The ProphetX promo code (TANBONUS) is my most highly recommended offer to claim and use on a loaded Week 11 of college football, and this slate of college football player props today rounds up my best ProphetX picks across four games.
- Four games, ten player props: six Unders and four Overs across rushing, receiving, passing and reception markets.
- The board is built around elite defenses, led by Miami owning the nation's top run defense and Indiana allowing just 12.4 points per game.
Here is a quick look at the college football player props today I like most from the best prediction markets, all priced on ProphetX.
| 🏈 Game (Kickoff) | 🏷️ Pick: Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke vs. Miami (12:00 PM ET) | Nate Sheppard 89.5 Rushing Yards: Over | 55.95% | $178.74 | Trade Now! |
| Duke vs. Miami (12:00 PM ET) | Nate Sheppard 26.5 Receiving Yards: Under | 47.39% | $211.00 | Trade Now! |
| Duke vs. Miami (12:00 PM ET) | Javian Mallory 43.5 Rushing Yards: Under | 46.73% | $214.00 | Trade Now! |
| Missouri vs. Georgia (3:30 PM ET) | Jamal Roberts 62.5 Rushing Yards: Under | 46.51% | $215.00 | Trade Now! |
| Missouri vs. Georgia (3:30 PM ET) | London Humphreys 26.5 Receiving Yards: Over | 37.88% | $264.00 | Trade Now! |
| USC vs. Indiana (3:30 PM ET) | Jayden Maiava 232.5 Passing Yards: Under | 60% | $166.67 | Trade Now! |
| USC vs. Indiana (3:30 PM ET) | Mark Bowman 3.5 Receptions: Over | 51.92% | $192.59 | Trade Now! |
| USC vs. Indiana (3:30 PM ET) | Lee Beebe Jr. 69.5 Rushing Yards: Under | 41.32% | $242.00 | Trade Now! |
| Texas vs. LSU (7:30 PM ET) | Eugene Wilson III 3.5 Receptions: Over | 46.73% | $214.00 | Trade Now! |
| Texas vs. LSU (7:30 PM ET) | Trey'Dez Green 59.5 Receiving Yards: Under | 44.05% | $227.00 | Trade Now! |
Read our Action Network dedicated ProphetX review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.
College Football Player Props Today: My Top ProphetX Picks for Week 11
These are real trades pulled from ProphetX tickets, built around the best prediction market apps and the NCAAF player prop boards I'm covering.
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Below are my best NCAAF picks today and the CFB best bets today I'm backing, broken out game by game with the matchup behind each prop.
If you are comparing NCAA predictions and the best college football picks today, every price here comes straight from a $100 ProphetX ticket.
Duke vs. Miami Prediction
Duke (7-2, 6-1 ACC) visits Hard Rock Stadium on a three-game winning streak, having outscored Boston College and NC State by a combined 88-5. Miami (8-1, 6-0 ACC) is coming off its first loss of the season at Notre Dame.
My college football predictions for this game start with a collision of strengths: Miami allows a nation-best 64.3 rushing yards per game, while Duke leans on one of the most productive backs in the country.
Best Rushing Prop Today: Nate Sheppard Over 89.5 Rushing Yards
My first pick in this game is:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard 89.5 Rushing Yards | Over | 55.95% | $178.74 | Trade Now! |
Sheppard has run for 1,189 yards on 191 carries this season, which works out to just over 132 yards per game. He has also posted at least 50 rushing yards in 13 straight games, the longest active streak in the FBS.
Miami is the toughest run defense he has seen, and he did have four straight games under 100 yards before running for 217 yards and three touchdowns at NC State. This line sits well below his average, so I'm willing to take the Over.
On ProphetX, a $100 buy at 55.95% shows a payout of $178.74 if Sheppard goes over 89.5. The ticket also notes that net winnings per market are subject to a 2% fee.
- 90 or more rushing yards: Return of $178.74
- 89 or fewer rushing yards: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 1.79x return on the stake.
Best Receiving Prop Today: Nate Sheppard Under 26.5 Receiving Yards
I'm also taking:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard 26.5 Receiving Yards | Under | 47.39% | $211.00 | Trade Now! |
Sheppard has 306 receiving yards this season, or roughly 34 per game, but Duke spreads its targets around. Jonah Burton, Jeremiah Hasley and Jaivon Solomon have all led the team in receiving in recent games.
Miami's secondary has allowed an average of 323 passing yards per game since its Week 6 bye, so Duke can attack through the wideouts instead of checking down to its back. This is a thinner edge, which is why the Under is priced as the slight underdog.
Buying $100 of the Under at 47.39% shows a payout of $211.00.
- 26 or fewer receiving yards: Return of $211.00
- 27 or more receiving yards: Full $100 loss
That works out to about a 2.11x return.
Best Rushing Prop Today: Javian Mallory Under 43.5 Rushing Yards
Last in this game, I'm going with:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javian Mallory 43.5 Rushing Yards | Under | 46.73% | $214.00 | Trade Now! |
Mallory is a true freshman who splits the Miami backfield with Mark Fletcher Jr., and the pair are nearly even on the season at 509 yards for Mallory and 514 for Fletcher.
In the loss at Notre Dame, Mallory carried just three times for 14 yards while Fletcher had 13 carries for 57.
Duke ranks fifth nationally in scoring defense at 13 points per game and held NC State to 32 rushing yards on 25 carries. Mallory did run for 108 yards on 13 carries against Florida State, so the ceiling is real, but a shared workload makes 44 yards a tall order.
A $100 buy at 46.73% shows a payout of $214.00.
- 43 or fewer rushing yards: Return of $214.00
- 44 or more rushing yards: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 2.14x return.
Missouri vs. Georgia Prediction
Georgia (8-1, 6-1 SEC) is coming off a dominant win over Ole Miss and has beaten Missouri 10 straight times dating back to 2014. Missouri (6-3, 3-3) is coming off a loss to Texas and enters as roughly a two-touchdown underdog.
My CFB predictions here center on game script, and they are some of the best NCAAF picks today for anyone who likes Unders.
Austin Simmons has thrown for more than 2,200 yards and 18 touchdowns for Missouri, while Gunner Stockton has 1,857 yards and 20 touchdowns for Georgia.
Best Rushing Prop Today: Jamal Roberts Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
In this game, I'm backing:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Roberts 62.5 Rushing Yards | Under | 46.51% | $215.00 | Trade Now! |
Roberts leads Missouri with 1,071 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, a pace of roughly 119 yards per game. The line sits far below that, which is why it is priced near a coin flip at 46.51% instead of as a heavy favorite.
I'm leaning on game script. Missouri is a double-digit underdog on the road, and if Georgia builds an early lead, Simmons and the passing game take over from Roberts. He did run for 222 yards on Oct. 10, so there is upside risk.
A $100 buy at 46.51% shows a payout of $215.00.
- 62 or fewer rushing yards: Return of $215.00
- 63 or more rushing yards: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 2.15x return.
Best Receiving Prop Today: London Humphreys Over 26.5 Receiving Yards
I'm also targeting:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| London Humphreys 26.5 Receiving Yards | Over | 37.88% | $264.00 | Trade Now! |
Humphreys has 14 catches for 136 yards and three touchdowns this season, with a long of 31 yards. He has been more of a big-play threat than a volume target.
At 37.88%, this is the longshot on the slate. With Georgia favored by two scores and Stockton throwing 20 touchdowns, a single catch near Humphreys' season-long of 31 yards would clear the number on its own.
A $100 buy at 37.88% shows a payout of $264.00.
- 27 or more receiving yards: Return of $264.00
- 26 or fewer receiving yards: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 2.64x return, the biggest multiple on the board.
USC vs. Indiana Prediction
Indiana (8-1, 5-1 Big Ten) is a 7.5-point home favorite over USC (7-2, 4-2), which is coming off its second bye week and a 30-18 upset of Ohio State on Oct. 31. The defending national champion Hoosiers are 0-4 all-time against the Trojans.
My NCAA predictions for this game start with Indiana's defense, which is fourth nationally against the run at 2.3 yards per carry. Running back Turbo Richard is out with a shoulder injury, which puts Lee Beebe Jr. in the lead role.
Best Passing Prop Today: Jayden Maiava Under 232.5 Passing Yards
My best bet for this game is:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Maiava 232.5 Passing Yards | Under | 60% | $166.67 | Trade Now! |
Maiava has thrown for 2,525 yards and 20 touchdowns, about 281 yards per game, so this line sits nearly 50 yards below his average. The 60% price reflects Indiana's defense, which has allowed just 12.4 points per game.
In the win over Ohio State, USC protected Maiava with quick, short throws and he finished with 222 yards. A similar plan in chilly Bloomington should keep his yardage down.
Buying $100 of the Under at 60% shows a payout of $166.67.
- 232 or fewer passing yards: Return of $166.67
- 233 or more passing yards: Full $100 loss
That is about a 1.67x return, the lowest multiple on the board.
Best Reception Prop Today: Mark Bowman Over 3.5 Receptions
I'm also taking:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Bowman 3.5 Receptions | Over | 51.92% | $192.59 | Trade Now! |
Bowman, a freshman tight end, caught 21 passes on 28 targets in USC's first five games. He returned from injury against Ohio State with three catches for 79 yards and has had a bye week to get healthier.
Indiana is tough to run on, so USC should lean on quick throws like the ones that worked against the Buckeyes. That favors a tight end who works underneath and pairs with my Maiava Under on yardage.
A $100 buy at 51.92% shows a payout of $192.59.
- 4 or more receptions: Return of $192.59
- 3 or fewer receptions: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 1.93x return.
Best Rushing Prop Today: Lee Beebe Jr. Under 69.5 Rushing Yards
And I'm finishing this game with:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Beebe Jr. 69.5 Rushing Yards | Under | 41.32% | $242.00 | Trade Now! |
With Richard out, Beebe has 715 rushing yards at 5.34 yards per carry and four touchdowns, and Khobie Martin is expected to work in behind him.
Beebe averages 5.1 yards per attempt compared with 6.2 for Richard, and 2.8 yards after contact compared with 4.5.
Indiana has also struggled to score lately, averaging 17.8 points over its last four games with two overtime wins. Against a USC team that just beat Ohio State, a bigger role does not guarantee bigger yardage.
A $100 buy at 41.32% shows a payout of $242.00.
- 69 or fewer rushing yards: Return of $242.00
- 70 or more rushing yards: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 2.42x return.
Texas vs LSU Prediction
Texas (7-2, 4-2 SEC) visits Tiger Stadium to face LSU (6-3, 3-3), which is coming off a lopsided loss to Alabama. LSU is a 4.5-point home favorite, the first time Texas has been an underdog this season.
My CFB predictions in Baton Rouge, and the best college football picks today from this game, lean on the receiving matchups. Texas has a touted pass rush, and Arch Manning has struggled against pressure, so both offenses may live on shorter throws.
Best Reception Prop Today: Eugene Wilson III Over 3.5 Receptions
In Baton Rouge, I'm going with:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene Wilson III 3.5 Receptions | Over | 46.73% | $214.00 | Trade Now! |
Wilson, a Florida transfer, has 30 catches for 345 yards and a touchdown, or about 3.3 receptions per game, and he sees roughly 12% of LSU's targets.
LSU lost wide receiver Phillip Wright III for the season, which thins the rotation. If Sam Leavitt has to get the ball out quickly against Texas' pass rush, Wilson is a natural outlet.
A $100 buy at 46.73% shows a payout of $214.00.
- 4 or more receptions: Return of $214.00
- 3 or fewer receptions: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 2.14x return.
Best Receiving Prop Today: Trey'Dez Green Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
My final pick is:
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey'Dez Green 59.5 Receiving Yards | Under | 44.05% | $227.00 | Trade Now! |
Green returned from a knee injury on Oct. 24 and has 29 catches for 357 yards and two touchdowns in five games. He cleared this number against Alabama with 10 catches for 85 yards, but had just 50 yards on five catches in his return against Auburn.
Jackson Harris has taken a bigger share of the catches lately, and Texas owns one of the better red-zone defenses in the country. If Green's volume turns into short gains again, this Under stays live.
Buying $100 of the Under at 44.05% shows a payout of $227.00.
- 59 or fewer receiving yards: Return of $227.00
- 60 or more receiving yards: Full $100 loss
That is roughly a 2.27x return.
What's Moving the Market: Week 11 CFB Odds
The board skews toward Unders, with six of my ten picks on that side. The strongest price belongs to Jayden Maiava Under 232.5 passing yards at 60%, which reflects Indiana's defense and chilly conditions in Bloomington. Check the prediction markets hub for more boards today.
Several lines sit well below season averages, so prices are driven by matchup and game script more than raw volume. Nate Sheppard averages just over 132 rushing yards per game against a line of 89.5, Jamal Roberts averages roughly 119 against 62.5, and Maiava averages about 281 passing yards against 232.5.
Compare these props with the latest NCAAF Odds before you trade, since CFB odds on sides and totals can change how a game is expected to play out, and NCAAF odds can differ from prediction market prices. Liquidity is also thin on several of these boards, so prices can move and fills may be partial.
How to Trade These College Football Player Props on ProphetX
Ready to get in on these college football player props today and my best NCAAF picks today? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:
- Read a comprehensive ProphetX review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Monitor the college football player props tab on ProphetX to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with ProphetX promo code TANBONUS to get started!
📝 PROPHETX TERMS & CONDITIONS
Trading sports event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all investors. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should consider whether trading is appropriate for you in light of your financial circumstances. ProphetX is a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Full risk disclosure available at prophetx.co/risk.
Final Thoughts on the Best NCAAF Picks Today
These ten props spread risk across four games, from the near-even prices on Nate Sheppard's rushing Over and Mark Bowman's receptions Over to the longshot payout on London Humphreys.
They are my best college football picks today and the CFB best bets today I'm backing for Week 11.
Whether you are building your own college football predictions or comparing CFB predictions and NCAA predictions, the common thread is matchup and game script.
Elite defenses at Miami and Indiana, a two-score favorite in Georgia and a tight spread in Baton Rouge that shows up in the CFB odds as well. For more, check out NCAAF Futures and more NCAAF Prediction Market Promo Codes.
ProphetX Promo Code FAQs
What are the best college football player props today?
My top college football player props today come from four Week 11 games: Duke vs. Miami, Missouri vs. Georgia, USC vs. Indiana and Texas vs. LSU.
The strongest price on the board is Jayden Maiava Under 232.5 passing yards, and the biggest payout comes from London Humphreys Over 26.5 receiving yards.
What are the best NCAAF picks today?
My best NCAAF picks today are the ten player props in this article, spread across rushing, receiving, passing and reception markets. Each is priced on ProphetX, so check the live ticket before you trade.
What are the best college football picks today on ProphetX?
Among the best college football picks today, Jayden Maiava Under 232.5 passing yards, Nate Sheppard Over 89.5 rushing yards and Mark Bowman Over 3.5 receptions are the three priced above 50 percent.
What are the CFB best bets today in this article?
The CFB best bets today here are all player props, with six Unders and four Overs across four games. Prices range from roughly 38 percent to 60 percent.
Where can I find college football predictions for Week 11?
My college football predictions for Duke vs. Miami, Missouri vs. Georgia, USC vs. Indiana and Texas vs. LSU are in the game sections above. Each section covers records, injuries and the matchup behind my picks.
How do CFB predictions work on a prediction market?
On ProphetX you buy a side of a market, such as Over or Under, at a price shown as a percentage. If your side hits, the contract pays out, and if it misses, you lose the amount you put in.
Do these NCAA predictions cover every game this week?
No. These NCAA predictions cover only the four games I picked, and there are many more college football games on the Week 11 schedule.
Where can I find CFB odds and NCAAF odds?
You can compare these prices with the latest CFB odds and NCAAF odds on Action Network's college football odds page. Prediction market prices and sportsbook lines can differ, so shop around.
How do I use the ProphetX promo code?
Create a ProphetX account through the promo code link, complete the sign-up steps and make a qualifying deposit to be eligible for the offer. Check the terms and conditions on ProphetX for eligibility and requirements.
How are returns calculated on ProphetX player props?
Each ticket shows your cost, the price and the payout before you confirm. ProphetX notes that net winnings per market are subject to a 2 percent fee, so review the ticket carefully.
