In case you haven’t caught the news of today’s windy weather, well … it’s windy.
Mother Nature has already shown her ability to impact games on today’s early slate, and she appears ready play a role in tonight’s marquee matchup.
Forecasts at Michigan Stadium are calling for steady rain and winds ranging from 16 to 18 mph as the Wolverines host the Fighting Irish. It’s the wind, specifically, that should be on bettors’ minds, though.
Windy games have been money spots for under bettors, and especially so when the wind speeds reach at least 13 mph.
That threshold has returned 90.4 units since 2005 on a 499-381-34 record (57%). Obviously, tonight’s game is setting up to reach it easily.
For what it’s worth, games with average wind speeds of at least 17 mph, which this one has, see their under rate increase to 58.5%.
Wind makes it harder to throw, which will limit big plays and keep the clock moving as teams stick to the run game. Field goals become even more of a toss-up than they already are.
Odds as of Saturday at 2 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
The total hasn’t really seen a steep fall as a result of the forecast. In fact, the current number (50) is actually higher than the earliest openers, which came out around 48. There has been a slight drop from the high-water mark of 52, however, following the initial line rise.
Follow along in The Action Network’s app to see if the weather has a greater impact on the total as kickoff approaches.
