Texas A&M at Clemson Betting Odds
- Odds: Clemson -16.5
- Over/Under: 63.5
- Moneylines: -750, +575
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Location: Clemson, S.C.
Welcome to college football in 2019, where the No. 1 team in the country is this much better than a top 15 team that if not for a brutal schedule could flirt with 10 wins.
The Clemson Tigers are a 16.5-point favorite over the Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday afternoon, with the total at 63.5. Both have seen pretty significant movement during this week, with A&M being bet down from +20 to +16.5 and the total going from 61 to 64.5 before falling a point on Friday.
This is our free betting cheat sheet for Clemson vs. Texas A&M — Action EDGE members can get our full betting guide and picks here.
Market Report
Clemson is getting just 31% of the bets as of Saturday at 10:30 a.m. ET, a rare sight for the Tigers. They haven't gotten fewer than 30% of the bets in a game since 2010.
What Our Power Ratings Say
Our power ratings make Clemson a 17-point favorite over Texas A&M on a neutral field, so around -19.5 or -20. That's where this game opened, but it's been bet down to -16.5 as money pours in on the big underdog.
Coaching Matchup
These two coaches are very familiar with each other, as they split eight meetings when Fisher was at Florida State. Dabo now leads their head-to-head 5-4 after last season’s narrow victory, and they've each gone 4-4-1 against the spread in this matchup.
Projecting the Gameplan
Swinney mentioned in his presser that Kellen Mond threw against an inexperienced secondary in last year's game. This season, the Clemson defense is heavily experienced in the back but more green up front.
Mond will throw naked bootlegs and run-pass options in space to keep the Clemson defense on its toes, but the point of attack should be on the new offensive line.
Expect those Mond rollouts to be geared for mid-ranged targets, not big plays downfield. Mond had 10 carries for 30 yards in this game last season, but I expect him to have many more rushing attempts with plenty of his receivers covered.
As for the Clemson attack, Trevor Lawrence will look to rebound from a 2-interception performance against Georgia Tech. To take advantage of the safeties, Lawrence will rely on a rushing attack led by Travis Etienne.
Once the run is established, Lawrence and the stable of receivers will take shots down field. With running expected on both sides of the ball, I will wait for the steam to end on the total before taking an under.
