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Texas Tech vs. Iowa State College Football Odds, Sharp Betting Pick: Sharps Move Spread Toward Key Number (Saturday, Oct. 10)

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State College Football Odds, Sharp Betting Pick: Sharps Move Spread Toward Key Number (Saturday, Oct. 10) article feature image

Joe Robbins/Getty Images. Pictured: Brock Purdy

  • Iowa State hovered around an 11.5 or 12.5-point favorite over Texas Tech for much of the week.
  • Now, the spread is getting pushed by sharps toward the key number of 14.
  • Danny Donahue breaks down the line movement below.

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Odds

Texas Tech Odds +14 (-115) [BET NOW]
Iowa State Odds -14 (-105) [BET NOW]
Moneyline +390/-530 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 62.5 [BET NOW]
Time 3:30 p.m. ET

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To most, this afternoon’s Texas Tech-Iowa State spread looks like a bit much. Sixty-two percent of bettors have taken the points with Texas Tech, which is noteworthy considering that public bettors more often line up to bet favorites.

Even more noteworthy, though, is how this line has moved in response to that action. After sitting in the 11.5/12.5 range for much of the week, the spread has actually increased throughout game day up to a full two touchdowns at several books.

Our PRO Report helps explain why.

Data as of 12:30 p.m. ET. For immediate access to our College Football PRO Report, start a Free Trial today! You’ll also get:

  • Pro Betting Systems: historically profitable betting trends and angles built on millions of data points.
  • Line Move Predictions: know when a line will move — before it happens.
  • Live Public Betting Data: see where the real money is going for every game.

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State PRO Report

Sharps and big bettors — who are likely one and the same — have made moves on the unpopular favorite, helping push this line up toward the key number.

[Try PRO for FREE to access this PRO Report breakdown for all of Saturday’s games.]

Sharp Action

Over the course of the week, four Sports Insights Bet Signals — which track and record instances of market movement caused by sharp action — have been triggered on Iowa State.

Two of those four have come just today, including a most recent move at -12.5 just after 10 a.m. ET. That sent the line to its current listing.

Sharp Action edge: Iowa State

Big Money

As mentioned, Texas Tech has drawn the majority of the population. That majority, however, hasn’t generated a majority of actual money. In fact, just 28% of the loot is landing on Tech as of 12:30 p.m. ET.

That means bigger bets are landing on the Cyclones, and while those can technically come from anyone, they’re far more likely to come from sharps, making this another indication of the pro side.

Big Money edge: Iowa State

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