Wednesday brings the biggest match of Champions League Matchday 3 to the Allianz Arena, and this Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal prediction rounds up our favorite trades on the match using the Kalshi promo codeACTION55.
- Arsenal beat Bayern 3-1 in the league phase last November, then lost last season's final to PSG on penalties in Budapest, and now it walks into Munich as the only side in the competition yet to concede this season.
- Bayern is missing Michael Olise and Jamal Musiala, which reshapes the Champions League player props on the Bavarian side and puts even more weight on Harry Kane.
Here's our full picks table for Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal, built using some of the best prediction markets on the board, before we break down every soccer pick for this match.
| ⚽ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to Win (vs Arsenal) | Yes | 48¢ | $208.33 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Both Teams to Score (Bayern vs Arsenal) | Yes | 63¢ | $158.73 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Harry Kane Anytime Goal (vs Arsenal) | Yes | 50¢ (est.) | $200.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Bukayo Saka Anytime Goal (vs Bayern) | Yes | 25¢ (est.) | $400.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Read our Action Network dedicated Kalshi review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms to trade your best Champions League player props today.
Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal Prediction: Our Top Picks
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on this match, built using our best prediction market apps picks for Wednesday's Champions League board.
Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!
Best Match Result Pick Today – Bayern Munich to Win
| ⚽ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to Win (vs Arsenal) | Yes | 48¢ | $208.33 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Bayern has not lost a Champions League group or league phase match at home since a 3-2 defeat to Manchester City in December 2013, a run of 39 games with 37 wins. It also comes in hot after a 6-1 Bundesliga rout of RB Leipzig over the weekend.
Arsenal's clean sheets against Napoli and Lille are impressive, but William Saliba's back injury takes the anchor out of that back line, and Munich is a very different test than the Emirates.
A $100 buy at a 48¢ average price works out to roughly 208 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Bayern wins in regulation: this ticket returns $208.33 on a $100 stake.
- If it doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Just under a coin flip price on the home side with one of the best home records in European competition.
Best Goals Pick Today – Both Teams to Score
| ⚽ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (Bayern vs Arsenal) | Yes | 63¢ | $158.73 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Bayern has scored in bunches all season, putting five past Bodo/Glimt and three at Viking before the six against Leipzig. That same Viking match was a 3-3 draw, which tells you this defense can leak when games open up.
Arsenal has the attackers to punish that, with Bukayo Saka, Noni Madueke and Martin Odegaard all expected to start, and Saliba's absence on the other end makes a Bayern goal even more likely.
A $100 buy at a 63¢ average price is good for roughly 159 shares on this ticket.
- If both teams score: this ticket returns $158.73 on a $100 stake.
- If either side is held scoreless: the $100 stake is gone entirely.
A real favorite price on two attacks that should both find the net.
Best Goalscorer Pick Today – Harry Kane Anytime Goal
| ⚽ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane Anytime Goal (vs Arsenal) | Yes | 50¢ (est.) | $200.00 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Kane has 15 goals in 22 career meetings with Arsenal, and he has scored in nine straight Champions League appearances. With Olise suspended and Musiala sidelined, even more of Bayern's chance creation should end with Kane, and he is still the first name on the penalty sheet.
He was kept off the scoresheet in his last two meetings with Arsenal, which is the one knock here, but this is our favorite of the Champions League player props on either side. Kalshi had not listed a goalscorer market for this match at publication, so this price is our estimate based on the live match-result and totals markets.
A $100 buy at a 50¢ average price is roughly 200 shares on this ticket, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Kane scores at any point: this ticket returns $200.00 on a $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A coin flip price on one of the most reliable finishers in the competition.
Best Longshot Pick Today – Bukayo Saka Anytime Goal
| ⚽ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka Anytime Goal (vs Bayern) | Yes | 25¢ (est.) | $400.00 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Saka scored his fourth goal of the season off the bench against Lille last week, and he is expected back in the starting lineup on the right side in Munich. Bayern will likely start Alphonso Davies at left back, which gives Saka a direct one-on-one matchup he can attack all night.
If this match opens up the way the totals market suggests, Arsenal's top wide threat is the most logical candidate to finish a counter. Like the Kane pick, this is an estimated price, since Kalshi had no goalscorer market posted for the match at publication.
A $100 buy at a 25¢ average price is roughly 400 shares on this ticket, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Saka scores at any point: this ticket returns $400.00 on a $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A plus-value longshot on Arsenal's most dangerous attacker.
What's Moving the Market
Prediction markets move for many reasons, and our Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal prediction leans on the money that has flowed toward the home side over the last day.
Bayern's last trade sat at 57¢ earlier Tuesday with a wide spread around it, and the market has since tightened to a 47¢ bid and 48¢ ask. Arsenal has firmed slightly to 29¢ and 30¢, while the draw sits at 24¢ and 25¢, so traders are pricing in a real chance this one ends level.
The goals markets point the same way. Over 2.5 goals trades around 60¢ and Both Teams to Score sits at 63¢, which lines up with Bayern's attacking form far more than Arsenal's clean sheet streak.
How to Trade These Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal Prediction Picks on Kalshi
Ready to get in on this match? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:
- Read more about Kalshi to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the soccer tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements before kickoff.
- When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started!
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal Prediction: Final Thoughts
A rematch of last season's 3-1 Arsenal win, a Bayern side missing two of its best creators, and an Arsenal defense without Saliba make for one of the most interesting matches of the league phase so far.
Bayern's home record and Kane's history against Arsenal give the hosts the edge in our eyes, while the goals markets reflect two attacks that should both get on the board.
That mix of home-field strength and attacking talent on both sides is what makes this Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal prediction one of our favorite Champions League boards of the season.
Kalshi Promo Code FAQs
What is the best Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal prediction?
Our top play is Bayern Munich to win at 48¢, backed by a Champions League home record with no group or league phase loss since December 2013, with Both Teams to Score at 63¢ as the strongest goals angle.
What time does Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal start, and where can I watch it?
Bayern Munich hosts Arsenal at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday, Oct. 21, with kickoff at 3 p.m. ET. The match streams on Paramount+ in the United States, with Spanish-language coverage on TUDN and UniMás.
Which Champions League player props stand out for Bayern vs. Arsenal?
Harry Kane to score anytime leads our Champions League player props, given his 15 goals in 22 career meetings with Arsenal, while Bukayo Saka anytime goal is our longer shot on the Arsenal side.
Who is missing for Bayern Munich and Arsenal?
Bayern is without Michael Olise through suspension and Jamal Musiala through injury, with Kim Min-jae a doubt. Arsenal is missing William Saliba, Piero Hincapie and Christos Tzolis.
How do I use the Kalshi promo code on Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal?
Create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the Kalshi promo code before placing your first trade on the Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal match to unlock the sign up bonus.
