Chargers vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2024
Chargers at Cardinals
1:00 am • ESPN+Chargers at Cardinals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Chargers 8-4 | +1 | -1-115 | o44.5-110 | -122 |
Cardinals 6-6 | u45 | +1-105 | u44.5-108 | +102 |
Tuesday 1:00 a.m.
October 22, 2024State Farm StadiumGlendale
Chargers vs. Cardinals Expert Picks
Shady Biev
46d ago
Last 30d: 151-205-3 (-62.3u)
Over 31.5 (Live)-112
2.5u
JB Bets
46d ago
Last 30d: 47-21-0 (+19.2u)
ARI +100 (Live)
1u
Bet What Happens Live!
46d ago
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (+0.3u)
W.Dissly Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+700
0.25u
M.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+900
0.25u
T.McBride Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+650
0.5u
T.McBride o60.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
1u
M.Wilson o11.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
J.Dobbins o51.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110
1u
J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+180
1u
Boomer Betz
46d ago
Last 30d: 155-147-10 (+64.6u)
ARI +140 (Live)
1.4u
💰🦡 Jake
46d ago
Last 30d: 84-89-2 (-15.9u)
Over 35.5 (Live)-110
1.1u
The Degenerates
46d ago
Last 30d: 85-85-3 (-8.5u)
LAC -116 (Live)
1.16u
Mjaybrod
46d ago
Last 30d: 136-116-1 (+13.1u)
Over 37.5 (Live)+100
1u
Little value here little bit there
Ryan Sura
46d ago
Last 30d: 88-102-5 (-19.5u)
Over 39.5 (Live)-110
1.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
46d ago
Last 30d: 274-239-11 (+25.5u)
J.Herbert o1.5 Pass TDs+160
0.5u
3.56% ev
L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+225
0.4u
3.65% ev value at this number
Firefighter Bets
46d ago
Last 30d: 17-21-0 (-5.9u)
J.Palmer o35.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
Brandon Anderson
46d ago
Last 30d: 35-56-0 (+3.7u)
Over 21.5 (1H)-115
0.5u
MNF preview: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/los-angeles-chargers-vs-arizona-cardinals-prediction-pick-odds-nfl-monday-night-football-october-21?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
Firefighter Bets
46d ago
Last 30d: 17-21-0 (-5.9u)
T.McBride o51.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Prop Bet Guy
46d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
K.Vidal o26.5 Rush + Rec Yds-119
1.19u
Dobbins is going to get a ton of work, but I expect Vidal (24% snap share last week) to keep mixing in, if not a bit more. He ran 10 routes to Dobbins’ 14 last week, and impressed with a first read wheel route TD catch.
Dobbins got 27 touches last week, unsustainable for him with his injury history. I’m not saying Vidal will get the Gus Edwards workload, but he’s definitely earned more touches this week. And it’s a prime spot against the Cards who are allowing the fourth most RB rush yards per game and rank 22nd in DVOA vs RBs in the pass game.
Not expecting a wheel route, but do expect 7-8 touches and 35+ yards. He’s dynamic.
Prop Hunter
46d ago
Last 30d: 36-33-0 (+6.8u)
L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+185
0.5u
T.McBride Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230
0.5u
T.McBride o51.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
YBK Picks.com
46d ago
Last 30d: 48-35-2 (+19.0u)
ARI +1-105
1.9u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
46d ago
Last 30d: 274-239-11 (+25.5u)
G.Dortch Anytime TD Scorer Yes+600
1.8u
7.24% ev and projection shows value
PvB Bets
46d ago
Last 30d: 23-10-1 (+10.1u)
G.Dortch o21.5 Rec Yds-118
1u
G. Dortch ⬆️ 22.5 RecY (-120 @ MGM)(+100 w/ 20% Boost)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 32.63 RecY
We've seen Dortch clear this line in 4 of 6 games this season and in games with at least a 60% snap share, he's cleared it in 4 or 4 games, averaging 39 receiving yards per game. There is no reason he shouldn't see 60%+ again tonight. We've seen money come in on the over here as this line opened at 20.5.
Dortch remains 2nd on this team in route % and runs primarily out of the slot. He's owning a 15.3% target share, which is up from his 9.2% last season. As with most slot WR's, he owns a smaller aDOT at 5.7. However, he's been really solid after the catch with a 6.53 yards after the catch per reception. That not only ranks him first on the Cardinals, but top 20 in the NFL of pass catchers that have at least 100 routes run.
The Chargers present as a solid matchup for him, ranking 5th in completion percentage allowed and 11th in yards after contact allowed per reception. Here are the slot WR's to face LAC so far this season:
DEN D. Vele: 4 catches for 78 yards
KC T. Kelce: 7 for 89
KC X. Worthy: 3 for 73, TD
_Both Kelce and Worthy ran out of the slot the most_
PIT C. Austin: 4 for 94, TD
CAR A. Thielen: 2 for 20
LV J. Meyers: 3 for 61
Now, we can throw out the CAR game since their leading receiver had 23 yards and it was a TE. For every other game, the slot has been very exploitable this season.
J.Herbert u3.5 Rush Att-130
0.77u
J. Herbert ⬇️ 3.5 Rushing Attempts (-115 @ MGM)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 2.76 RA's
If you strictly look at trends you'll see that he's cleared this mark in his 3 of 5 games this season, averaging 3.6 attempts per game. However, let's break that down further by game> I went back and watched each rushing attempt:
**Week 1**: Scramble for 8 yards (not designed), kneel, kneel, kneel (4 RA's)
**Week 2**: Scramble for 8 yards (not designed), right end for 13 yards (designed), up middle for 1 yard (essentially a kneel down since they were at their own two yard line to end half), kneel, kneel, kneel
**Week 3**: fumble off snap (recovered by Herbert)
**Week 4**: fumble off hand-off (Herbert gets the attempt), right end for -2 yards (option play), up middle for 2 yards (tush push for first down)
**Week 5**: kneel, scramble right end for 5 (not designed, almost sacked), kneel, kneel
So, of his 18 rushing attempts, half (8) were kneel downs, one was practically a kneel down and two were fumbles. That's 11 of the 18 rushing attempts! Of the other 7, only one was designed. This line IMO is an over-reaction of total attempts rather than looking into how those attempts were created.
I think this line should be at 2.5. Kneel downs are difficult to predict and THE BLITZ even accounts for it. With a spread at -1.5, it's practically a pick'em and there is no guarantee that this LAC team will get to kneel at the end of this game (Even if they are winning).
Boomer Betz
46d ago
Last 30d: 155-147-10 (+64.6u)
ARI -105
2.86u
👸
Royals Props
46d ago
Last 30d: 57-55-2 (-1.6u)
K.Vidal o16.5 Rush Yds-110
0.55u
Mike Randle
46d ago
Last 30d: 24-16-0 (+5.8u)
J.Dobbins o81.5 Rush Yds-112
1u
Follow all my picks at FTNFantasy.com!
Kyle Murray
46d ago
Last 30d: 67-80-2 (-10.4u)
J.Palmer o35.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Capper Central
46d ago
Last 30d: 67-68-1 (-11.2u)
LAC -118
$1180.00
Top Shelf Action 🥃
46d ago
Last 30d: 274-239-11 (+25.5u)
G.Dortch o24.5 Rec Yds+110
1.1u
5% ev and projection leans to the over
The Propfessor
46d ago
Last 30d: 41-41-0 (-9.6u)
W.Dissly o24.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
MNF Play #1
No Hayden Hurst, who was the Chargers’ TE1 for the first 4 weeks of the season, 18.8 routes per game. Dissly ran about 8-9 routes per game while Hurst was healthy. When Hurst went out with an injury last week, Dissly saw a season-high 67% of snaps, and 21 routes ran. Had 5 targets.
He has some pretty crazy efficiency numbers this season. Cardinals run a top 10 rate of cover 3, which Dissly has a 30% TPRR and 3.45 YPRR against this season.
Cardinals allow the 2nd-highest inline target rate in the NFL (15.0%). Dissly runs 73.0% of his routes from an inline alignment. Arizona’s top graded coverage LB, Owen Pappoe, is out. Kyzir White is also questionable.
Mjaybrod
46d ago
Last 30d: 136-116-1 (+13.1u)
K.Murray o215.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
Under this number L4 weeks
Matthew Vincenzi
46d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ARI +1-110
1u
Kyle Just Bets
46d ago
Last 30d: 25-17-1 (+7.4u)
T.McBride o17.5 Longest Reception-125
1u
Green Dot Daily
46d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
A.Gilman u5.5 Tackles + Ast-125
0.8u
@The_Oddsmaker
J.Herbert o1.5 Pass TDs+175
1u
@nick_giffen
J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes-120
1u
Via Grant Neiffer
M.Wilson o29.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
@charliedisturco
T.McBride Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270
0.5u
Shady Biev
46d ago
Last 30d: 151-205-3 (-62.3u)
J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes-130
1.95u
Over 44-110
2.2u
Sir Lockselot
46d ago
Last 30d: 43-66-0 (+12.7u)
ARI +100
3u
🔑 Cardinals ML +100 (FanDuel) 3u
We have our 1st hammer of the week! Public all over chargers but sharp money coming in on the Cards. The Cardinals D is bad but at home against the Chargers coming off a big win, love this spot for AZ.
Shady Biev
46d ago
Last 30d: 151-205-3 (-62.3u)
K.Murray o215.5 Pass Yds-110
2.2u
M.Harrison o52.5 Rec Yds-115
1.73u
ARI +100
3u
M.Harrison Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175
1u
M.Harrison First Touchdown Scorer Yes+900
0.5u
Nick Giffen
46d ago
Last 30d: 53-100-0 (+10.3u)
J.Herbert o1.5 Pass TDs+170
1u
Sean Koerner
46d ago
Last 30d: 32-30-0 (-3.7u)
A.Gilman u5.5 Tackles + Ast-125
1u
Giving out on GDD
Grant Neiffer
46d ago
Last 30d: 48-44-4 (+4.1u)
J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes-120
1.2u
L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1u
Moneyline Hacks
46d ago
Last 30d: 53-55-0 (-6.4u)
LAC -1-112
1u
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Picks Office
46d ago
Last 30d: 106-105-4 (-7.5u)
Under 44.5-110
0.91u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
The Chargers’ defense is one of the best in the league, while the Cardinals' offense is struggling with injuries, especially on the offensive line. Los Angeles relies on a run-heavy, clock-controlling approach, leading to low-scoring games. Given Arizona's offensive struggles and the Chargers' strong defense, expect this MNF matchup to stay under the point total.
CeeJ Picks
46d ago
Last 30d: 60-56-0 (+41.9u)
J.Dobbins o75.5 Rush Yds-115
1.15u
The Chargers take on the Cardinals on MNF this week with Dobbins in a prime position to rack up some yards. Dobbins has had a successful comeback year with the Chargers after being sidelined numerous times due to injury during his time in Baltimore. Jim Harbaugh has implemented his run focused scheme with the Chargers and it has paid off as Dobbins has carried this offense to a 4-2 record.
This Cardinals come into this game with the 29th ranked run defense, allowing an average of 153 YPG and a 4.7 YPC. Dobbins should be able to take advantage of this mismatch. This season, Dobbins has hit this line in 3/5 games with 96+ yards in all 3. His only 2 misses were against elite run defense (KC and PIT). The Cardinals have struggled to stop every back they have faced and I don't expect them to magically figure it out here vs the run heavy Chargers.
I am liking Dobbins to run all over this defense and find the endzone at least once.
Markus Markets
46d ago
Last 30d: 81-99-2 (+24.1u)
G.Dortch o21.5 Rec Yds-118
1u
BetRivers
VegasIsMyBitch
46d ago
Last 30d: 29-27-1 (-0.4u)
LAC -2+100
1u
Projected at -3
Arizona's offense has already been struggling recently and is going against LA Chargers' solid Defense
Arizona's defense is banged up,
Chargers will have ease running the ball as Arizona struggles to stop the run this season
Lots of trends and stats posted on my feed:
https://x.com/vegasismybitchh/status/1848416236318687288?s=46
Scott Rickenbach
46d ago
Last 30d: 91-65-1 (+14.6u)
ARI +1.5-115
0.87u
💰🦡 Jake
46d ago
Last 30d: 84-89-2 (-15.9u)
J.Conner Anytime TD Scorer-105
1.05u
Over 20.5 (1H)-125
1.88u
Gilles Gallant
46d ago
Last 30d: 33-72-1 (-6.9u)
M.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+380
0.5u
J.Palmer Anytime TD Scorer Yes+333
0.5u
Sandy Plashkes
46d ago
Last 30d: 119-116-3 (+10.0u)
M.Harrison o54.5 Rec Yds-112
1.12u
Tailing @RoyalsProps - got a way worse # but we ride
Mjaybrod
46d ago
Last 30d: 136-116-1 (+13.1u)
L.McConkey o4.5 Recs-140
0.71u
This dude doesn’t exist move on
L.McConkey o52.5 Rec Yds-110
0.5u
Crazy that his line is the same as MH3
Lines at Lunch
46d ago
Last 30d: 117-88-5 (+17.6u)
Over 44-110
1.1u
Sandy
Sandy Plashkes
46d ago
Last 30d: 119-116-3 (+10.0u)
Over 44-110
1.1u
Lines at Lunch
46d ago
Last 30d: 117-88-5 (+17.6u)
Over 43.5-120
1.2u
Sura
Royals Props
46d ago
Last 30d: 57-55-2 (-1.6u)
M.Harrison o49.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Lock & Cash
46d ago
Last 30d: 31-36-0 (+1.0u)
J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer-120
1u
Ryan Sura
46d ago
Last 30d: 88-102-5 (-19.5u)
Over 43.5-120
1.2u
Kyle Murray
47d ago
Last 30d: 67-80-2 (-10.4u)
J.Conner u65.5 Rush Yds-110
1.1u
J.Dobbins u15.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Brian Condon
47d ago
Last 30d: 51-36-3 (+21.4u)
ARI +2.5-118
0.85u
Chargers are overrated imo
Billy Ward
47d ago
Last 30d: 16-32-1 (-8.5u)
Under 44-108
1u
Grant Neiffer
48d ago
Last 30d: 48-44-4 (+4.1u)
J.Herbert o196.5 Pass Yds-114
1u
Babs .
51d ago
Last 30d: 95-83-2 (+6.9u)
LAC -2.5-106
1u
Tailing Randy McKay
PRO Insights
Chargers
LAC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 19.0% when defending on 3rd and long this season -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Cardinals have a third down conversion rate of 12.0% on 3rd and long this season -- T-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Cardinals
ARI Insights
- Featured InsightCardinals TEs have 36 receptions in 6 games (6.0 per game) this season -- T-5th-best in NFL; the Chargers have allowed 6.4 receptions per game to TEs this season -- 2nd-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Chargers vs. Cardinals Previews & Analysis
Chargers vs. Cardinals Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Chargers vs. Cardinals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cardinals are 4-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cardinals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cardinals' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Cardinals vs. Chargers Injury Updates
Cardinals Injuries
- Jalen ThompsonS
Thompson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Joey BlountS
Blount is questionable with hip
Questionable
- Darius RobinsonDE
Robinson is questionable with calf
Questionable
- Max MeltonDB
Melton is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Xavier ThomasDE
Thomas is questionable with back
Questionable
Chargers Injuries
- Bud DupreeOLB
Dupree is questionable with foot
Questionable
- Denzel PerrymanLB
Perryman is out with groin
Out
- Hayden HurstTE
Hurst is out with hip
Out
- J.K. DobbinsRB
Dobbins is out with knee
Out
- Alohi GilmanS
Gilman is out with hamstring
Out
- Deane LeonardDB
Leonard is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
- Daiyan HenleyLB
Henley is questionable with calf
Questionable
- Ladd McConkeyWR
McConkey is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Cam HartCB
Hart is out with ankle
Out
- Brenden RiceWR
Rice is out with shoulder
Out
Team Stats
Chargers vs. Cardinals Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Chargers at Cardinals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Chargers 8-4 | o22.5-118 | u22.5-102 |
Cardinals 6-6 | o21.5-115 | u21.5-105 |