Montgomery Bowl Betting Odds & Pick for Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic: Sharps, Systems Agree on Wednesday Showdown (Dec. 23)
Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Ahman Ross
- Sharp bettors and our PRO systems are aligned on a side for Wednesday's Montgomery Bowl between Florida Atlantic and Memphis.
- The Tigers' offense was dynamic at times but didn't flash the rushing upside it has in year's past, while FAU posts one of the stronger defenses in the Group of Five.
- See why our PRO Report is lighting up for the Montgomery Bowl below:
Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic Odds
| Memphis Odds | -8.5 |
| FAU Odds | +8.5 |
| Over/Under | 53 |
| Time | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Wednesday brings with it another pair of college bowl games, and our PRO Report has been picking up betting value in just about every which way on the two-game slate.
Sharp bettors and our model's projections have already shown value on this afternoon's New Orleans Bowl, and it looks as though the sharps are also taking a side in tonight's Montgomery Bowl. And in this case, they're backed by history in the form of a PRO Betting System match.
Let's take a look.
Note: Odds, data as of 12 p.m. ET Wednesday.
Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic Pick
After opening on the key number of 10, this spread has come down to a mix of 8.5s and 9s across the market, and it appears that sharp action on FAU has been the driving force.
Sharp Action
Only 39% of bettors have taken the underdog in this matchup, so any spread shrinkage is likely a sign of sharp bettors among that minority.
In this case, that sign has been confirmed by three Sports Insights Bet Signals — triggered by market-wide responses to sharp action — on Florida Atlantic at lines ranging from +10.5 to +9.
It is worth noting that the line has ticked back up from its low point of 7.5, suggesting some sharp buyback on Memphis. However, the overall move in the direction of a side as unpopular as FAU is enough to make this display of professional action clear.
Sharp Action edge: Florida Atlantic
Big Money
Providing even more clarity as to this game's sharp side, Florida Atlantic's 39% backing has impressively generated 86% of the money landing on this spread. Of course, that's a monetary liability that sportsbooks need to consider, but perhaps more importantly, it reveals that the Owls are landing much bigger bets — the ones more likely to be made by sharps.
Big Money edge: Florida Atlantic
PRO Systems
And finally, as an unpopular side in a bowl game, Florida Atlantic fits into our "Bowl Season Betting Against" PRO System, which has returned a 73-48-1 record against the spread since 2005.
PRO Systems edge: Florida Atlantic
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