Saturday FCS Betting Report: 3 Games to Consider, Including Hawaii vs. Central Arkansas
David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports. Wagner coach Jason Houghtaling
Your sportsbook may not have FBS vs. FCS games on the board as of Friday afternoon, but don’t sleep on these games yet. There’s money to be made.
Stuckey: Elon at Wake Forest
12 p.m. ET
Is it college basketball season already? That’s what betting on Elon reminds me of. Less than 50 days!
Anyways, the Phoenix actually have a pretty good football team. They come into this game at Wake at 2-1, having just won at Richmond 42-20, one week after defeating Citadel (yes, the team that beat Georgia Tech) 35-28.
Their only loss of the year came in the final seconds of their season opener against another ranked FCS team, NC A&T.
Elon features a potent passing attack, led by quarterback Davis Cheek, who, as a recruit, actually drew the interest of Wake Forest head coach Dave Clawson.
While Elon has some talent and can put up some points, this play is all about a fade of Wake Forest.
After a roller coaster start to the year that featured a crazy comeback against Utah State and a hold-on-for-your-life win against UNC last week, the Demon Deacons sit at 3-0 with its ACC schedule kicking off next week.
This just screams flat spot to me. After such an exhausting win over UNC, I just can’t see Wake Forest getting up for a noon kick against Elon. Meanwhile, you know the kids from Elon (less than an hour drive to Winston Salem) would love nothing more than to knock off an in-state FBS team for its first FBS win in school history.
I see Wake coming out flat and I’m also not worried about running this one up. And Cheek can put up some points to sneak in the cover if need be. Look for a 28 to pop but 27 or better is also fine.
Pick: Elon +27 or better
Miller: Wagner at FAU
6 p.m. ET
You may not have known that Wagner had a football team, but I’m here to tell you that they are really, really bad.
In Week 2, Wagner put up just 14 points in a loss to Division II East Stroudsburg University of Pennsylvania. They’re averaging just 15 points per game against some bad competition.
The weather will also be an issue in Boca Raton. There are currently 18 mph cross winds and some rain in the forecast for game time.
FAU will be able to score when they want but I doubt the Owls hit this all by themselves.
This should be an ugly game that ends around 45-0 FAU.
Pick: Wagner-FAU under 57.5
Wilson: Central Arkansas at Hawaii
12 a.m. ET
The Central Arkansas Bears are now 3-0 with a victory over an FBS team in Western Kentucky. Currently ranked 14th in the FCS poll, Central Arkansas is sandwiched between Liberty and UNLV in the Sagarin ratings — so that’s approximately the kind of team you’re dealing with here.
The one thing you will not get from the Bears is a ton of rushing yards. Central Arkansas is ranked dead last in FCS in yards per game and averages 1.16 yards per rush.
If you have a poor pass defense, the Bears will instead throw on any down and distance to exploit it. And Hawaii’s defense is outside the top 100 in opponent yards per attempt and passing touchdowns.
The Rainbow Warriors are also 106th in sacks this season, leaving them near the bottom of our havoc rankings and without a forced fumble. Hawaii is 119th in the nation in giving up passes at least 10-plus yards and 115th in completions over 50-plus yards.
Sagarin makes this point spread less than two touchdowns, giving the current number value. It is another Facebook Live-after-midnight kind of weekend pulling for this Bears ticket to cash.
Pick: Central Arkansas +14 or better