The UL Monroe Warhawks take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is set for 7:45 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Alabama is favored by -35.5 points on the spread, and the total is set at 49.5 points.
Here’s my ULM vs. Alabama predictions and college football picks for Saturday, September 6, 2025.
ULM vs Alabama Prediction
- ULM vs. Alabama Pick: Under 50.5
My Alabama vs ULM best bet is on the under. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
ULM vs Alabama Odds
| ULM Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+35.5 -110 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | N/A |
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-35.5 -110 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | N/A |
- UL Monroe vs Alabama point spread: Alabama -35.5
- UL Monroe vs Alabama over/under: 49.5 points
ULM vs Alabama Preview
UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview: Shock the World?
Enter a program that’s familiar with the underdog role.
ULM has just three winning seasons, resulting in only one bowl game total in over 30 years of Division I football.
Bryant Vincent may be the head coach to change things, however. The Warhawks’ head man led the team to five wins last season in his first year manning the sidelines, the best in the program since 2019.
Last year’s Warhawks team thrived in the red zone, boosting the team’s overall offensive profile more than it likely deserved.
Quarterback Aidan Armenta is back, but he threw one more interception (10) than he did touchdowns (nine) in his freshman season, and that trend continued with one of each in UL Monroe’s Week 1 win over Saint Francis.
Last season’s focal point was Ahmad Hardy, a superstar running back who ran for 1,351 yards and 13 touchdowns last season. Hardy transferred to Missouri, so it'll be an adjustment against quality opponents without him in the fold.
UL Monroe’s defense impressed in Week 1, shutting out an FCS opponent in Saint Francis 29-0. There isn’t much worth taking from that game that applies to a road trip to Tuscaloosa, but at minimum, the Warhawks' defense should come in with some confidence.
They’ll need it against an Alabama team that's desperate to right the ship.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview: A Harsh Reality
If you didn’t already appreciate Nick Saban’s greatness, now would be the time to do so.
It took Nick Saban 235 games as Alabama’s head coach to lose four different games to unranked opponents. His successor, Kalen DeBoer has matched that total already, just one game into his second season … in just 14 games.
DeBoer’s Crimson Tide enter their first home contest of the season with a .500 record in their last 10 games, going back to midway through last season.
If last year for Alabama fans felt like learning how to ride a bike again, this year the training wheels are off and they’re roaring downhill on the verge of a serious crash.
It wasn’t just a lackluster start for the Crimson Tide in their Week 1 loss to Florida State; it was a thorough beating. The Tide were outgained in yardage on a per-play basis both through the air and on the ground. They lost the time-of-possession battle. They committed twice as many penalties as the Seminoles.
It was something we haven’t seen from an Alabama football team in years.
Quarterback Ty Simpson has caught a lot of the heat for this Alabama squad, looking like a large departure from the NFL quarterback factory that Alabama became in the Jalen Hurts-Tua Tagovailoa era.
But while Simpson certainly had his mistakes, he was arguably the biggest bright spot for the Alabama offense in Week 1, completing 23-of-43 pass attempts for 254 yards.
That’s nearly triple the amount of yards that Alabama rushed for, as a banged-up running backs room appears to still be searching for answers. Jam Miller was the projected workhorse, and he's still on the mend from an injury that may keep him out for weeks to come.
In his place, DeBoer tried a committee-based approach, splitting 29 carries between six separate rushers, totaling a miserable 87 yards on 29 carries with a long rush of 13 yards.
To make matters worse, star receiver Ryan Williams went into the concussion protocol this week, and his status is up in the air.
Simply put, there’s no safety net on the ground for the Alabama offense right now against quality teams, putting even more pressure on an unproven quarterback. The question is: How much will any of these concerns matter against an overmatched opponent?
ULM vs Alabama Pick, Betting Analysis
With a plethora of offensive questions yet to be answered on Alabama’s side, it's hard not to like the under here.
Going back to the end of last season, six of the last eight Alabama games have gone under on the total. The Tide’s 17 points against Florida State in Week 1 were their lowest team total since Week 3 of last season (a 17-3 win over South Florida).
Spot-wise, that USF snoozer is awfully similar to this week’s contest. Bama came into that game off a two-score loss to Texas and just simply came out flat.
With the injury concerns regarding the Tide’s top two skill position players — Miller and Williams — there aren’t enough threats for a game manager like Simpson to run up the score with.
DeBoer won’t be looking for style points — he’ll be searching for a clean game and a decisive win.
On the other end, it’s hard to see UL Monroe scoring at all in this game. There's no area to exploit, and no superstar running back that can capitalize against SEC athletes.
Add it all up, and a comfortable under 50.5 points is the play.
Pick: Under 50.5
