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Rovell: Value on MACtion Spread for Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green

Rovell: Value on MACtion Spread for Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green article feature image
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Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Matt McDonald (Bowling Green)

Sometimes college football fans can’t wait until Saturday and that’s what MACtion was built for. Lucky for you, I have a great bet to make for Wednesday in the Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan game.

When oddsmakers crunch the numbers over the course of a given season, the data gets stronger and more efficient. But not enough of those algorithms account for momentum, especially at the college level, where the kids are impressionable.

That’s exactly the story we have on Wednesday night. Bowling Green and Western Michigan played common opponent Miami Ohio a week apart with the Falcons winning by four and the Broncos winning by six.

But Bowling Green is a different team now.

Bowling Green has a great defense, led by FBS sack leader Karl Brooks. They’ve rolled over their last two opponents with style.

Meanwhile, Western Michigan is on a downswing. Starting QB Jack Salopak was injured this week and was replaced by freshman Treyson Bourquet, whose performance can be described as “serviceable.”

Western Michigan also will be without their leading rushing touchdown scorer La’Darius Jefferson, who violated an undisclosed team rule.

Don’t discount the fact that Bowling Green are smelling their first bowl game since 2015, when they went 10-4. I’m rolling with them to cover tomorrow night.

The line has gone from Bowling Green -4 to -4.5. I would bet this at BetMGM up to -5.5.

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