.

He finally got going on the ground in Week 8, posting his first two rushing scores of the year.

Matt Corral (+280)

  • Team: Ole Miss
  • Position: QB

Corral’s status versus LSU was murky earlier in the week, but he gutted through an injury and led his team to a win.

His stat line, however, was relatively tame.

The Ole Miss star registered a season-low 185 yards through the air; his 24 rushing yards were also his second lowest.

Corral’s cooling off a bit. After 20 total scores in the first five games, he’s accounted for just four the last two weeks.

He and the Rebels get Auburn in Week 9.

CJ Stroud (+550)

  • Team: Ohio State
  • Position: QB

Stroud’s established himself as the clear No. 3 in the Heisman pecking order.

Ohio State’s quietly gaining traction following a slow start, with Stroud serving as the straw that stirs the drink.

The freshman’s gradually blossoming in the Buckeyes’ offense, bagging at least 266 yards, four passing scores and a completion percentage better than 72% in three straight.

Ohio State QB CJ Stroud in his last 3 games

๐Ÿ”บ 94.3 PFF Grade (1st)
๐Ÿ”บ 8 big-time throws
๐Ÿ”บ 0 turnover-worthy plays
๐Ÿ”บ +0.99 EPA per pass
๐Ÿ”บ 4 QB-fault incompletions

heโ€™s figuring it outpic.twitter.com/V1Vn1rTZv9

— Anthony Treash (@PFF_Anthony) October 24, 2021

Kenny Pickett (+1000)

  • Team: Pitt
  • Position: QB

Welcome to the top tier of the Heisman board, Kenny Pickett.

The buzz was picking up leading up to the Week 8 Clemson tilt, with the super senior racking up 13 total scores and zero picks in his previous three.

Pickett didn’t disappoint against the Tigers: He piled up more than 300 passing yards, a couple scores — and arguably most importantly for his stock — a signature win over a national powerhouse.

Kenny Pickett +2500 to win the Heisman ๐Ÿ‘€ pic.twitter.com/srqx7tx90y

— BetMGM ๐Ÿฆ (@BetMGM) October 23, 2021

Caleb Williams (+1400)

  • Team: Oklahoma
  • Position: QB

Williams’ Heisman position was in jeopardy against lowly Kansas after the offense failed to score a first-half point, but the freshman regrouped.

He wound up with close to 250 scrimmage yards and three scores.

Next up for Williams and the Sooners is Texas Tech, which fired head coach Matt Wells on Monday.

Kenneth Walker III (+2000)

  • Team: Michigan State
  • Position: RB

Walker burst onto the scene early in Week 1 and seemingly hasn’t lost a step.

The running back’s admittedly off his worst game of the year — 84 yards on 23 carries — but has a chance to make a statement against in-state rival Michigan this Saturday.

TreVeyon Henderson (+2500)

  • Team: Ohio State
  • Position: RB

Stroud’s further up the list, but Henderson’s a walking highlight reel.

The star freshman picked up 81 yards and two touchdowns on just nine rushes against Indiana.

He’s now averaging 8.8 yards per carry. The Buckeyes’ offense can’t be stopped.

Desmond Ridder (+2000)

  • Team: Cincinnati
  • Position: QB

The Bearcats in general are coasting, threatening for an undefeated season and potential playoff berth.

Ridder, however, is personally trending back.

He stockpiled fewer than 200 yards through the air in his second straight game, after surpassing the clip in his first five, and also tossed a pick.

The numbers just aren’t gaudy enough.

Brian Robinson Jr. (+3500)

  • Team: Alabama
  • Position: RB

Don’t look now, but Robinson has at least 123 yards from scrimmage in four straight.

He hit paydirt three times against the Volunteers in his most-recent contest, giving him 10 total over the aforementioned four-game heat.

Bijan Robinson (+4500)

  • Team: Texas
  • Position: RB

Texas’ Robinson flips spot with Alabama’s after the Longhorns’ bye.

The Arizona native is arguably the top all-around back in the country. He’s rushed for 127 yards or more in five straight and has chipped in in the passing game, collecting three additional touchdowns.

Jerome Ford (+6000)

  • Team: Cincinnati
  • Position: RB

Ford, a former Alabama running back, is running it up in the AAC.

He took home Offensive Player of the Week honors in the conference for the second straight Saturday, after romping UCF for 189 rushing yards and four touchdowns.

Sam Hartman (+8000)

  • Team: Wake Forest
  • Position: QB

Hartman’s skyrocketing up the Heisman board.

Wake’s undefeated, and the sophomore’s fresh off a 458-yard, five-touchdown performance in a 70-56 win over Army.

OH MY GOODNESS. WHAT A GRAB BY JAQUARII ROBERSON. @WakeFB answers back. pic.twitter.com/iyfS756I6w

— CBS Sports Network (@CBSSportsNet) October 23, 2021

Brennan Armstrong (+8000)

  • Team: Virginia
  • Position: QB

Speaking throwing the ball around the yard, here’s Armstrong still hanging by a thread.

He’s the nation’s top passer with 3,220 yards, along with 23 scores.

Who Can Win the Heisman?

There are a lot of players on this odds board who can’t win the Heisman, or are very unlikely to relative to their odds.

The Heisman Trophy winner:

  • Is almost always a quarterback
  • Wins 10+ games
  • Puts up strong raw stats. Efficiency is less important, and touchdowns matter
  • Plays in a Power 5 conference

How Does Heisman Voting Work?

870 voters across six regions get three total spots on their ballot, with players getting 3, 2 or 1 point for each vote.

The voters are comprised of primarily sports writers, with past Heisman winners also getting votes.

The regions do matter, because voters are more fixated in the southeast, northeast and midwest. The west coast voters cover a large percentage of the country, but don’t make up a large percentage of the vote. So there can be a bit of an east coast/southeast bias in Heisman Trophy betting and voting.

Past Heisman Winners & Odds

Player Player Team Preseason Odds
2020 Devonta Smith Alabama 50/1
2019 Joe Burrow LSU 100/1
2018 Kyler Murray Oklahoma 30/1
2017 Baker Mayfield Oklahoma 10/1
2016 Lamar Jackson Louisville 100/1
2015 Derrick Henry Alabama 25/1
2014 Marcus Mariota Oregon 5/1
2013 Jameis Winston Florida State 40/1
2012 Johnny Manziel Texas A&M 12/1
2011 Robert Griffin III Baylor 28/1
2010 Cam Newton Auburn 20/1
2009 Mark Ingram Alabama 33/1

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