College Football Today Best Bets | Best NCAAF Picks for Week 11 (CFB Odds)

The Novig promo code ACTION is built for Saturday's CFB Week 11 slate, and today's best bets round up our six picks from the live Novig board: Duke vs. Miami, USC vs. Indiana, and Texas vs. LSU.

• The board opens at noon ET with Duke at Miami, then moves to a 3:30 p.m. ET Big Ten game in Bloomington and ends with a 7:30 p.m. ET SEC showdown in Baton Rouge.
• Our six picks include three spread plays and three totals, and new users can deposit $10 and get a $50 bonus with code ACTION, the offer behind all of these CFB prediction market promos.

Here is our full picks table with Novig promo code ACTION from the best prediction markets, with our CFB predictions listed in kickoff order.

Read our dedicated Novig review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

College Football Today Best Bets: Our Top Novig Picks for CFB Week 11

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on Novig, part of our best college football picks today for the three games we're covering. Want more than one platform? Start with the best prediction market apps.
Use Novig promo code ACTION and Deposit $10, Get $50 in Trade Credits!

These college football predictions are based on Novig prices as they stand now, and our NCAAF picks can change if lines move before kickoff.

Duke vs. Miami Prediction

Miami hosts Duke at noon ET on ABC at Hard Rock Stadium. The Hurricanes are 8-1 after a 31-24 loss at Notre Dame cost them the No. 1 ranking, and Duke is 7-2 and needs a win to keep its hopes of back-to-back ACC titles alive.
The subplots are everywhere. Miami quarterback Darian Mensah led Duke to last year's ACC title before he transferred, and now he faces his old team. Novig has Miami at 83% to win, with $51,171 traded on the game when we grabbed our screenshot.

Best Spread Pick Today: Duke +13.5

Duke is 7-2, won last year's ACC title game, and has split its last six meetings with Miami. Running back Nate Sheppard has 1,189 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns, which gives the Blue Devils a real way to move the ball.
Miami has the top scoring offense in the country, but 13.5 points is a big number for a team that needs this win as badly as Duke does.
At a 50¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 200 shares, for an estimated return of $200.00 before any fees.

• If Duke wins or loses by 13 or fewer: Return of about $200.00.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of about 2x on a coin-flip price.

Best Total Pick Today: Over 54.5

Miami's offense is the reason. Five of its last six games finished with 55 or more combined points, including last week's 31-24 loss at Notre Dame. The one miss was a 41-13 win at Clemson, which landed at 54.
The Over fits the Duke pick too. If Sheppard and the Blue Devils keep scoring, Miami will have to keep answering.
At a 52¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 shares, for an estimated return of $192.31 before any fees.

• If the game finishes with 55 or more total points: Return of about $192.31.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 1.9x for a price a hair above even.

USC vs. Indiana Prediction

Indiana hosts USC at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS at Memorial Stadium. The Hoosiers are 8-1 and have won back-to-back overtime games over Michigan and Minnesota, while USC is 7-2 after a 30-18 win over Ohio State on Oct. 31.
Indiana beat Miami in last season's national title game, and Novig has the Hoosiers at 75% to win this one. That is the busiest game of our three, with $122,034 traded at the time of our screenshot.

Best Spread Pick Today: USC +8.5

Indiana has been winning, but not by much. None of its last four games were decided by more than seven points, and its two overtime wins came by seven apiece. The Hoosiers have also covered the spread just once all season.
That makes 8.5 points a lot to lay against a USC team that just beat Ohio State.
At a 50¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 200 shares, for an estimated return of $200.00 before any fees.

• If USC wins or loses by 8 or fewer: Return of about $200.00.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of about 2x, with more than a touchdown in your pocket.

Best Total Pick Today: Under 50.5

Indiana's recent games have been grinders. Their last four finished with 37, 34, 19, and 39 combined points, and every one stayed well under this number.
The Under at 52¢ is priced a hair above even money, so you are paying a small premium for the side that matches how the Hoosiers have been playing.
At 52¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 shares, for an estimated return of $192.31 before any fees.

• If the game finishes with 50 or fewer total points: Return of about $192.31.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 1.9x on a total that Indiana's recent games have stayed under.

Texas vs. LSU Prediction

LSU hosts Texas at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. Texas is 7-2 overall and 4-2 in the SEC after a 34-20 win at Missouri. LSU is 6-3 and 3-3 in league play.
The Tigers are coming off a 31-13 loss to Alabama that hurt their playoff hopes. Novig has LSU at 63% to win and Texas at 38%, with $40,292 traded on the game.

Best Spread Pick Today: Texas +3.5

Texas has won three straight, and this game looks close. A field goal and a half is worth a lot when both teams are likely to be working with a short scoreboard.
LSU is the home favorite, but it just lost to Alabama by 18 points and scored only 13 points. The Longhorns can lose by a field goal and still cash this ticket.
At 47¢, a $100 buy works out to roughly 213 shares, for an estimated return of $212.77 before any fees.

• If Texas wins or loses by 3 or fewer: Return of about $212.77.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 2.1x, and a price below a coin flip.

Best Total Pick Today: Under 46.5

LSU's offense stalled in the Alabama loss, scoring just 13 points. Both defenses in this game also hold teams to about 20 points a game, with Texas allowing 20.3 and LSU allowing 19.8.
The Under needs both defenses to hold up, which is a fair ask in a game with this much on the line for both teams.
At a 52¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 shares, for an estimated return of $192.31 before any fees.

• If the game finishes with 46 or fewer total points: Return of about $192.31.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 1.9x on a total built around two strong defenses.

What's Moving the Market: CFB Odds on Novig

Prediction markets and prices can move for many reasons, and the price charts on Novig's game pages show the biggest swing in Bloomington. Indiana's win price sat in the high 50s on Nov. 8 and now stands at 75%, while USC has slid from the low 40s to 25%. We can't say what drove the move.
The Duke vs. Miami chart is much quieter. Miami has held in the low-to-mid 80s all week, and Duke has crept up from the low teens to 18%. The Texas vs. LSU chart we pulled covers only the last hour, and LSU held near 63% the whole time.
Line shopping still matters. Compare any of these NCAAF picks against the latest college football odds before you trade, and check the college football futures for a longer view.

How to Trade the Best College Football Picks Today on Novig

Ready to get in on these best college football picks today? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:

• Read a comprehensive Novig review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Learn how Novig points work before you place your first trade.
• Monitor the CFB tab on Novig to stay ahead of live order-book movements.
• When you're ready, sign up with Novig promo code ACTION to get started!

📝 NOVIG TERMS & CONDITIONS

Restrictions & requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions; void where prohibited. Must be 21+ to participate. Limit of one offer per user. Event contract trading involves risk & is not appropriate for all. Consider if it's appropriate for you in light of financial circumstances. See novig.com/terms for information.

Final Thoughts: College Football Today Best Bets

Saturday's college football today best bets lean on the points. All three of our spread plays are on the underdogs, with Duke +13.5, USC +8.5, and Texas +3.5, while the totals split between the Over in Duke vs. Miami and the Under in USC vs. Indiana and Texas vs. LSU.

That wraps our CFB Week 11 predictions for the games we're covering. For more offers, see our full list of CFB prediction market promos, and keep up with the rest of the slate on our college football page.

Novig Promo Code FAQs

What is the Novig promo code for today's best college football bets?

The current Novig promo code is ACTION. New users who deposit $10 can get a $50 bonus to use on Saturday's CFB Week 11 markets, subject to the terms and conditions.

What are the best college football picks today?

Our six best college football picks today are Duke +13.5 and the Over 54.5 in Duke vs. Miami, USC +8.5 and the Under 50.5 in USC vs. Indiana, and Texas +3.5 and the Under 46.5 in Texas vs. LSU.

What time do Duke vs. Miami, USC vs. Indiana, and Texas vs. LSU kick off?

Duke vs. Miami kicks off at 12:00 p.m. ET on ABC, USC vs. Indiana at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS, and Texas vs. LSU at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

How do I use Novig promo code ACTION?

Create a Novig account, make a $10 deposit, and enter code ACTION during sign-up to unlock the bonus, subject to the terms and conditions.

How do Novig college football contracts resolve?

Spread and total contracts resolve in your favor if the stated condition is met in the final score, while moneyline contracts resolve on which team wins. Each winning share pays 1 dollar, and a losing share pays nothing.

What does the Est. Return column in the picks table mean?

It shows the estimated return on a 100-dollar trade if the pick wins, including your original stake, based on the listed price. Fees and order book depth can change your final number.

Is Novig available in every state?

No. Novig is not available in all jurisdictions, and you must be 21 or older to take part. See the terms and conditions for the full rules.

Does this cover every college football game on Saturday?

No. These three games are the ones we're covering, and Novig has markets for many more games on the CFB Week 11 slate.