No Brewers vs. Rays prediction markets stir up high potential payouts quite like MLB home run predictions. The Kalshi promo code (ACTION55) is perfect to use on World Series Game 5 and these exact markets.
- The Brewers (103-59) lead the series 3-1 and are one win from their first championship. But a 12th-inning collapse in Game 4 followed Cooper Pratt's go-ahead homer and sent the series back to Tropicana Field.
- The Rays (98-64) face elimination for a second straight night after Ben Williamson's walk-off single in Game 4. Their star third baseman Junior Caminero is playing through a left foot injury.
Here are my five MLB home run predictions from the best prediction markets for Game 5, all priced on Kalshi:
| ⚾ WS Game 5 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) 1+ HR | Yes | 18% | $540.05 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) 1+ HR | Yes | 17% | $571.58 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) 1+ HR | Yes | 15% | $647.40 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Yandy Díaz (TB) 1+ HR | Yes | 10% | $969.40 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Brice Turang (MIL) 1+ HR | Yes | 9% | $1,076.77 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Read our Action Network dedicated Kalshi review to learn more about the exchange, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms to trade MLB home run predictions at.
Brewers vs. Rays Prediction: Best Home Run Bets Today for World Series Game 5
These are real trades I traded on Kalshi this morning, and these best home run bets today are priced between 9% and 18% on the board. For more ways to trade MLB home run predictions, check out the best prediction market apps and our MLB hub.
Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!
Brewers ace Jacob Misiorowski, the presumptive NL Cy Young winner, takes the ball for Milwaukee after allowing one run over five innings in Game 1. Tampa Bay had not named a starter in the latest reports, with Drew Rasmussen a possibility on short rest.
That matchup, plus a postseason where teams were averaging just 3.5 runs per game entering the World Series, is why the best MLB player props today for MIL vs. TB are priced as long shots.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Junior Caminero 1+ Home Runs
| ⚾ WS Game 5 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero 1+ HR | Yes | 18% | $540.05 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Junior Caminero is the biggest power threat in this series, and Kalshi prices him that way at 18%. He has hit 87 home runs over the past two seasons, second in the Majors behind only Kyle Schwarber.
The wrinkle is his left foot, which he aggravated running out a grounder in the 12th inning of Game 4. Caminero says he is fully set to play Game 5, and manager Kevin Cash has said he will be in the lineup.
Jacob Misiorowski has not worked past five innings in any of his three playoff starts, so Caminero should get at least one look at Milwaukee's bullpen. That group has been excellent, but one swing is all this ticket needs.
A $100 buy of Yes at 18 cents on Kalshi shows a max payout of $540.05 on the ticket, which is the figure used in the table above.
- If Caminero homers: the ticket returns $540.05 total.
- If he does not: the full $100 stake is lost.
That works out to roughly a 5.4x return on the stake.
Best Home Run Pick Today – Jackson Chourio 1+ Home Runs
| ⚾ WS Game 5 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio 1+ HR | Yes | 17% | $571.58 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Jackson Chourio has been Milwaukee's most dangerous bat this October. He has already broken the Brewers' franchise record for postseason home runs.
He is also hitting .500 with 10 hits and three stolen bases through the first four games of the World Series. Batting at the top of the order also means he is likely to get more plate appearances than anyone else in the lineup.
At 17%, the market has him just one point behind Caminero, and the Rays still had not named a starter in the latest reports. An in-form Chourio against an unsettled pitching plan is a spot worth a small trade.
A $100 buy of Yes at 17 cents on Kalshi shows a max payout of $571.58 on the ticket, which is the figure used in the table above.
- If Chourio homers: the ticket returns $571.58 total.
- If he does not: the full $100 stake is lost.
That works out to roughly a 5.7x return on the stake.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Jake Bauers 1+ Home Runs
| ⚾ WS Game 5 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers 1+ HR | Yes | 15% | $647.40 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Jake Bauers is the NLCS MVP and has quietly been one of the best hitters in the postseason. He carried a .441 on-base percentage and six RBIs into the World Series, including a go-ahead two-run homer earlier this month.
Bauers began his career as a top prospect with the Rays before bouncing around the league and settling in Milwaukee. Facing his old organization in a potential clincher adds a fun storyline to a price that already looks fair.
His patience gets him into hitter's counts, and at 15% the market is paying a slightly higher return than it does for Chourio.
A $100 buy of Yes at 15 cents on Kalshi shows a max payout of $647.40 on the ticket, which is the figure used in the table above.
- If Bauers homers: the ticket returns $647.40 total.
- If he does not: the full $100 stake is lost.
That works out to roughly a 6.5x return on the stake.
Best Home Run Pick Today – Yandy Díaz 1+ Home Runs
| ⚾ WS Game 5 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz 1+ HR | Yes | 10% | $969.40 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Yandy Díaz is the only hitter in this series who has played in a World Series before, and he hit .333 against the Dodgers in 2020. He entered the World Series with a .308 average, two homers and four doubles in the postseason.
His contact profile is elite, with a very low whiff rate and a hard-hit rate in the 86th percentile. The catch is a flat swing plane that produces a lot of ground balls, which is why Kalshi has him at only 10%.
That price gets you nearly a 10x return for a hitter who has been one of Tampa Bay's most reliable bats all year, and he is a fine way to diversify away from Caminero.
A $100 buy of Yes at 10 cents on Kalshi shows a max payout of $969.40 on the ticket, which is the figure used in the table above.
- If Díaz homers: the ticket returns $969.40 total.
- If he does not: the full $100 stake is lost.
That works out to roughly a 9.7x return on the stake.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Brice Turang 1+ Home Runs
| ⚾ WS Game 5 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang 1+ HR | Yes | 9% | $1,076.77 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Brice Turang is the longest shot on this board at 9%, but he hit 21 home runs and drove in 100 runs this season. That power stroke is a big reason he has been one of the best all-around players in the sport.
His postseason numbers have lagged, with a .641 OPS across 22 playoff games over the past four Octobers. He had homered once in the postseason entering the World Series, and a two-run single in Game 3 showed he can still deliver in big spots.
This is the highest-payout ticket of the five, so it is the one to size down if you are building a small portfolio of Game 5 home run trades.
A $100 buy of Yes at 9 cents on Kalshi shows a max payout of $1,076.77 on the ticket, which is the figure used in the table above.
- If Turang homers: the ticket returns $1,076.77 total.
- If he does not: the full $100 stake is lost.
That works out to roughly a 10.8x return on the stake.
What's Moving the Market on MLB Home Run Predictions Today
My board is tightly bunched across this Brewers vs Rays prediction. Nobody sits above 18%, and the five prices run from 9% to 18%, which tells you home runs are scarce on this stage rather than that any one slugger is a lock. These MLB home run predictions reflect a market that respects the bats but not the odds of any single swing.
The context backs that up. Both lineups finished in the bottom 10 in the Majors in home runs during the regular season, and Cash described Tampa Bay's Game 4 comeback as a rally pieced together from singles rather than power. Home run predictions today are a hard sell in that environment, which is why the payouts are so generous.
Two Rays (Caminero and Díaz) and three Brewers fill the board, lining up with Misiorowski on the mound for Milwaukee and an unsettled Rays pitching plan. Keep an eye on Tampa Bay's starter announcement and Caminero's foot before first pitch, since either could shift these prices quickly. Our Action Network prediction markets hub tracks how the other exchanges are pricing the best home run bets today.
How to Trade These Home Run Picks on Kalshi
Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading MLB home run predictions:
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the Game 5 home run tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started!
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Final Thoughts on the Best MLB Player Props Today for MIL vs TB
Game 5 sets up as a high-leverage spot where one swing can swing the series. Caminero, Chourio, Bauers, Díaz and Turang give you five different price points on the same night, from 18% down to 9%, and the home run predictions today span both clubs.
My MLB home run predictions for MIL vs. TB lean on form and context: Chourio is hot, Bauers has been a postseason menace, and Caminero is the highest-upside option if his foot holds up.
Size these trades the way you would any long shot, and remember that prices and starters can change before first pitch. This Brewers vs. Rays prediction board is a good place to start for anyone looking at the best MLB player props today.
FAQs
What Are the Best Home Run Bets Today in the Brewers vs Rays Prediction?
My board covers Junior Caminero at 18%, Jackson Chourio at 17%, Jake Bauers at 15%, Yandy Díaz at 10% and Brice Turang at 9% on Kalshi. Each is a 1+ home run Yes contract, so the best home run bets today depend on how much risk you want to take.
Where Can I Find MLB Home Run Predictions for the World Series?
You can find my most confident MLB home run predictions for Game 5 right here, with live prices from Kalshi and analysis on each batter. Our prediction markets hub also covers other exchanges.
What Are the Best MLB Player Props Today for World Series Game 5?
Home run props are the focus of this piece, and they are the best MLB player props today for a big-swing trade. Kalshi also lists other player props and game markets for Game 5, so check the other tabs on the market page.
What Are the Home Run Predictions Today for MIL vs TB?
Caminero (TB) is the most likely to go deep at 18%, followed by Chourio (MIL) at 17%, Bauers (MIL) at 15%, Díaz (TB) at 10% and Turang (MIL) at 9%. These are the home run predictions today for MIL vs. TB based on the prices I pulled.
How Do I Use the Kalshi Promo Code?
Create a Kalshi account using the offer link in this article, enter the promo code at signup, and complete any qualifying steps the offer requires. Read the full terms and conditions before you trade.
How Does a Kalshi Home Run Prop Work?
Each Yes contract pays one dollar if the player hits at least one home run, and the price you pay reflects the market's implied probability. If he does not homer, the contract settles at zero and your stake is lost.
Is Junior Caminero Playing in Game 5?
Caminero aggravated a left foot injury in Game 4 but said he is set to play, and Rays manager Kevin Cash said he will be in the lineup. Check the confirmed lineup before first pitch.
Who Is Starting for the Brewers and Rays in Game 5?
Jacob Misiorowski is scheduled to start for the Brewers. The Rays had not announced a starter in the latest reports, but Drew Rasmussen has been mentioned as a possibility.
