Falcons vs. Lions Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2023

Falcons at Lions

5:00 pm • FOX

Atlanta Falcons

4-3

6 - 20

Detroit Lions

5-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons 4-3	+3.5-111	o47.5-110	+134
Lions 5-1	-3.5-109	u47.5-110	-158

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 24, 2023

Ford FieldDetroit

J.Gibbs o3.5 Recs-155

0.6u

ATL +550 (Live)

0.5u

Feeling some comebacks today

D.Ridder o15.5 Rush Yds-110

Toooooooken

K.Pitts Anytime TD Scorer+280

0.35u

FanDuel 12:31.

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer+111

@charliedisturco

J.Gibbs Anytime TD Scorer-135

T.Allgeier Anytime TD Scorer+135

ATL +3.5-115

0.58u

ATL +3-102

Over 47-110

DET -3-110

0.91u

PointsBet

ATL +3.5-107

1.07u

One of our grader choices, but couldn’t ignore the hook.

ATL +3-105

3.15u

DET -3-115

S.LaPorta o3.5 Recs-120

0.33u

S.LaPorta o3.5 Recs-120

0.5u

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer+111

0.25u

S.LaPorta o3.5 Recs-113

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-bet-sam-laporta-cj-mosley-sunday-week-3

J.Gibbs o3.5 Recs-128

DET -3.5-110

0.91u

B.Robinson o94.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114

1.14u

J.Gibbs o75.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114

ATL +3-105

1.05u

ATL +3.5-114

1.14u

Over 46.5-107

B.Robinson o22.5 Rec Yds-120

0.83u

DET -3-115

ATL +3.5-125

$62.50

D.London u49.5 Rec Yds-115

J.Gibbs o6.5 Recs+1125

0.15u

Jahmyr escalator SZN https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-betting-preview-week-3

J.Gibbs o5.5 Recs+525

0.25u

Jahmyr escalator SZN https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-betting-preview-week-3

J.Gibbs o4.5 Recs+240

0.6u

Jahmyr escalator SZN https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-betting-preview-week-3

T.Allgeier Anytime TD Scorer+200

0.5u

Bet at Bet365. Given out on TAN Best Bets Podcast on 09/21. Like and subscribe. https://myaction.app/XPiewwymjDb

ATL +3.5-110

1.1u

Raybon 1

ATL +3.5-115

ATL +3.5-110

Under 46-110

0.91u

No brainer bet for me

ATL +3.5-110

1.1u

Over 45.5-115

Available at FanDuel. Neither of these defenses is good, and now the Lions won't have CJ Gardner-Johnson for this one. Sure, the Falcons are super run-heavy, and that chews clock, but they are merely below-average in pace rather than a true bottom-dweller. I think the Lions, specifically, will be able to move the ball very effectively in this spot, so seeing the total dip two points from the lookahead (and one point overnight) was confusing. My model puts this total at 49.5, so I'll happily take the over and root for some offense for once.

ATL +4.5-110

0.5u

ATL +4.5-110

1.1u

ATL +5-110

0.55u

Superbook

ATL +5-110

0.25u

Week 3 Hot Read Grab if you didn't tail the bonus Lookahead on Sunday morning. Last +5 at rivers. Lions huge injury list should shorten line, and Falcons are just as good and should run on them.

ATL +205

Bonus Week 3 Lookahead! Just think Atlanta is better and built to run all over this Detroit D. I like ATL to win wk2, and DET is overvalued right now after lucky KC win.

Featured Insight
The Lions have scored 13.2 points per game in the first half since the 2022 season -- ninth-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 14.1 PPG during the first half since the 2022 season -- second-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Falcons have scored 19.0 points per game in the red zone since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- eighth-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 18.8 PPG in the red zone since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- eighth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Lions are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Lions are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lions are 3-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Lions' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Lions' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lions	5-1	2-1	3-0	4-1	1-0
Falcons	3-4	1-4	2-0	2-3	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lions	3-3	1-2	2-1	2-3	1-0
Falcons	3-4	2-3	1-1	3-2	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lions	5-1	N/A	N/A	4-1	1-0
Falcons	4-3	N/A	N/A	3-2	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	SEA	L 31-37	-4.5 L	O 47.5	SEA -220
Sep 8th	@KC	W 21-20	+4 W	U 52.5	DET +175
Aug 26th	@CAR	W 26-17	+4.5 W	O 37	DET +164
Aug 19th	JAC	L 7-25	+2.5 L	U 37.5	JAC +125
Aug 11th	NYG	W 21-16	+1 W	O 35.5	DET -105

Christian Mahogany
OL
Mahogany is out with illness
Out

Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Falcons

Total

Lions

183

Total Yards

358

Total Plays

2.8

Yards Per Play

5.6

Falcons

Passing

Lions

201

YDS

243

21/38

Comps/Atts

22/33

3.089

YPA

7.364

0/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

7/62

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Falcons

Rushing

Lions

Rush Yards

115

Attempts

2.2

YPC

3.71

TDs

Falcons

Turnovers

Lions

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Falcons

Efficiency

Lions

0/1 0%

Redzone

1/4 25%

4/14 0%

3rd Down

4/14 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Falcons

First Downs

Lions

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Falcons

Misc

Lions

4/24

Penalties/Yards

10/119

27:03

Possession

32:57

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MatchupOverUnder
Falcons 4-3	o22.5-110	u22.5-110
Lions 5-1	o25-116	u25-108

Falcons vs. Lions Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2023

Falcons at Lions

Atlanta Falcons

Detroit Lions

Falcons at Lions Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Falcons

Lions

Falcons vs. Lions Previews & Analysis

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PropBetGuy's 2 Favorite NFL Player Props for Sunday

Falcons vs. Lions: Atlanta Is Wildly Undervalued

Falcons vs. Lions Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Falcons vs. Lions Public Betting Percentages

Falcons

Public

Lions

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Lions vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Lions Injuries

Falcons Injuries

Falcons vs. Lions Odds Comparison

Falcons at Lions Team Totals