College Football Week 1 comes to a close with Monday's SMU vs. Florida State (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) matchup in Tallahassee, Fla.
It's been a very solid week for Action PRO's cutting-edge betting tools, which I've parlayed (sports betting joke) into two big SGP wins.
The first was a +975 SGP for Colorado vs. Georgia Tech on Thursday, followed by a +685 parlay for Tulane vs. Duke that I dropped in the brand-new Action PRO Discord.
Action PRO isn't showing much in terms of savvy spread or over/under predictions, so I'm once again leveraging PRO's proprietary college football player prop projections to see if I can go 3-0 on SGPs with a SMU vs. Florida State parlay pick for Monday night's game.
Per usual, I'm betting each of these legs individually, then packaging into an SGP, which, in this case, results in a +847 SMU vs. Florida State parlay pick.
SMU vs. Florida State Parlay Pick
*Odds as of Monday morning
Let's get started with the largest betting model edge for SMU vs. Florida State.
Kevin Jennings Over 10.5 (-115) Rushing Yards
SMU's Kevin Jennings' rushing yardage over/under is set at 10.5, which is almost nine yards too low according to Action PRO's projections.
Specifically, PRO projects the Mustangs' running back with 19.21 rushing yards, translating to a 25.3% edge.
Jayvan Boggs Over 1.5 (-115) Receptions
We're going over once again, this time via Jayvan Boggs' receptions.
With a projection of 2.89 receptions, bettors can lock in a 24.9% edge based on the current over/under of 1.5.
Duce Robinson Under 4.5 (+100) Receptions
Our third and final prop is playing Duce Robinson to reel in four or fewer catches, which is providing a 23.1% edge when comparing PRO's projection of 3.47 receptions vs. the 4.5-reception line.
+847 Parlay Pick
Packaging all three of these legs forms a +575 parlay at bet365 — one that can be boosted to +847 using bet365's 30% SGP boost.
