UAB vs. South Alabama Odds, Sharp Betting Pick: Late Pro Action Moves Spread Through Key Number
Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Bill Clark
UAB at South Alabama Odds
|UAB Odds||-7.5 [BET NOW]|
|South Alabama Odds||+7.5 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||47.5 [BET NOW]|
|Time||7:30 p.m. ET|
For much of the week, the point-spread movement for Thursday’s lone college football matchup — UAB vs. South Alabama — had a back-and-forth rhythm. Some professional action would hit the Blazers, pushing them up to touchdown favorites (-7), only to be met with buyback at that key number.
As a result, most sportsbooks entered game day with the spread listed just short of that mark, at UAB -6.5. But that’s no longer the case.
The late activity from sharps has not only been enough to bump this spread back up to -7, but has now pushed it through the key number to -7.5.
We’ll break it down using our new PRO Report feature.
UAB vs. South Alabama PRO Report
As is displayed, big bets from sharps have aligned on the favorite. It’s worth noting, though, that this movement comes in disagreement with our projected spread.
As mentioned, there was a bit of two-way sharp action throughout the week. But over the course of the afternoon, it’s been all UAB.
Sports Insights Bet Signals have triggered three steam moves on the Blazers (all at -7) since 2 p.m. ET today.
Steam refers to a sudden, market-wide line move that comes as a result of heavy money hitting the same side of a bet over a short period of time and is a strong indication of sharp action.
Sharp Action edge: UAB
Another indication of sharp action? Big bets.
Of course, they can technically come from anyone, but since sharps are the ones often doing this for a living, they’re far more likely to be the heavy spenders over a large sample. So, when you see a big discrepancy between the percentage of bets and actual money on the same side of a bet, you can take that as another hint toward the sharp side.
In this game, UAB is generating 77% of money on just 48% of bets.
Big Money edge: UAB
While the past few hours have made the sharp side clear in this game, our power ratings — compiled by Collin Wilson — would actually suggest that the line has moved a bit too far.
He has this spread pegged at UAB -5.5, and considering the importance of the number seven in football betting, that’s a fairly substantial difference. In other words, it shouldn’t come as a shock if this line sees yet another case of buyback.
Model Projections edge: South Alabama