The Kalshi promo code ACTION55 is built for Friday's NBA Cup slate, and these NBA best bets today round up six trades from the live Kalshi board across three group-play games.
- Knicks vs. Pacers tips at 7:00 PM ET, Cavaliers vs. Heat follows at 8:00 PM ET, and Warriors vs. Spurs closes our slate at 9:30 PM ET.
- Our six picks include two totals, one spread, and three player points props, and Kalshi's own team totals show the Spurs as a 14-point favorite over a Curry-less Warriors team.
Here is our full picks table from the best prediction markets before we break down every game, with our NBA predictions listed in game order.
| 🏀 Game | 🏷️ Pick: Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYK vs IND | Under 219.5 (Over NO):No | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade Now! |
| NYK vs IND | Pascal Siakam 15+ Points:Yes | 84¢ | $119.05 | Trade Now! |
| CLE vs MIA | Over 234.5:Yes | 53¢ | $188.68 | Trade Now! |
| CLE vs MIA | Giannis Antetokounmpo 20+ Points:Yes | 88¢ | $113.64 | Trade Now! |
| GSW vs SAS | SAS -11.5:Yes | 52¢ | $192.31 | Trade Now! |
| GSW vs SAS | Victor Wembanyama 20+ Points:Yes | 87¢ | $114.94 | Trade Now! |
Read our dedicated Kalshi review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promos for other platforms.
NBA Best Bets Today: Our Top Kalshi Picks for Friday, November 13
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on Kalshi, part of our best NBA bets today for the three NBA Cup games we're covering. Not sure where to trade? Start with the best prediction market apps.
Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!
These NBA best bets today are built around Kalshi prices as they stand right now, and our NBA predictions can shift if lines move before tip.
Knicks vs. Pacers Prediction
The Knicks visit the Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and the game streams on Prime Video. Both teams dropped their NBA Cup openers in East Group B, so each side is chasing its first group-play win.
Tyrese Haliburton is out for Indiana with a hamstring strain, and Aaron Nesmith is questionable with a sore knee. Kalshi has New York at 73% to win outright.
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYK ML | Yes | 75¢ | $133.33 | Trade Now! |
| IND ML | Yes | 27¢ | $370.37 | Trade Now! |
| NYK -7.5 | Yes | 53¢ | $188.68 | Trade Now! |
| IND +7.5 (NYK -7.5 NO) | No | 48¢ | $208.33 | Trade Now! |
| Over 219.5 | Yes | 50¢ | $200.00 | Trade Now! |
| Under 219.5 (Over NO) | No | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade Now! |
Best Total Pick Today: Under 219.5
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 219.5 (Over NO) | No | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade Now! |
The Knicks play the slowest pace in the NBA, at 94.9 possessions per 48 minutes, so New York has the tempo even on the road.
Indiana has less to run with while Haliburton sits, and Kalshi's Over 219.5 is marked down 16 points to 48%. That move is why the No side on the Over costs 51¢.
At a 51¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 196 contracts, and the ticket shows an estimated return of $196.08.
- If the game finishes with 219 or fewer total points: Return of $196.08.
- If not, the $100 stake is a total loss.
A return of roughly 2x on a total that the market is already leaning toward the Under.
Best Player Points Pick Today: Pascal Siakam 15+ Points
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam 15+ Points | Yes | 84¢ | $119.05 | Trade Now! |
Siakam leads Indiana in scoring, and the Pacers need more from him with Haliburton sidelined.
Kalshi has the 15-point line at 85%, matching his usage as the first option on offense.
At an 84¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 119 contracts, and the ticket shows an estimated return of $119.05.
- If Siakam scores 15 or more points: Return of $119.05.
- If not, the $100 stake is a total loss.
A return of about 1.2x, a smaller number that fits how likely this line is.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction
Cleveland visits Miami at Kaseya Center at 8:00 PM ET. Evan Mobley is out for the Cavaliers with a toe sprain, while Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable for the Heat with a wrist injury.
Kalshi has Miami at 55% on the moneyline, up five points, and the Heat priced as 2.5-point favorites. Check the latest Cavaliers vs. Heat odds before you trade.
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA ML | Yes | 56¢ | $178.57 | Trade Now! |
| CLE ML | Yes | 45¢ | $222.22 | Trade Now! |
| MIA -2.5 | Yes | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade Now! |
| CLE +2.5 (MIA -2.5 NO) | No | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade Now! |
| Over 234.5 | Yes | 53¢ | $188.68 | Trade Now! |
| Under 234.5 (Over NO) | No | 49¢ | $204.08 | Trade Now! |
Best Total Pick Today: Over 234.5
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 234.5 | Yes | 53¢ | $188.68 | Trade Now! |
Miami's four home games this season have averaged 242.0 combined points, and all four finished above 220.
Cleveland also loses Mobley, its top frontcourt defender, against a Heat team built around Antetokounmpo.
At a 53¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 189 contracts, and the ticket shows an estimated return of $188.68.
- If the game finishes with 235 or more total points: Return of $188.68.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A return of roughly 1.9x on a total that sits below Miami's home average.
Best Player Points Pick Today: Giannis Antetokounmpo 20+ Points
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo 20+ Points | Yes | 88¢ | $113.64 | Trade Now! |
Antetokounmpo averages 27.3 points per game, well above this line, and Kalshi has the 20-point mark at 85%.
The wrist listing is the only question, and he is probable. With Mobley out, the Cavaliers have one fewer big body to slow him down.
At an 88¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 114 contracts, and the ticket shows an estimated return of $113.64.
- If Antetokounmpo scores 20 or more points: Return of $113.64.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A return of about 1.1x, the lowest on our board, for the clearest scorer on it.
Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction
San Antonio hosts Golden State at Frost Bank Center at 9:30 PM ET on Prime Video. The Spurs are 10-2 and riding a 10-game winning streak, while the Warriors are 8-4 and without Stephen Curry, who is out with an oblique tear.
Kalshi has San Antonio at 84% to win, up three points, and the Spurs priced as 11.5-point favorites.
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAS ML | Yes | 85¢ | $117.65 | Trade Now! |
| GSW ML | Yes | 16¢ | $625.00 | Trade Now! |
| SAS -11.5 | Yes | 52¢ | $192.31 | Trade Now! |
| GSW +11.5 (SAS -11.5 NO) | No | 49¢ | $204.08 | Trade Now! |
| Over 217.5 | Yes | 52¢ | $192.31 | Trade Now! |
| Under 217.5 (Over NO) | No | 50¢ | $200.00 | Trade Now! |
Best Spread Pick Today: San Antonio -11.5
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAS -11.5 | Yes | 52¢ | $192.31 | Trade Now! |
Kalshi's own team totals set the Spurs at 116.5 points and the Warriors at 102.5. That is a 14-point gap, wider than the 11.5-point spread.
San Antonio is at home, owns the longer winning streak, and faces a Golden State team missing its top scorer.
At a 52¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 contracts, and the ticket shows an estimated return of $192.31.
- If San Antonio wins by 12 or more: Return of $192.31.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A return of roughly 1.9x with the market's team totals pointing past the number.
Best Player Points Pick Today: Victor Wembanyama 20+ Points
| 🏀 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama 20+ Points | Yes | 87¢ | $114.94 | Trade Now! |
Wembanyama is averaging 36.6 points per game over his last five, and the 20-point line is well below that run.
Kalshi has this line at 88%, and the Warriors have no Curry to keep the game close.
At an 87¢ price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 115 contracts, and the ticket shows an estimated return of $114.94.
- If Wembanyama scores 20 or more points: Return of $114.94.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A return of about 1.1x on a line he has cleared by a wide margin lately.
What's Moving the Market: NBA Predictions on Kalshi
Prediction markets and prices can move for many reasons, and Kalshi's own movement arrows show where the money is going on Friday's board.
The biggest move is on the Knicks vs. Pacers total, where the Over 219.5 is marked down 16 points to 48%. In Cavaliers vs. Heat, Miami is up five to 55% while Cleveland is down five to 45%.
Warriors vs. Spurs shows San Antonio up three to 84% on the moneyline, while the Spurs spread and the Over 217.5 are each marked down four to 52%. We can't say what drove any of those moves.
Props moved too. Al Horford's 10-point line sits at 18%, down 13, and Mikal Bridges' 10-point line is at 39%, down seven. Check the latest injury news before you trade any player prop.
How to Trade the Best NBA Bets Today on Kalshi
Ready to get in on these NBA best bets today? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:
- Read a full Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the NBA tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55, deposit $25, and get a $55 bonus.
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Final Thoughts: NBA Best Bets Today
Friday's NBA best bets today lean on tempo and availability. The Knicks' slow pace and Indiana's missing guard drive our Under, while Miami's home scoring and Mobley's absence drive our Over.
The Spurs are our biggest read, with San Antonio -11.5 backed by Kalshi's own team totals and Wembanyama's 20-point line backed by his recent scoring. Antetokounmpo and Siakam round out our best NBA predictions as the player points trades we like most.
That wraps our NBA predictions for the games we're covering. Compare the Kalshi vs. Polymarket board before you trade, and head to the NBA hub for more coverage.
Kalshi Promo Code FAQs
What is the Kalshi promo code for today's NBA best bets?
The current Kalshi promo code is ACTION55. New users who sign up with it can deposit $25 and get a $55 bonus to use on any of Friday's NBA Cup markets, subject to the terms and conditions.
What are the best NBA bets today?
Our six NBA best bets today are Under 219.5 in Knicks vs. Pacers, Pascal Siakam 15+ points, Over 234.5 in Cavaliers vs. Heat, Giannis Antetokounmpo 20+ points, San Antonio -11.5, and Victor Wembanyama 20+ points.
What time do tonight's NBA Cup games start?
Knicks vs. Pacers tips at 7:00 PM ET, Cavaliers vs. Heat tips at 8:00 PM ET, and Warriors vs. Spurs tips at 9:30 PM ET on Friday, November 13.
How do Kalshi NBA contracts resolve?
Spread, total, and player points contracts resolve Yes if the stated condition is met and No if it isn't, while moneyline contracts resolve on which team wins. Each contract pays 1 dollar when your side wins and nothing when it doesn't.
What does the Est. Return column mean?
It shows what a 100-dollar trade returns if the pick wins, including your original stake, based on the listed price and before any fees. Your actual fill price can differ.
Which NBA predictions are on the Warriors vs. Spurs board?
We like San Antonio -11.5 and Victor Wembanyama 20+ points. Stephen Curry is out for Golden State, and Kalshi's team totals show a 14-point gap between the Spurs and Warriors.
Does this cover every NBA game on Friday?
No. These three games are the ones we're covering, and Kalshi has markets for the other NBA Cup games on Friday's slate too.
