Kent State vs. Toledo MACtion Betting Lines, Picks: Projected Odds Suggest Betting Value
Ron Chenoy, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Bryant Koback
- Kent State and Toledo will kick off Tuesday night MACtion at 7 p.m. ET (CBSSN).
- Based on our projected odds for this game, there looks to be plenty of value in the betting market.
Kent State at Toledo Odds
- Spread: Toledo -7
- Over/Under: 61.5
- Time: Tuesday, 7 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
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Kent State at Toledo Line Movement
This spread hasn’t seen a whole lot of movement since it opened, and in fact, currently sits at its opening number of Toledo -7.5. For a brief period it fell to a flat touchdown, but with 71% of money from 52% of bets landing on the home team, oddsmakers were quick to re-add the hook.
The general trend on the total has been upward, but barely. The earliest books to the market pegged this number around 60, and while it’s seen lines anywhere from 60 to 62, most shops are currently showing a 61.5. Seventy-eight percent of bettors have hit the over, and they’ve made up for almost all the money (95%) being wagered to this point. — Danny Donahue
Collin Wilson: Will Kent State Get Out of Its Own Way?
Kent State and Toledo may be out of the race in their respective divisions, but there is plenty to play for on both sides.
The Golden Flashes enter the game at 3-5 and are in desperation mode to make a bowl game. Games against Buffalo, Ball State and Eastern Michigan present tough challenge, so a win against Toledo would go a long way to helping Kent State get to a bowl.
Toledo becomes bowl eligible with a win on Tuesday night and the Rockets have a tough schedule in November.
The Rockets are coming off an overtime win over Eastern Michigan. Eli Peters manned the ship for Toledo in that game, filling in for No. 1 quarterback Mitch Guadagni. Guadagni’s status is unknown for Week 11.
Peters played 12 games in 2018 and led the Rockets to a bowl game, so he’s more than capable of leading this offense. The bigger story is the rushing attack, led by Bryant Koback, fresh off a 259-yard performance against EMU.
No matter who is under center, the Golden Flashes will have their hands full with the Rockets. Toledo ranks 25th in passing explosiveness, while Kent State ranks 125th in opponent pass explosiveness.
The biggest matchup when Kent State has the ball will be wide receiver Isaiah McKoy vs. Toledo’s Sam Womack, who leads the nation with 14 pass break-ups.
While the are not a havoc-minded defense, the Flashes have a lot of trouble holding onto the ball and rank 126th in havoc allowed. Kent State is its own worst enemy and the Rockets kill their own drives better than almost anybody in the country. Toledo’s defense ranks inside the top 30 in opponent red zone scoring so even if Kent State does get in range, the job is far from finished.
This line is a little inflated, as our projected spread for this game is Toledo -4, but I think the total is the better look here. We project the Over/Under for this game at 53, which leads me to the Under.
The Pick: Under 61.5 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]