Best NFL Prop Bets Today | Best NFL Player Props, Anytime TD Scorer Predictions (SEA vs NE Odds on Polymarket)

The 2026 NFL season kicks off with a Super Bowl LX rematch, and Polymarket already has a full board of best NFL prop bets today for tonight's Seahawks vs Patriots matchup.

Seattle beat New England 29-13 back in February to claim the Lombardi Trophy, and the Seahawks will unveil their championship banner before this one kicks off.

Both teams enter at 0-0, but the roster sheets look different than they did in the desert. New England added receiver A.J. Brown, while Seattle lost Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III to the Chiefs in free agency.

We're covering the Moneyline, Spread, and Total lines below, but the real action tonight is in the best NFL player props, from anytime TD scorer predictions to first TD scorer predictions and everything in between.

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Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Our Top Polymarket Picks for Seahawks vs Patriots

We pulled six trades off tonight's board that we think represent the best NFL prop bets today across the entire Seahawks vs Patriots slate.

They're ranked below from highest to lowest implied probability, and every single one is a position we're actually taking, not a hypothetical.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Sam Darnold (Editor's Pick)

Darnold is priced at 50 cents to clear 225 passing yards tonight, and we like the yes side of that number.

Seattle lost offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak to the Raiders' head coaching job this offseason, and losing Kenneth Walker III to Kansas City on top of that leaves the ground game in the hands of a rookie in Jadarian Price.

With Zach Charbonnet still on the PUP list, we think Seattle's new staff leans on Darnold early to keep the offense moving rather than force-feeding an unproven backfield against a Patriots front that finished top 10 in the league in EPA per play last season.

Darnold also has Jaxon Smith-Njigba, now the NFL's highest paid wide receiver, as a security blanket underneath.

At an average price of 51.98 cents, a $100 stake buys roughly 192 shares (100 divided by 0.5198). Each share redeems for $1 if Darnold clears 225 yards, which puts the payout in the neighborhood of the $187.00 to-win figure Polymarket lists for this exact ticket. The small gap between a straight share count and the platform's stated figure is normal and reflects order book depth and fees.

• If Darnold throws for 225+ yards: the position pays out close to $287.00 total, a profit of roughly $187.00 on the $100 stake.
• If Darnold falls short: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all or nothing.

This is close to a coin flip trade at just under 2 to 1 payout odds, and we're not pretending to know exactly how Seattle's new-look offense will script its first drives of the season.

Best Anytime TD Scorer Prop Today – Rhamondre Stevenson (Editor's Pick)

Stevenson sits at 46 cents to score an anytime touchdown tonight, the highest number on the entire anytime TD scorer board.

He's New England's clear early-down and goal-line back, and Seattle's run defense is breaking in new pieces after losing Kubiak's scheme continuity on the other side of the ball.

We like Stevenson's red-zone role enough to take the yes side here, even against a Seahawks defense that's still one of the better units in the league on paper.

At an average price of 46 cents, a $100 stake buys roughly 217 shares (100 divided by 0.46). Each share redeems for $1 on a Stevenson touchdown, landing close to the $210.56 to-win figure shown on the ticket.

• If Stevenson scores: the position pays out close to $310.56 total, a profit of roughly $210.56 on the $100 stake.
• If he doesn't find the end zone, the full $100 stake is lost.

This is a near coin-flip trade paying a little more than 2 to 1, which is a fair price for a lead back's goal-line role in a season opener.

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Best First TD Scorer Prop Today – Rhamondre Stevenson (Editor's Pick)

Stevenson is priced at 20 cents to score the game's first touchdown, well ahead of anyone else in this market.

He's New England's clear early-down and goal-line back, and if the Patriots get the ball first or force an early three-and-out, he's the most likely Patriot to punch one in.

This is a much tighter, higher-variance bet than his anytime touchdown prop above, since it requires him to score first rather than just at some point in the game.

At an average price of 20 cents, a $100 stake buys roughly 500 shares (100 divided by 0.20). Each share redeems for $1 if Stevenson scores the first touchdown, close to the $477.10 to-win figure shown on the ticket.

• If Stevenson scores first: the position pays out close to $577.10 total, a profit of roughly $477.10 on the $100 stake.
• If he doesn't score first, or anyone else scores before him: the full $100 stake is lost.

Nearly 4.8 to 1, the biggest longshot payout of our picks tonight, priced accordingly given how many players could realistically open the scoring.

Best Receptions Prop Today – Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Editor's Pick)

JSN is priced at 44 cents to catch 7 or more passes tonight.

He led Seattle's receiver room into the offseason as the new highest-paid wide receiver at the position, and that kind of investment usually comes with target-share priority in Week 1.

With Cooper Kupp splitting some of the short-area work, JSN's route tree still skews toward the high-value intermediate area where Darnold has trusted him most.

At an average price of 44.95 cents, a $100 stake buys roughly 222 shares (100 divided by 0.4495). Each share redeems for $1 on 7 or more catches, close to the $215.33 to-win figure Polymarket lists.

• If JSN reaches 7 catches: the position pays out close to $315.33 total, a profit of roughly $215.33 on the $100 stake.
• If he falls short, the full $100 stake is lost.

Just under 2.2 to 1 on a player who's shown he can approach double-digit targets in a featured role.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – A.J. Brown (Editor's Pick)

Brown is priced at 42 cents to clear 70 receiving yards in his Patriots debut.

New England brought him in this offseason specifically to give Drake Maye a true alpha target, and defenses haven't had a full season of film on this new pairing yet.

Seattle's secondary added veteran safety help, but shadowing an outside number one on the road in Week 1 is a tall order for any group still gelling.

At an average price of 42.94 cents, a $100 stake buys roughly 233 shares (100 divided by 0.4294). Each share redeems for $1 on 70+ yards, close to the $225.16 to-win figure listed on the ticket.

• If Brown clears 70 yards: the position pays out close to $325.16 total, a profit of roughly $225.16 on the $100 stake.
• If he falls short: the full $100 stake is lost.

Roughly 2.25 to 1 on a debut we expect New England to script heavily toward its new number one.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Drake Maye (Editor's Pick)

Maye is priced at 40 cents to pick up 30 or more rushing yards tonight.

He's shown a willingness to tuck the ball and run when plays break down, and Seattle's pass rush figures to test a Patriots offensive line that's still finding its footing.

Designed keepers and scramble yardage both count toward this number, and a mobile quarterback facing a defense he hasn't seen much of gives this some real upside.

At an average price of 40.92 cents, a $100 stake buys roughly 244 shares (100 divided by 0.4092). Each share redeems for $1 on 30+ rushing yards, close to the $236.00 to-win figure shown on the ticket.

• If Maye clears 30 rushing yards: the position pays out close to $336.00 total, a profit of roughly $236.00 on the $100 stake.
• If he falls short, he loses the full $100 stake.

Almost 2.4 to 1 on a quarterback who has never been shy about using his legs.

Seahawks vs Patriots Odds: Polymarket Money Line Contracts

Moneyline contracts on Polymarket resolve to $1 per share if your side wins the game outright, with no point spread involved.

The price you pay per share is the market's real-time implied probability, so a 62-cent share is pricing Seattle as a 62% favorite.

Seattle Seahawks (62%, Yes 62¢)

Seattle is the rightful favorite as the defending champion hosting at Lumen Field, where the Seahawks went 6-2 last season.

New England Patriots (39%, Yes 39¢)

New England was undefeated on the road a year ago at 8-0, but this is the toughest matchup of their opening stretch, and Seattle is 4-0 against the Patriots across its last four meetings, including the Super Bowl LX win.

Seahawks vs Patriots Spread and Total Predictions

The spread and total both settle based on the final score, like any traditional sportsbook line, but structured as a yes-or-no contract.

Seattle -3.5 (Yes 47¢, No 54¢)

The market is pricing Seattle to cover by less than a field goal more often than not, which lines up with a spread sitting right on the key number of 3.

Over 44.5 Total Points (Yes 49¢, No 52¢)

This total sits almost exactly at a coin flip, reflecting real uncertainty about how quickly two retooled offenses find their rhythm in Week 1.

Best NFL Player Props: Full Board for Seahawks vs Patriots

Here's the complete breakdown of the best NFL player props on tonight's board, from anytime TD scorer predictions and first TD scorer predictions down through passing, rushing, receiving, and fantasy point contracts.

Every category below is ranked from highest to lowest implied probability.

Seahawks vs Patriots Anytime TD Scorer Predictions

These contracts pay out on touchdowns from scrimmage only, so passing touchdowns thrown don't count for the quarterbacks listed here. Some contracts on the board only had one side actively priced at the time of writing.

• Rhamondre Stevenson (Anytime TD: Yes 46¢, No 55¢): New England's clear lead back and the top number on the entire touchdown board.
• Jadarian Price (Anytime TD: Yes 42¢, No 59¢): The rookie inherits a real workload with Charbonnet on the PUP list and Walker gone to Kansas City.
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Anytime TD: Yes 41¢, No 60¢): Seattle's new highest-paid receiver carries real red zone equity.
• A.J. Brown (Anytime TD: Yes 37¢, No 64¢): A debut in a new offense still figuring out its scoring packages.
• George Holani (Anytime TD: Yes 31¢, No 70¢): In line for early-down work alongside Price out of Seattle's backfield committee.
• TreVeyon Henderson (Anytime TD: Yes 28¢, No 72¢): New England's other back in the rotation behind Stevenson.
• AJ Barner (Anytime TD: Yes 25¢, No 76¢): Full participation on the injury report despite an oblique issue.
• Romeo Doubs (Anytime TD: Yes 25¢, No 76¢): A depth piece in Seattle's receiver room.
• Hunter Henry (Anytime TD: Yes 24¢, No 77¢): New England's starting tight end in scoring position packages.
• Rashid Shaheed (Anytime TD: Yes 23¢, No 78¢): A field-stretching option for Seattle's offense.
• Cooper Kupp (Anytime TD: Yes 20¢, No 81¢): Still a chain-mover, but priced behind Seattle's bigger-play options here.
• Drake Maye (Anytime TD: Yes 19¢, No 82¢): Only rushing scores count, and this line reflects a quarterback who runs to extend plays more than to punch it in.
• Elijah Arroyo (Anytime TD: Yes 13¢, No 88¢): A rotational piece at tight end for Seattle.
• Emanuel Wilson (Anytime TD: Yes 11¢, No 90¢): Full participation on the injury report and part of Seattle's backfield mix.
• DeMario Douglas (Anytime TD: Yes 10¢, No 91¢): A depth receiver for New England.
• Sam Darnold (Anytime TD: Yes 10¢, No 91¢): Only rushing scores count, and Darnold isn't a running threat.
• Mack Hollins (Anytime TD: Yes 9¢, No 92¢): Priced as a depth option in Seattle's receiver rotation.
• Kyle Williams (Anytime TD: Yes 7¢, No 94¢): A depth piece for New England.
• Tory Horton (Anytime TD: Yes 5¢, No 98¢): Listed as questionable with a hamstring, which explains the lowest number on the board.

Seahawks vs Patriots First TD Scorer Predictions

This market pays out on whichever player scores the game's very first touchdown, a much narrower and lower-priced bet than the anytime TD scorer predictions above. Several contracts on the board, including the "no touchdown scored" option, weren't actively priced at the time of writing.

• Rhamondre Stevenson (First TD Scorer: Yes 20¢, No 98¢): The top number on the board, reflecting his early-down role and New England's likely first crack at the goal line.
• Cooper Kupp (First TD Scorer: Yes 12¢, No 89¢): Priced as a real threat to open the scoring for Seattle if the Seahawks strike first.
• Drake Maye (First TD Scorer: Yes 12¢, No 90¢): Only a rushing score counts here, giving him a modest but real share of this market.
• Rashid Shaheed (First TD Scorer: Yes 10¢, No 97¢): A big-play option who could open the game with an explosive score.
• Romeo Doubs (First TD Scorer: Yes 10¢, No 98¢): Priced in line with Shaheed as a depth scoring threat for Seattle.
• Sam Darnold (First TD Scorer: Yes 6¢, No 99¢): Only a rushing score counts, and Darnold isn't a running threat.
• George Holani (First TD Scorer: Yes 5¢, No 96¢): A rotational back behind Price in Seattle's committee.
• Hunter Henry (First TD Scorer: Yes 5¢, No 96¢): A red zone option for New England, but not usually the opening scorer.
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (First TD Scorer: Yes 3¢, No 98¢): His touchdown equity skews toward later scoring opportunities rather than the game's first score.
• Elijah Arroyo (First TD Scorer: Yes 2¢, No 99¢): A longshot rotational tight end for Seattle.
• Mack Hollins (First TD Scorer: Yes 2¢, No 99¢): A depth receiver longshot in this market.

Seahawks vs Patriots Passing Touchdown Props

Sam Darnold and Drake Maye are the only two passing touchdown props on the board tonight, and both quarterbacks are priced heavily toward the low end hitting.

Darnold is the slightly stronger bet at every threshold, but the gap is small. Both offenses are priced to score through the air at least once tonight, with multi-touchdown outings viewed as close to a coin flip and anything beyond three touchdowns treated as a real long shot for either passer.

Seahawks vs Patriots Passing Yards Props

Same two quarterbacks, six thresholds each, running from 200 yards up to 350 yards.

Maye actually edges Darnold at the higher thresholds despite Darnold's slight edge at 200 and 225 yards, which tracks with a Patriots offense expected to lean pass-heavy against a Seahawks front that lost some continuity up front defensively. Both quarterbacks flatten out to true longshot territory north of 300 yards.

Seahawks vs Patriots Rushing Yards Props

Five names on the rushing yards board tonight. As with the other multi-threshold categories, we're showing each player's floor line, a middle threshold, and their ceiling line rather than every increment on the board.

Maye and Stevenson both carry the strongest floors on the board, which fits a mobile quarterback and a lead back who both project for early-down work. Price and Henderson taper off faster at the higher thresholds, and Barner's flat pricing across every threshold suggests thin liquidity on a tight end rushing prop rather than a real shift in his outlook.

Seahawks vs Patriots Receiving Yards Props

Eleven pass catchers are priced across a wide range of thresholds tonight. To keep this readable, we're showing each player's floor line (their most likely number), a middle threshold, and their ceiling line rather than every single increment on the board.

Doubs and Henry sit atop the board on the low-end thresholds, which fits Seattle's short-area passing game. Brown and JSN are the two names built to actually clear the biggest numbers tonight, each still carrying real value even at 100+ yards. Everything above 100 yards for anyone not named Brown or JSN is squarely in longshot range.

Seahawks vs Patriots Receptions Props

Same format here, floor, middle, and ceiling thresholds for each of the eleven pass catchers with reception props tonight.

AJ Barner and DeMario Douglas are the two safest single-catch bets on the entire board tonight, which makes sense for a tight end and a short-target slot receiver in a run-early game plan. JSN's 7+ line at 44 cents is our Editor's Pick above, and Brown's 6+ line at 45 cents looks like a similarly reasonable coin flip for New England's new number one.

Seahawks vs Patriots Fantasy Points (PPR) Props

Nine players have PPR fantasy point props tonight, again shown at floor, middle, and ceiling thresholds.

Brown, Stevenson, Maye, and Smith-Njigba all sit at 99 cents on their floor line, which tells you the market is essentially locking in a solid PPR floor for all four. Maye stands out at the ceiling end too, still priced at 35 cents for a 28+ point outing when most of the field has collapsed toward zero by that same threshold.

Seahawks vs Patriots Price Analysis: What's Moving the Market

The biggest structural story on this board is Seattle's backfield. With Kenneth Walker III gone to Kansas City and Zach Charbonnet on the PUP list, Jadarian Price inherits a real workload as a rookie, and the market has priced him as a legitimate every-down option rather than a committee afterthought.

On the other side, A.J. Brown's arrival in New England has the market treating him as an immediate focal point, with his props priced closer to an established number one than a first-game unknown.

The gap between the anytime TD scorer predictions and the first TD scorer predictions is also worth noting. Stevenson's price roughly halves once the market requires him to score specifically first rather than at any point in the game, which is a useful reminder that these two markets aren't interchangeable even for the same player.

If you're new to trading these event contracts and want to see how they stack up against a traditional book, this prediction market vs. sportsbook breakdown is a useful primer before you dive into the best NFL player props above.

Anyone looking to dig deeper into how these contracts are structured can also check out this roundup of the top prediction market apps before placing a trade.

Tory Horton's rock-bottom touchdown price is one of the few outliers tied directly to an injury designation rather than pure role uncertainty, so it's worth watching his status as game time nears.

Use Polymarket Promo Code 'ACTION' to Trade Seahawks vs Patriots

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Disclaimer: Prediction markets provide real-time probability estimates based on traded contracts. These prices reflect market sentiment and do not guarantee future outcomes. Trading event contracts involves risk; ensure you understand the resolution criteria before taking a position.

Seahawks vs Patriots: Final Thoughts

This board is shaped almost entirely by offseason turnover. Seattle's backfield questions and New England's new number one receiver are driving prices across nearly every category tonight.

Our six Editor's Picks lean into the best NFL prop bets today that we think are priced with the most edge relative to real roster context, from Darnold's early-season passing volume to Stevenson's shot at both the anytime and first TD scorer markets.

If you want to stack extra value on top of tonight's trades, it's worth browsing this list of the best NFL betting promos before you place anything.

For a broader look at tonight's full slate of prediction markets beyond this one game, the Action Network prediction markets hub is a good place to track live pricing all night.

First TD Scorer Predictions: Polymarket Promo Code FAQs

What is the current Polymarket promo code for Seahawks vs Patriots?

The current promo code is ACTION, which unlocks a $50 trading bonus for new users who deposit $10.

Who is favored in the Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl rematch?

Seattle is favored at 62% on the Polymarket moneyline, with New England priced at 39%.

What is the most likely player prop on the board tonight?

AJ Barner's 1+ reception prop is priced at 99%, the highest number anywhere on the best NFL player props board.

What is Action Network's Editor's Pick for this game?

We're highlighting six trades tonight, led by Sam Darnold clearing 225 passing yards at 50%, along with picks on Rhamondre Stevenson (both the anytime TD and first TD scorer markets), Jaxon Smith-Njigba, A.J. Brown, and Drake Maye.

Who is the favorite in the anytime TD scorer predictions?

Rhamondre Stevenson leads the anytime TD scorer board at 46%, ahead of Jadarian Price and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Who is the favorite in the first TD scorer predictions?

Rhamondre Stevenson is also the top name in the first TD scorer predictions at 20%, well ahead of the rest of the field, since this market requires him to score first rather than at any point in the game.

How do Polymarket contracts work?

Each contract resolves to $1 per share if your side is correct and $0 if it isn't, with the share price representing the market's real-time implied probability.

What does the Polymarket promo code ACTION unlock?

New users who sign up with code ACTION and deposit $10 receive a $50 trading bonus to use on the platform.

When do these markets resolve?

These contracts resolve based on the final, official result of tonight's game and the players' final statistics.

Does Polymarket have more games available beyond Seahawks vs Patriots?

Yes, Polymarket carries markets across the full NFL slate every week, along with other major sports, so there are plenty of other best NFL prop bets today beyond this single matchup.