Vikings vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - November 24, 2024
Vikings at Bears
6:00 pm • FOXVikings at Bears Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Vikings 11-2 | +3.5 | -3-105 | o39.5-112 | -162 |
Bears 4-9 | u45 | +3-115 | u39.5-108 | +136 |
Sunday 6:00 p.m.
November 24, 2024Soldier FieldChicago
Vikings vs. Bears Expert Picks
JB Bets
17d ago
Last 30d: 40-16-0 (+18.3u)
A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+130
1.3u
VIP winner, use code BLACKFRIDAY FOR 1 MONTH OF VIP FOR ONLY $5! Links are in my bio
Kyle Just Bets
17d ago
Last 30d: 24-17-1 (+6.2u)
A.Jones o59.5 Rush Yds (Live)-115
0.87u
Matthew Freedman
17d ago
Last 30d: 2-2-1 (-0.2u)
MIN -3-105
1.05u
Prob: -3.5
Picks Office
17d ago
Last 30d: 109-99-5 (+2.0u)
CHI +3-105
1u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Minnesota's strong record and efficient Sam Darnold face a tough test against Chicago’s home-field edge and rookie Caleb Williams’ dual-threat ability. The Bears’ struggles mask their competitiveness, with DJ Moore as a key weapon. Williams’ mobility counters Minnesota’s pass rush, while Chicago’s defense can pressure Darnold. Tight divisional matchups and urgency favor taking the points with Chicago.
Prop Hunter
17d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-0 (+7.5u)
D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250
1.25u
A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
0.58u
The Degenerates
17d ago
Last 30d: 90-78-5 (+6.4u)
CHI u17.5 Team Total-115
1.15u
Shady Biev
17d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
A.Jones First Touchdown Scorer Yes+600
0.5u
Lock & Cash
17d ago
Last 30d: 32-38-0 (-0.5u)
CHI +3.5-110
1.36u
Sir Lockselot
17d ago
Last 30d: 43-58-0 (+24.8u)
CHI +152
2u
ProphetX Line
🔑 Bears ML +152 (ProphetX) 2u
We are following the money here. Big money and sharp money on in Chicago. They are at home and this feels like a perfect spot for them to upset the Vikings. I’m still not sold on Darnold, they have not looked dominant by any means for about a month. Give me this value all day
As usual, ProphetX has the best line by far. Worth a look if you want to max your value!
https://www.prophetx.co/register?refer=SirLockselot¤cy=point
YBK Picks.com
17d ago
Last 30d: 40-40-2 (-8.0u)
CHI +3-105
2u
Convince Me
17d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-1 (-1.6u)
Under 39.5-110
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
C.Williams o4.5 Rush Att-125
0.8u
@ChrisRaybon
Simon Hunter
17d ago
Last 30d: 21-22-2 (-3.4u)
Under 39.5-108
1u
PvB Bets
17d ago
Last 30d: 21-17-1 (+2.0u)
D.Moore o4.5 Recs-125
0.8u
Breakdown:
Under the new offensive approach led by OC Thomas Brown, the Bears are clearly prioritizing a quick passing game to protect rookie QB Caleb Williams. The changes were evident last week, as they drastically shifted their passing philosophy to a low aDOT (average depth of target) approach, allowing Caleb to operate efficiently while limiting mistakes.
**Quarterback Impact:**
On the season, Caleb has a 8.3 aDOT and a 61.8% completion rate. However, under Brown's system last week, these metrics changed to a 6.7 aDOT and a 74.2% completion rate, with no turnover-worthy throws. The plan to use quick, rhythm-based throws worked exceptionally well, and there's every reason to expect a similar approach against Minnesota.
**D.J. Moore’s Role:**
Moore thrived in the revamped scheme last week, even with a minimal 0.9 aDOT. He posted a perfect 100% catch rate and made the most of his opportunities after the catch. While this was a stark departure from his season-long metrics (8.6 aDOT, 67.1% catch rate), it showcased his ability to adapt and excel in a YAC-heavy role. His short-area efficiency and ability to generate yardage on screens and slants make him the focal point of this type of game plan.
**Matchup Analysis:**
Minnesota's defense is the perfect target for this strategy. The Vikings blitz at the highest rate in the league (37.7%), which opens up opportunities for quick, hot-read throws to Moore. The Vikings' secondary has struggled to consistently contain opposing WR1s, particularly when the blitz fails to get home.
Andrew A
17d ago
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-4.6u)
MIN -175
1u
Babs .
17d ago
Last 30d: 92-73-3 (+14.7u)
K.Allen u40.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
tailing sharp
💰🦡 Jake
17d ago
Last 30d: 76-87-1 (-22.9u)
Under 39.5-112
1.68u
Mjaybrod
17d ago
Last 30d: 148-127-1 (+16.7u)
S.Darnold u19.5 Pass Comp-110
1u
This is my way of backing the Bears today
Moneyline Hacks
17d ago
Last 30d: 54-51-0 (-3.0u)
D.Moore o0.5 Rush Yds+185
1.85u
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Royals Props
17d ago
Last 30d: 58-58-2 (-5.1u)
T.Edwards o7.5 Tackles + Ast-125
1u
Shady Biev
17d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130
1.95u
Chris Gimino
18d ago
Last 30d: 6-2-0 (+5.6u)
D.Swift u55.5 Rush Yds-110
0.91u
R.Odunze o3.5 Recs-118
0.85u
C.Williams o4.5 Rush Att-125
0.8u
T.Hockenson o35.5 Rec Yds-114
0.88u
Kyle Murray
18d ago
Last 30d: 59-74-2 (-9.4u)
D.Swift u59.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Gilles Gallant
18d ago
Last 30d: 30-69-1 (-4.0u)
T.Hockenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350
0.3u
#Tailing @nick_giffen
Nick Giffen
18d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
T.Hockenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350
0.5u
C.Santos u1.5 Extra Points Made-125
1u
Markus Markets
18d ago
Last 30d: 80-97-3 (+24.0u)
D.Swift u54.5 Rush Yds-110
0.91u
Bet365
Nick Giffen
18d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
D.Swift u54.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
C.Williams u4.5 Rush Att+125
1u
ESPN also has
Sean Koerner
18d ago
Last 30d: 22-24-0 (-6.8u)
C.Kmet o2.5 Recs-106
1u
Parlay Express
18d ago
Last 30d: 26-201-1 (+10.3u)
D.Moore 7+ Receptions Yes+375
1.88u
Via @wheatonbrando as escalator that starts with the standard o4.5 rec
myaction.app https://myaction.app/vTDh6MJvLOb
D.Moore 8+ Receptions Yes+750
0.25u
Via @wheatonbrando as escalator that starts with the standard o4.5 rec
myaction.app https://myaction.app/vTDh6MJvLOb
D.Moore 9+ Receptions Yes+1300
0.25u
Via @wheatonbrando as escalator that starts with the standard o4.5 rec
myaction.app https://myaction.app/vTDh6MJvLOb
Chris Raybon
18d ago
Last 30d: 17-11-0 (+4.7u)
C.Williams o4.5 Rush Att-125
0.8u
5+ car in 6-of-10. Saw uptick in designed runs under new OC. Scramble rate peaks vs blitz & MIN D #1 in blitz rate.
Nick Giffen
19d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
MIN -3.5+100
1u
Gilles Gallant
19d ago
Last 30d: 30-69-1 (-4.0u)
C.Williams o0.5 Int+105
0.5u
NFL Week 12 QB INT PICKS. Article coming shortly.
Brandon Anderson
19d ago
Last 30d: 35-67-0 (-3.3u)
D.Moore 9+ Receptions Yes+1300
0.25u
TAN pod / best bets propalooza escalator alllll the way to the top
D.Moore 8+ Receptions Yes+750
0.25u
TAN pod / best bets propalooza escalator
D.Moore o4.5 Recs+100
1.25u
TAN pod / best bets propalooza
D.Moore 7+ Receptions Yes+375
1.88u
TAN pod / best bets propalooza escalator
Grant Neiffer
19d ago
Last 30d: 46-40-4 (+2.9u)
S.Darnold o29.5 Pass Att+104
1.04u
Brandon Anderson
19d ago
Last 30d: 35-67-0 (-3.3u)
MIN +130 (1Q)
1u
TAN pod / best bets, 3-way ML
MIN -6.5 (1Q)+350
0.3u
TAN pod / best bets, escalator
Charlie Wright
19d ago
Last 30d: 13-17-0 (-2.7u)
D.Swift u59.5 Rush Yds-117
1u
In the first game under new offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, carries were split fairly evenly between Swift and Roschon Johnson. Swift's 14 attempts were his fewest since Week 3. Johnson's 10 carries tied a season high. He had totaled 11 carries in his 4 previous games. Both backs benefited from Chicago running a silly 68 plays in Week 11. We shouldn't anticipate that type of volume again.
Minnesota has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game. They've held running backs to the 3rd-fewest yards per carry. Notably, the Vikings are tied for the 2nd-lowest explosive run rate (runs of 15+ yards). Swift is generally inefficient on the ground, but he excels at breaking off big plays. He ran for 71 yards on 14 carries in Week 11, and more than half of those yards came on one play. If he can't bust a long run, he's in trouble. Add in the competition from Johnson, and it's a tough spot.
Grant Neiffer
21d ago
Last 30d: 46-40-4 (+2.9u)
C.Williams o203.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
Sandy Plashkes
22d ago
Last 30d: 108-110-4 (+5.3u)
CHI +3+100
1u
Vikings vs. Bears Previews & Analysis
Vikings vs. Bears Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Vikings vs. Bears Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Bears are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Bears are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Bears are 2-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Bears vs. Vikings Injury Updates
Bears Injuries
- Tarvarius MooreS
Moore is questionable with concussion
Questionable
- Ryan BatesOL
Bates is out with concussion
Out
- Darrynton EvansRB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
- Elijah HicksDB
Hicks is out with ankle
Out
- Roschon JohnsonRB
Johnson is questionable with concussion
Questionable
- Kiran AmegadjieOL
Amegadjie is questionable with calf
Questionable
Vikings Injuries
- Andrew DePaolaLS
DePaola is questionable with hand
Questionable
- Stephon GilmoreCB
Gilmore is out with hamstring
Out
- Cam RobinsonT
Robinson is questionable with foot
Questionable
- Harrison PhillipsDE
Phillips is questionable with back
Questionable
- Andrew Van GinkelOLB
Van Ginkel is questionable with thigh
Questionable
- Dalton RisnerG
Risner is questionable with back
Questionable
- Pat JonesOLB
Jones is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Will ReichardK
Reichard is questionable with quad
Questionable
- Gabriel MurphyOLB
Murphy is out with knee
Out
- Taki TaimaniDE
Taimani is out with ankle
Out
Team Stats
Vikings vs. Bears Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Vikings at Bears Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Vikings 11-2 | o20.5-118 | u20.5-102 |
Bears 4-9 | o17.5-112 | u17.5-108 |