Lions vs Commanders Odds & Live Scores - November 9, 2025

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Lions 5-3	+1.5	-8-110	o49-110	-450
Commanders 3-6	u49.5	+8-110	u49-110	+340

J.Croskey-Merritt u35.5 Rush Yds-125

1u

WAS +8.5-108

3u

WAS +8.5-108

0.27u

I.TeSlaa o0.5 Recs-130

2u

J.Williams 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+375

0.1u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-10-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday-nov-9

J.Williams 100+ Receiving Yards Yes+750

0.1u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-10-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday-nov-9

J.Williams 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+170

0.25u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-10-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday-nov-9

J.Williams o44.5 Rec Yds-110

0.55u

Jameson Williams over 44.5 rec yds (-110 B365) Jameson Williams longest reception over 21.5 yds -122 at FD or over 22.5 -110 at DK In my explosive play projections, the Lions project as the No. 1 team of the weekend in explosive pass rate. That immediately makes me think of Williams who is one of the most explosive players, but has had a run of underperformance which may be inflating his odds here. Williams has a great coverage matchup against the Commanders, where he projects to be around 10% more efficient against the coverages the Commanders tend to use. Additionally, the Commanders are without top CB Marshon Lattimore who tore his ACL last week against Seattle. If there was ever a week for Jamo to get back in form, it’s this week against a Commanders defense that ranks dead last in explosive pass rate allowed. Note: For longest reception, over 22.5 yds -110 at DK is technically better than over 21.5 -122 at FD since the price matters more than the yard, but it's fine to choose either one. I'm also going to be laddering Williams, so be sure to see the Predictive Analytics best bets piece that comes out Saturday evening for how I'm approaching that.

J.Williams o22.5 Longest Reception-110

0.55u

Jameson Williams over 44.5 rec yds (-110 B365) Jameson Williams longest reception over 21.5 yds -122 at FD or over 22.5 -110 at DK In my explosive play projections, the Lions project as the No. 1 team of the weekend in explosive pass rate. That immediately makes me think of Williams who is one of the most explosive players, but has had a run of underperformance which may be inflating his odds here. Williams has a great coverage matchup against the Commanders, where he projects to be around 10% more efficient against the coverages the Commanders tend to use. Additionally, the Commanders are without top CB Marshon Lattimore who tore his ACL last week against Seattle. If there was ever a week for Jamo to get back in form, it’s this week against a Commanders defense that ranks dead last in explosive pass rate allowed. Note: For longest reception, over 22.5 yds -110 at DK is technically better than over 21.5 -122 at FD since the price matters more than the yard, but it's fine to choose either one. I'm also going to be laddering Williams, so be sure to see the Predictive Analytics best bets piece that comes out Saturday evening for how I'm approaching that.

DET -8-110

1.1u

M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/EvaZ2p3F6Xb

I.TeSlaa Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/EvaZ2p3F6Xb

J.Croskey-Merritt o40.5 Rush Yds-125

1.25u

D.Montgomery o45.5 Rush Yds-135

1.35u

J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.67u

Favorite ATD @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/25SlQ7HP4Xb

WAS +8.5-105

1u

@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/25SlQ7HP4Xb

WAS +8.5-105

1.05u

@Stuckey2 1 https://myaction.app/PhqO8ouP4Xb

J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180

1u

Squeaky. WAS pass D bad enough to offset DET OL injuries

WAS +8.5-110

0.5u

DET -3.5+100

2u

DET -3-120

1u

WAS +7.5-135

1.5u

Mistake, don't add

DET -3-115

2u

WEEK 10 LOOKAHEAD If this pick looks familiar, it should — it's almost identical to the angle we played on last week's Lookahead. That was Seahawks -2.5 at Washington, and sure enough, that line flipped all the way past the key number to -3.5, giving us some juicy Sunday night CLV. But if Seattle is -3.5 at Washington, how in the world are the Lions -3? I've been as high as anyone on Seattle, but pricing them ahead of Detroit is pretty aggressive. I'm happy to keep fading Washington. WR Terry McLaurin is hurt again and probably won't play in this one, and stud LT Laremy Tunsil is dealing with a hamstring injury. It looks like QB Jayden Daniels will play this week, but who knows how healthy Daniels will be? We've already seen him re-injured once this season, trying to return. If Daniels looks subpar, or if Washington loses Sunday night in front of a national audience, this team will appear to be in free fall on a four-game losing streak, and there's no way this line stays at -3. Besides, this is a game HC Dan Campbell and the Lions have been waiting for all year. Do you remember the last time these two teams played? Campbell does. It was 45-31 Washington in the playoffs, and it was a humiliating early playoff exit for the NFC 1-seed. Campbell is old school, and he loves his revenge spots. Remember when the Lions lost 20-19 to the Cowboys in December 2023 when OL Dan Skipper caught a two-point conversion that was erroneously ruled out? Campbell and the Lions remember. They played Dallas the following season and pummeled the Cowboys, 47-9, in Dallas. I promise you, Campbell and the Lions have been waiting on this one. Play Lions -3 (DraftKings) while it's still there.

DET -3-115

1u

@wheatonbrando Week 10 Lookahead https://myaction.app/o8f8S6B7UXb

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

No props found

NFL Public Betting

Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Commanders are 1-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Commanders' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	3-6	2-2	1-4	2-1	1-5
Lions	5-3	3-1	2-2	4-1	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Commanders	4-4-1	2-1-1	2-3	1-1-1	3-3
Lions	4-4	2-2	2-2	3-2	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	3-6	N/A	N/A	2-1	1-5
Lions	5-3	N/A	N/A	4-1	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 3rd	SEA	L 14-38	+2.5 L	O 47.5	SEA +125
Oct 28th	@KC	L 7-28	+10.5 L	U 48	KC +430
Oct 19th	@DAL	L 22-44	+1.5 L	O 55.5	DAL +105
Oct 14th	CHI	L 24-25	-5.5 L	U 49	CHI -265
Oct 5th	@LAC	W 27-10	+3 W	U 48.5	WAS +140

Chris Hubbard
OL
Hubbard is questionable with knee
Questionable

Jamarco Jones
T
Jones is out with ankle
Out
Shane Zylstra
TE
Zylstra is out with ankle
Out
Trevor Nowaske
LB
Nowaske is out with elbow
Out
Sione Vaki
RB
Vaki is out with hamstring
Out

Noah Brown
WR
Brown is out with groin
Out
Austin Ekeler
RB
Ekeler is out with achilles
Out
Terry McLaurin
WR
McLaurin is out with quad
Out
Jayden Daniels
QB
Daniels is out with elbow
Out
Luke McCaffrey
WR
McCaffrey is out with collarbone
Out

See more NFL Injuries

passing yards
Jayden Daniels
1184
pyds
passing touchdowns
Jayden Daniels
8
ptd
rushing yards
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
440
ryds
rushing touchdowns
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
4
rtd

	Starter	2ND	3RD	4TH
QB	Jayden Daniels	Marcus Mariota	Josh Johnson	Sam Hartman
RB	Austin Ekeler	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	Chris Rodriguez	Jeremy McNichols
WR	Deebo Samuel	Jaylin Lane	Jacoby Jones
TE	Zach Ertz	John Bates	Ben Sinnott	Colson Yankoff	Lawrence Cager
LT	Laremy Tunsil	Trent Scott
LG	Brandon Coleman	Chris Paul
C	Tyler Biadasz	Michael Deiter
RG	Sam Cosmi	Nick Allegretti	Timothy McKay
RT	Andrew Wylie	Josh Conerly	George Fant
LDE	Dorance Armstrong	Javontae Jean-Baptiste	Jalyn Holmes
RDE	Von Miller	Deatrich Wise	Jacob Martin	T.J. Maguranyanga
WLB	Frankie Luvu	Nick Bellore
MLB	Bobby Wagner	Jordan Magee	Kain Medrano	Ale Kaho
LCB	Trey Amos	Jonathan Jones	Car'lin Vigers
SS	Will Harris	Percy Butler	Tyler Owens	Daryl Worley
FS	Quan Martin	Jeremy Reaves	Robert McDaniel
RCB	Marshon Lattimore	Antonio Hamilton
P	Tress Way
H	Tress Way
PR	Jaylin Lane
KR	Austin Ekeler	Luke McCaffrey
LS	Tyler Ott
DT	Javon Kinlaw	Jer'Zhan Newton
LWR	Terry McLaurin	Chris Moore	Ja'Corey Brooks
K	Matt Gay
NT	Daron Payne	Eddie Goldman	Sheldon Day	Ricky Barber
NB	Mike Sainristil	Noah Igbinoghene
RWR	Noah Brown	Luke McCaffrey

Total

Passing

1805

YDS

1706

178/241

Comps/Atts

161/256

7.959

YPA

7.121

18/3

TDs/INTs

12/6

18/113

Sacks/Yards

24/117

Lions

Rushing

Commanders

1001

Rush Yards

1259

227

Attempts

248

4.41

YPC

5.077

11

TDs

11

Lions

Turnovers

Commanders

Fumbles Lost

3

Interceptions

6

Lions

Efficiency

Commanders

22/32 68.75%

Redzone

17/22 77.27%

37/102 0%

3rd Down

40/101 0%

11/16 0%

4th Down

6/13 0%

Lions

First Downs

Commanders

154

Total

169

95

Pass

81

51

Rush

66

8

Penalty

22

Lions

Misc

Commanders

/

Penalties/Yards

/

Possession

Lions vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - November 9, 2025

Lions at Commanders

Detroit Lions

Washington Commanders

Lions at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Lions vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

Lions vs. Commanders: Can Washington Cover in Week 10?

NFL Player Props: 8 Picks for Sunday's Slate

4 Data-Driven Picks for NFL Week 10

Koerner & Raybon's Week 10 Spreads & Totals

Lions vs. Commanders Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Lions vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Lions

Public

Commanders

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Lions vs. Commanders Injury Updates

Lions Injuries

Commanders Injuries

Lions vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

Lions at Commanders Team Totals