New traders who want a piece of today’s James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton showdown can claim Polymarket promo code ACTION in under three minutes. Sign up, deposit $10, and get $25 to trade the race on prediction markets while Texas polls stay open through 7 p.m. today, Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026
State Rep. Talarico beat U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary, and Attorney General Paxton beat Sen. John Cornyn in the Republican runoff by nearly 30 points after President Trump endorsed him. Texas has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994.
Our Action Network Texas Senate race odds page tracks every price, our Polymarket review explains the app, and our politics hub covers the midterms. Your $25 bonus funds a front-row seat to a race at the center of the fight for Senate control.
Polymarket Promo Code ACTION Overview for Texas Senate Traders
| Polymarket Promo Code | ACTION |
|---|---|
| Polymarket Welcome Offer | Deposit $10, Get $25 |
| US Midterm Race | Texas Senate Race |
| Polls Open in TX | 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. CT today |
| Prices with Kalshi | Talarico 73¢, Paxton 29¢ |
| Current Rating | 9.6/10 (Polymarket) |
Compare more offers to trade Polymarket Talarico vs. Paxton markets in our best prediction market promos and best prediction market apps guides.
Also follow our Action Network midterm elections tracker, see the latest Kalshi's Senate, House, and governor odds, and learn learn how to trade the 2026 midterm elections.
Who Is Going to Win Polymarket Talarico vs. Paxton Race?
Polymarket Talarico vs. Paxton prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and double as implied chances: 76¢ means 76%. Recently, Talarico’s line climbed from 69¢ at the last update to 76¢, while Paxton’s fell from 32¢ to 25¢.
| Candidate | Yes Price | Latest Move |
|---|---|---|
| Talarico (D) | 76¢ | Up 7¢ |
| Paxton (R) | 25¢ | Down 7¢ |
Republicans won all five of the last Texas Senate races, so James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton tests a long streak:
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Cruz (R) | +8.5 |
| 2020 | Cornyn (R) | +9.6 |
| 2018 | Cruz (R) | +2.6 |
| 2014 | Cornyn (R) | +27.2 |
| 2012 | Cruz (R) | +15.9 |
Final polling averages missed by three to four points in each of the last three races: Cruz led by 6.8 in 2018 but won by 2.6, Cornyn led by about 6.5 in 2020 but won by 9.6, and Cruz led by 4.4 in 2024 but won by 8.5.
Final surveys run from a 1-point Paxton lead to a 7-point Talarico lead, and the polling average has Talarico up 2.5 points. Talarico’s share runs from 47.6% to 51.3%, Paxton’s from 43% to 48.7%. Cost of living ranks as the top issue, and Talarico leads among voters who say higher prices hurt them.
Traders price Talarico as a 3-to-1 favorite, yet polling misses larger than his 2.5-point lead keep Paxton’s path open. Claim Polymarket promo code ACTION to trade whichever side the final price favors.
What Is Happening in the Texas US Senate Race?
Money, scandal and a missing debate shaped the final stretch. Paxton turned down every debate invitation, which made this the first Texas Senate race since 2000 without one. Republican groups funded almost entirely by Elon Musk spent more than $272 million.
Paxton suggested Talarico’s October flu absence hid a mental breakdown. Talarico denied it, and the facility named in rumors confirmed he was never a patient.
Talarico leads among urban and suburban voters, women, voters under 50, independents, and Black and Latino voters. Paxton leads among rural voters, men and voters over 50.
More than 7.4 million Texans voted early, 36% more than in 2022, and Sen. Ted Cruz warned Republicans risk losing every statewide race.
Paxton needs a big Election Day showing, and 40% of Republicans said they planned to vote today. He closed with rallies in Fort Worth and Tyler, while Talarico rallied in Houston.
How Do You Redeem the Polymarket Promo Code ACTION?
New traders can claim Polymarket promo code ACTION in four steps:
- Use one of our Polymarket sign up links.
- Create your Polymarket account.
- Enter ACTION when asked for a code.
- Deposit $10 to activate the Polymarket promo code bonus, then buy a Yes share on Talarico or Paxton.
I redeemed the offer on my phone in about three minutes, then bought a Yes share on Talarico as my first trade. The steps match if you search for the Polymarket referral code ACTION.
When Do Texas Polls Open, Close and Report Results?
- Polls open at 7 a.m. today, according to the Texas Secretary of State.
- Polls close at 7 p.m. tonight local time, according to the Texas Secretary of State. Far West Texas runs on Mountain Time.
- Results: Polymarket’s market page says the market resolves on or around Nov. 3, once its three named resolution sources call the race for the same candidate.
Claim Polymarket promo code ACTION before polls close tonight, then trade the race from your phone.
Texas US Senate Race and Polymarket Promo Code – FAQs
What is the Polymarket promo code?
The Polymarket promo code ACTION gives new traders $25 after a $10 deposit. Enter it during sign-up to trade Polymarket Talarico vs. Paxton markets.
How do Polymarket prices work for new traders?
A 76¢ Yes share on Talarico pays $1 if he wins and $0 if he loses, a 24¢ profit per share. Sell before the result to lock in a gain or cut a loss.
How does the Polymarket referral code ACTION work?
The Polymarket referral code ACTION is the same as the promo code. Enter it at sign-up, deposit $10, and the offer applies.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
