Wilson: The Curse of the SEC Runner-Up, and How I’m Betting the Sugar Bowl

Jan 01, 2019 07:20 AM EST

Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Georgia Bulldogs defensive lineman Devonte Wyatt (95).

  • SEC teams that have just missed out on the BCS title game or College Football Playoff have mailed it in during their bowl game in the last few years.
  • Collin Wilson explains, and gives his thoughts Georgia-Texas, which fits this spot this year.

2018 Sugar Bowl Odds: Texas vs. Georgia

  • Odds: Georgia -13
  • Over/Under: 58.5
  • Date: Tuesday, Jan. 1
  • Location: New Orleans, La.
  • Time: 8:45 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Monday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time bowl odds and win probabilities on your bets.

The Path for Texas-Georgia

A 2017 bowl victory over Missouri for Tom Herman and the Longhorns had fans in Austin looking for a Big 12 Championship in 2018. Texas cashed a future making by making that game, but the Sooners ended their conference title hopes with a 39-27 defeat.

It has been quite the year for Texas on and off the field, from another loss to Maryland to the ‘Ok Cool, Hook Em‘ saga. Herman has proved that he is not shy of controversy, and looks to play that underdog role again in the Sugar Bowl.

Georgia spent most of the season on the path for a rematch with Alabama. The loss of Roquan Smith and other players from the 2017 roster was obvious in a road trip to Missouri, but resulted in the Bulldogs’ first loss of the season at LSU.

Georgia came out of bye week on fire up until a third quarter 28-14 lead on Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. The Crimson Tide would go on to score 21 unanswered, making Georgia the defacto runner-up in the SEC and the first team left out of the playoff.

Odds Movement for Texas-Georgia

An opener of Georgia -10 has steadily grown to -13 over the past three weeks. Thorpe Award winner Deandre Baker will not play for Georgia, leaving behind 32.5 tackles, two interceptions and nine pass breakups. The total is widely available at 58 with the lion’s share of tickets and money coming in on the over.

The Curse of the SEC Runner-Up

There may be a ‘post-hype SEC runner-up’ curse that has yet to be named. It involves an SEC school that is a national title contender but falls short of the national title game or College Football Playoff.