Who Went Home on Dancing with the Stars Last Night?: Updated DWTS Season 35 Winner Odds After Disney Night

Dancing with the Stars sent Julia Stiles and Ezra Sosa home on Disney Night, Monday, Nov. 2, while Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Dewan each earned a perfect 40/40. Seven couples remain, and Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach are still the Season 35 favorites at 59% on Kalshi and 63% on Polymarket. Shum Jr. is the biggest mover on both boards.

Disney Night Recap: Scores, Team Dances and Julia Stiles' Elimination

• Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna Johnson: 40/40, jazz to "Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious" (Mary Poppins)
• Jenna Dewan & Val Chmerkovskiy: 40/40, quickstep to "Be Our Guest" (Beauty and the Beast)
• Ezra Frech & Daniella Karagach: 37/40, samba to "Under the Sea" (The Little Mermaid)
• Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov: 34/40, quickstep to "A Star Is Born" (Hercules)
• Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik: 33/40, contemporary to "Easy as Life" (Aida)
• Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa: 33/40, paso doble to "Satisfied" (Hamilton), eliminated
• Connor Wood & Rylee Arnold: 32/40, waltz to "I See the Light" (Tangled)
• Maura Higgins & Mark Ballas: 32/40, jive to "You Can Fly!" (Peter Pan)

Team Wildcats, made up of Shum Jr., Dewan, Frech and Wood, scored a perfect 40 for "We're All in This Together." Team Slaytopia, with Glenn, Stiles, Ali and Higgins, earned 36 for "Zoo." That left Shum Jr. and Dewan tied atop the leaderboard at 80/80, with Frech at 77, Wood at 72 and Glenn at 70.

Shum Jr. won immunity from next week's dance-off by beating Dewan by one point on the season-long cumulative tiebreaker. It was his second straight 40/40 and Dewan's first. Stiles and Higgins landed in the bottom two, and Stiles went home despite tying for sixth at 69/80.

Who's Already Left the Ballroom: Season 35 Elimination Recap

• Conner Leavitt & Adele Zaikman (premiere, Sept. 15)
• Sarah Jane Nader & Hailey Bills (premiere, Sept. 16)
• Giada De Laurentiis & Alan Bersten (Week 2)
• Taylor Hanson & Britt Stewart (Week 3)
• Ciara Miller & Brandon Armstrong (Week 4)
• Guillermo Rodriguez & Witney Carson (Week 5)
• Week 6 Dedication Night: no elimination
• Jackson Olson & Emma Slater (Week 7, double elimination)
• Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess (Week 7, double elimination)
• Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa (Week 8)

DWTS Season 35 Kalshi Winner Odds: Top Trading Contracts to Win the Mirrorball

Kalshi's event contracts trade between 1¢ and 99¢, and each price doubles as the market's implied probability. A "Yes" contract pays $1 if that celebrity wins the Season 35 Mirrorball Trophy, with the finale scheduled for Nov. 24. The winner market has more than $7.5 million in total volume.

Ezra Frech & Daniella Karagach (59%, Yes 59¢ / No 42¢, unchanged)

Frech remains the clear favorite even though two couples out-scored him on Disney Night. His 37/40 samba and 77/80 total rank third, and he would be the show's first amputee winner. His price sits at 59% after reading 62% on last week's board.

Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna Johnson (17%, Yes 17¢ / No 84¢, +10 pts)

Shum Jr. is the biggest mover after a second straight 40/40 and a 10-point jump. His perfect jazz and the Wildcats' perfect team dance made it an 80/80 night, and he now has dance-off immunity.

Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov (14%, Yes 14¢ / No 87¢, -5 pts)

Glenn fell 5 points after a 34/40 quickstep and a 36 from the Slaytopia team dance. Her 70/80 total sits fifth.

• Connor Wood & Rylee Arnold (6%, Yes 6¢ / No 95¢): A 32/40 waltz and the perfect Wildcats team dance left him fourth at 72/80.
• Jenna Dewan & Val Chmerkovskiy (6%, Yes 6¢ / No 95¢): Her first perfect score tied her for first on the leaderboard, yet the price did not move.
• Maura Higgins & Mark Ballas (2%, Yes 3¢ / No 98¢, -2 pts): A 32/40 jive and a bottom-two finish leave her last on the leaderboard at 68/80.
• Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik (<1%, Yes 1¢): A season-high 33/40 kept her in the race at 69/80.
• Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa (<1%, Yes 1¢): The contract is still listed even though she was eliminated Monday.

Here is what a $100 position on each winner contract would return in profit if it settles "Yes," before any fees.

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DWTS Season 35 Polymarket Winner Odds: Top Trading Contracts to Win the Mirrorball

Polymarket uses the same 1¢ to 99¢ structure, and each "Yes" share pays $1 if that celebrity wins the Mirrorball Trophy. The market shows $108,088 in total volume with an end date of Dec. 30, 2026. Stiles no longer appears on the board.

Ezra Frech & Daniella Karagach (63%, Yes 63¢ / No 38¢, +4 pts)

Polymarket pushed Frech up 4 points to 63%, a firmer number than Kalshi's 59%. His contract also leads the board in volume at $29,115.

Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna Johnson (13%, Yes 14.3¢ / No 89.0¢, +6 pts)

Shum Jr. gained 6 points, a smaller jump than Kalshi's 10. The 14.3¢ Yes price sits above the 13% headline, and the contract has traded $10,774.

Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov (11%, Yes 12¢ / No 91¢, -8 pts)

Glenn lost 8 points, the steepest drop among the contenders and larger than Kalshi's 5. Her contract has traded $15,923.

• Connor Wood & Rylee Arnold (7%, Yes 7.5¢ / No 92.6¢, +1 pt): The perfect Wildcats team dance lifted him to 72/80.
• Jenna Dewan & Val Chmerkovskiy (3%, Yes 4.6¢ / No 97.7¢, -1 pt): An 80/80 night and a first perfect score came with a 1-point drop, and the price is half of Kalshi's.
• Maura Higgins & Mark Ballas (2%, Yes 3.0¢ / No 99.2¢, -3 pts): A bottom-two finish pairs with $23,417 in volume, second-most on the board.
• Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik (1%, Yes 1.0¢ / No 99.9¢): A season-high 33/40 has drawn only $567 in volume.

Here is what a $100 position on each winner contract would return in profit if it settles "Yes," before any fees.

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How Kalshi and Polymarket Compare on the Season 35 Winner Market

The ordering is identical. Frech leads, Shum Jr. is second, Glenn third and Wood fourth on both boards, and both moved Shum Jr. up and Glenn and Higgins down.

The gaps are in the size of the favorite. Polymarket has Frech at 63% to Kalshi's 59%, while Kalshi gives Shum Jr. and Glenn 31% combined to Polymarket's 24%. Kalshi also has Dewan at 6% against Polymarket's 3%.

Liquidity is the likely driver. Kalshi's $7.55 million is about 70 times Polymarket's $108,088, so its more spread-out board is the sturdier read. Stiles is a leftover listing on Kalshi and absent from Polymarket, so that is not a price gap.

DWTS Season 35 Price Analysis – Market Price Influencers

Shum Jr. moved because he stacked a second straight perfect score, an 80/80 night and immunity from next week's dance-off. Glenn's drop reflects the other side, a 34/40 and a fifth-place 70/80 on a night two couples hit 40.

Dewan is the odd case. She tied Shum Jr. at 80/80 with her first perfect score and is still priced at 6% on Kalshi and 3% on Polymarket. That suggests traders are weighting audience support above the leaderboard, which is the same logic that keeps Frech at 59% to 63% as the third-place scorer.

Three episodes remain, ending with the Nov. 24 finale, and Week 9 is listed as Grammy Night on the announced schedule. With seven couples left, a single low-scoring or low-vote night could still reshape the top of this board.

How to Trade DWTS Season 35 Winner Odds on Prediction Markets

Ready to take a position? You can start trading these event contracts in minutes on either exchange.

Kalshi

• Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
• Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.

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Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Polymarket

• Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
• Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.

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18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Disclaimer: Prediction markets provide real-time probability estimates based on traded contracts. These prices reflect market sentiment and are not a guarantee of future outcomes. Trading event contracts involves risk; ensure you understand the resolution criteria before taking a position.