TNF Touchdown Scorer Props | Patriots vs Bears Prediction: Best NFL Prop Bets Today, Best NFL Player Props, Anytime TD Scorer (TNF Best Bets)

The Polymarket promo code (ACTION) is perfect for Thursday Night Football. This Patriots vs. Bears prediction rounds up our TNF touchdown scorer props straight from the live Polymarket board.

• The Patriots arrive at 4-2 on a three-game winning streak, with Drake Maye throwing an NFL-best 10 touchdown passes over his last three games while Romeo Doubs and Mack Hollins sit out.
• The Bears are 4-2 after Caleb Williams returned from a hamstring injury to lead a road win over the Falcons, and Polymarket lists Chicago as a 3-point home favorite.

Here is our full picks table, which ranks the best NFL prop bets today from the best prediction markets before we break down every TNF touchdown scorer prop.

Read our dedicated Polymarket review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

Patriots vs Bears Prediction: TNF Touchdown Scorer Props and Best NFL Player Props

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on the live Polymarket board, part of our best NFL player props and TNF touchdown scorer props for this matchup, ranked from the safest number down to the long shots. Browse the best prediction market apps for more platforms and our NFL hub for more coverage.

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Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson tops this board because the market trusts his role near the goal line. He scored on a five-yard run in the first quarter against Las Vegas, and he has rushed for two touchdowns in a single game six times in his career.

Chicago gives him room to work. The Bears allow 6.0 yards per play, the second-most in the league, and their defense ranks 25th in EPA per run. New England has run for only four touchdowns as a team, so this price needs Stevenson to keep carrying the red-zone load.

At a $100 buy near 48¢, this trade works out to roughly 208 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes. The gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Stevenson scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $201.06.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That return runs just over 2-to-1 on your stake, a fair price for the safest touchdown ticket on the board.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland has 19 catches for 175 yards and a touchdown, and those numbers took a hit while Caleb Williams missed three games.

Williams returned with 305 passing yards and an 83.3% completion rate against the Falcons, and he now leads the NFL with a 72.5% completion rate. Loveland and fellow tight end Cole Kmet, who has one touchdown on seven catches, give Chicago two red-zone options against a Patriots defense that ranks among the top six in points and yards allowed.

At a $100 buy near 34¢, this trade works out to roughly 294 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Loveland scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $281.20.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return multiplies your stake by roughly 2.8, a middle-tier price for a tight end with a real role in the passing game.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III leads the Bears with 31 catches for 361 yards and a touchdown, reaching that total even though Williams missed three games.

New England allows 209.0 passing yards per game, 12th in the league, and Burden pairs with Rome Odunze to give Williams two outside targets. The Patriots also have to account for Loveland over the middle, which opens room for Burden to work.

At a $100 buy near 32.77¢, this trade works out to roughly 305 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Burden scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $291.51.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return lands at nearly 2.9 times your stake, almost identical to Loveland's price for a receiver who leads his team in catches.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Drake Maye

Drake Maye has thrown an NFL-best 10 touchdown passes over his last three games, but anytime touchdown contracts for quarterbacks hinge on rushing scores, so this ticket needs Maye to run one in.

Chicago ranks in the top five in both sacks and pressure rate, with 17 sacks and a 30.2% pressure rate. Pressure that flushes Maye from the pocket creates scramble chances near the goal line, and the Bears allow 6.0 yards per play when coverage breaks down.

At a $100 buy near 20¢, this trade works out to roughly 500 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Maye scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $473.65.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return pays about 4.7 times your stake, which suits a trader who wants a quarterback longshot alongside the skill-position tickets.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today – D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift leads the first touchdown market because he owns Chicago's backfield. He has 94 carries for 398 yards and six rushing touchdowns, and the Bears lead the NFL with 160.7 rushing yards per game.

Kyle Monangai, Chicago's other lead back, is doubtful with a toe injury and sat out Tuesday's practice, which pushes even more carries toward Swift. New England also ranks 24th in defensive EPA per run despite strong yardage numbers, and the Bears hold the ball for more than 36 minutes per game.

At a $100 buy near 17¢, this trade works out to roughly 588 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Swift scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $556.17.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return pays about 5.6 times your stake, and it's the shortest price on the first touchdown board.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Corey Kiner

Corey Kiner is the Patriots' deep longshot. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels called his number eight straight times to close out the Jets, and Kiner turned those carries into 42 yards and three first downs.

Kiner went undrafted in 2025 and arrived from Arizona for a future seventh-round pick, so the price reflects a depth role. If New England leads late again, he gets the clock-killing carries, and short touchdown runs can come with that job.

At a $100 buy near 10.11¢, this trade works out to roughly 989 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Kiner scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $931.04.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return clears 9 times your stake, a true longshot priced for a depth back.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today – A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown gives the Patriots their best first touchdown bounce-back angle at a longshot price. He played for the first time since Week 1 against the Jets and caught three passes for 27 yards on a team-high 10 targets, with drops hurting him.

Romeo Doubs sits on injured reserve, and Mack Hollins is out, so Maye has fewer proven targets to choose from. Maye says Brown's recent struggles are no cause for concern, and the Bears gave up chunk plays in the secondary during their loss at Green Bay.

At a $100 buy near 8¢, this trade works out to roughly 1,250 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Brown scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $1,174.90.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return pays nearly 12 times your stake, which rewards a trader who bets on a star receiver finding his rhythm.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today – Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams adds a sneak-and-scramble angle at a longshot price. He has rushed for two touchdowns in his three starts, and he leads the NFL with a 72.5% completion rate.

The Patriots defense ranks among the top six in points and yards allowed, so Chicago may lean on Williams's legs near the goal line instead of forcing throws into tight windows. New England recorded nine sacks against Chicago in their last meeting, reminding us this matchup can turn on pressure.

At a $100 buy near 5¢, this trade works out to roughly 2,000 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Williams scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $1,876.20.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return pays nearly 19 times your stake, the kind of multiple that makes a small position worth a look.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today – DeMario Douglas

DeMario Douglas caught a touchdown from Maye against the Jets, and he fills a bigger role with Doubs on injured reserve and Hollins out.

Maye has thrown at least three touchdown passes in three straight games, and New England keeps spreading those scores around. At 4%, this ticket is a pure lottery shot on one of those looks arriving first.

At a $100 buy near 4¢, this trade works out to roughly 2,500 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Douglas scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $2,343.70.
• If he does not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return clears 23 times your stake, an extreme longshot built for the smallest positions.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today – No Touchdown Scored

This ticket wins only if neither team scores a touchdown, which rarely happens in a modern NFL game. The two offenses average a combined 47.7 points per game, and sportsbooks set the total at 50.5.

Both defenses rank in the top seven in yards allowed, and Chicago and Minnesota played a 9-3 game in Week 2, so a defensive slog can happen. We list this contract because Polymarket prices it, but size it as a tiny-stake ticket at most.

At a $100 buy near 1¢, this trade works out to roughly 10,000 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If neither team scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $9,356.00.
• If either team scores one: the $100 stake is a total loss.

That return clears 93 times your stake, which tells you how unlikely the market thinks a touchdown-free game is.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Our anytime touchdown scorer predictions below cover every anytime market we pulled from Polymarket for this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Rhamondre Stevenson (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 48%): New England's top anytime option, even though the Patriots have run for only four touchdowns this season.
• Colston Loveland (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 34%): Chicago's young tight end gets Williams back at quarterback and a full red-zone role.
• Luther Burden III (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 32%): Chicago's leader in catches, with 31 for 361 yards and a touchdown.
• Drake Maye (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 20%): A quarterback who needs a rushing score to cash this ticket.
• Corey Kiner (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 10%): A depth back who closed out the Jets with eight straight carries.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Here is the full first touchdown scorer board, where only one player on the field can cash.

• D'Andre Swift (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 17%): The likeliest first scorer with Kyle Monangai doubtful for Chicago.
• A.J. Brown (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 8%): New England's top receiver chasing a bounce-back after a quiet return.
• Caleb Williams (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 5%): Two rushing touchdowns in three starts give him sneak and scramble value.
• DeMario Douglas (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 4%): A receiver with a bigger role while Doubs and Hollins sit out.
• No Touchdown Scored (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 1%): The market gives a touchdown-free game almost no chance.

What's Moving the Market for TNF Touchdown Scorer Props

Prediction markets and prices move for several reasons. This week, injuries drive most of the movement across our best NFL prop bets today and TNF best bets: Romeo Doubs sits on injured reserve, Mack Hollins is out, and Bears running back Kyle Monangai is doubtful with a toe injury.

Those absences explain why Swift leads the first touchdown board and why Brown and Douglas carry more weight on the Patriots side. Chicago also plays without edge rusher Dayo Odeyingbo, who sits on injured reserve, and Montez Sweat, who serves the second game of a two-game suspension, which thins the Bears' pass rush.

Polymarket opened the Bears as 1.5-point home favorites and pushed them to 3 points, and the total sits at 50.5, according to the Patriots vs. Bears odds and betting predictions page on Action Network. The team totals tell the same story, with books setting the Bears at 26.5 points and the Patriots at 23.5.

That total supports our anytime touchdown scorer predictions across the board, since two offenses that average a combined 47.7 points per game create plenty of touchdown chances.

How to Trade These TNF Best Bets on Polymarket

Ready to get in on these TNF best bets yourself? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading Thursday's board:

• Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
• Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
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Final Thoughts: Best NFL Prop Bets Today

Chicago and New England meet as two 4-2 teams with matching top-seven defenses, and the touchdown board reflects that balance. Stevenson, Loveland and Burden headline our safer anytime touchdown scorer predictions, while Swift leads the first touchdown market.

The longer shots, Kiner, Brown, Williams and Douglas, offer real leverage for traders chasing a bigger multiple, especially with Doubs and Hollins out in New England. These TNF touchdown scorer props and best NFL player props give you a full menu from a near coin flip down to a lottery ticket.

That wraps our full Patriots vs Bears prediction and every TNF best bets touchdown ticket we'd make on the Polymarket board.

Patriots vs Bears Prediction FAQs

Who wins the Patriots vs Bears prediction on Thursday Night Football?

Polymarket lists the Bears as 3-point home favorites with the total at 50.5. Our Patriots vs Bears prediction focuses on the Polymarket touchdown scorer props rather than a side.

What are the best TNF touchdown scorer props for Patriots vs Bears?

Rhamondre Stevenson leads our anytime touchdown board at 48%, and D'Andre Swift leads the first touchdown board at 17%. Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III sit next at 34% and 32% for anytime touchdowns.

What are the best NFL player props for Patriots vs Bears?

Our best NFL player props cover ten Polymarket touchdown tickets, from Stevenson's 48% anytime price down to the 1% No Touchdown Scored contract.

What are the best NFL prop bets today for TNF?

Our best NFL prop bets today lean on Stevenson, Loveland, and Burden for safer anytime touchdown prices, plus Swift and A.J. Brown for first touchdown value.

What are the best anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Patriots vs Bears?

Stevenson (48%), Loveland (34%), Burden (32%), Drake Maye (20%), and Corey Kiner (10%) make up the full anytime touchdown board we cover.

Who has the best chance to score the first touchdown?

D'Andre Swift leads at 17%, followed by A.J. Brown at 8%, Caleb Williams at 5%, and DeMario Douglas at 4%. A game without a touchdown trades at 1%.

Where can I trade these TNF best bets?

All of our TNF best bets trade on Polymarket, and the tables above link straight to the trade screen.

How do I use the Polymarket promo code for Patriots vs Bears?

Create an account, make a qualifying $10 deposit, and enter the promo code ACTION at sign-up to unlock the trading bonus before kickoff.

How do Polymarket touchdown contracts work?

Each Anytime Touchdown contract resolves Yes if the named player scores at least one touchdown, and each First Touchdown Scorer contract resolves Yes only if that player scores the game's first touchdown. Winning shares pay out in full, and losing shares pay nothing.

How can I watch Patriots vs Bears?

Thursday Night Football streams on Prime Video from Soldier Field in Chicago.