2024 Super Bowl Cross-Sport Props: 12 Bets Across 9 Sports
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There are countless ways in which you can bet Super Bowl 58 between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs. One of the more unique ways is in the 2024 Super Bowl cross-sport props market.
That's right, you can bet outcomes in Sunday's game against events happening elsewhere in the sports world.
It's a daunting task trying to identify how you want to bet, say, George Kittle's receiving yards against fellow Iowan Caitlin Clark in her women's basketball game on Sunday. But don't worry, we've got you covered.
Our betting analysts have scoured the market to find the best value in the cross-sports world and have identified their favorite bets of this type.
Below, you'll find our best cross-sport prop bets for Super Bowl 58 between the 49ers and Chiefs.
2024 Super Bowl Cross-Sport Props: 12 Bets Across 9 Sports
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UFC
Andre Fili-Dan Ige Total Rounds vs. Isiah Pacheco Receptions (-0.5)
When is the non-Super Bowl event? UFC Fight Night is Saturday, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+
Billy Ward: The relevant prop lines (depending on the sportsbook) are pretty close to identical. Andre Fili vs. Dan Ige is -165 to go the distance (which would be three rounds), while Pacheco is -166 to record over 2.5 receptions.
However, that doesn’t mean there’s no value on this prop. The absolute maximum rounds that the Fili/Ige fight could go is three, since it’s not a title fight. Pacheco could see a theoretically unlimited number of catches, and has at least four in five of his last seven games.
Our projections have Pacheco just past three as a median number, so there’s a significant chance he wins this by default. On top of that, a round that starts but doesn’t finish in the featherweight co-main event doesn’t count, so there’s more downside on that side of the line as well.
Pick: Isiah Pacheco Receptions -0.5 (-115 at Caesars)
Jack Hermansson-Jack Pyfer Total Rounds (-0.5) vs. Jake Moody Total Field Goals
When is the non-Super Bowl event? UFC Fight Night is Saturday, Feb. 10, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+
Billy Ward: Jake Moody has been one of the least-productive kickers in the NFL this season, ranking 27th in field goals made in the regular season despite playing for a high-powered offense. He also ranks 20th in accuracy, which has the double-whammy of making less field goals and getting less opportunity as the 49ers' trust in him wanes.
We have him projected for 1.5 made field goals, which implies a roughly even chance of finishing with either one or two (and a smaller, but non-zero chance of none, or at least three.)
The UFC main event on Saturday is roughly even money to start round 3 at -105 — which would beat all of the scenarios where Moody kicks one or fewer — and has a 40% chance to start Round 4 based on the odds.
This would be a tough call in a three-round fight, but since it’s the main event and scheduled for five, there’s way more upside on the fight than there is from Moody.
Pick: Hermansson-Pyfer Total Rounds -0.5 (-105 at Caesars)
Jordan Spieth Round 4 Birdies vs. Total Field Goals
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Round 4 of the Waste Management Phoenix Open is expected to tee off on Sunday morning, weather pending.
Collin Wilson: Jordan Spieth had a great first round at TPC Scottsdale, firing five birdies in terrible conditions. Even with the hot start, Spieth has been average at best historically in the final round of the WM Phoenix Open.
Over the past four years, Spieth has averaged 2.5 birdies in the fourth round. Spieth only recorded two or three birdies in the final round, similar to the projected number of field goals expected in the Super Bowl. Both kickers are lined at -1.5, with juice dictating Harrison Butker goes for two and Jake Moody goes for one total field goal.
With the odds market dictating that the Super Bowl field goals are projected at 2.5, the historical trend of Spieth averaging 2.5 birdies makes this prop worth a bet at +500 or better.
Pick: Jordan Spieth Birdies/Total Field Goals TIE (+500 at DraftKings)
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Soccer
Bukayo Saka 1+ Goal & Rashee Rice 10+ Receptions Parlay
When is the non-Super Bowl event? West Ham United vs. Arsenal is Sunday at 9 a.m. ET on USA Network
BJ Cunningham: Rashee Rice has the second-highest target share on the Chiefs behind Travis Kelce, and if the 49ers decide to double Kelce, then Rice could be in store for a big game.
Bukayo Saka is everything to the Arsenal offense. He’s leading the team with eight goals and is getting a little over 2.7 shots per 90 minutes, which is the most of any of the regular starters for Arsenal, even though he plays out at right wing.
Arsenal is going to live in West Ham’s final-third in this match just like they did in the previous meeting. Arsenal outshot West Ham 30-5 in a 2-0 defeat, with Saka taking a team-high nine shots in that match. What Saka is so good at is getting opposing fullbacks into 1-v-1 situations and beating them inside to create a shot.
The other good thing is Saka is Arsenal’s penalty taker, so if they have 71 penalty box touches like the previous meeting (most in a Premier League match this season) then there are higher chances that they can draw a penalty, giving Saka an easy chance at a goal.
Saka is +175 for anytime goalscorer and Rashee Rice has a reception line of 6.5, so I think there is a little bit of vale on the price of +1600.
Pick: Bukayo Saka 1+ Goal & Rashee Rice 10+ Receptions Parlay (+1600 at DraftKings)
Caitlin Clark Points + Rebounds + Assists (-4.5) vs. George Kittle Receiving Yards
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Iowa vs. Nebraska is Sunday at 1 p.m. ET on FOX
Jim Turvey: Let's start with the Caitlin Clark side of this equation since that's the side I personally know better. Clark has been absolutely insane this season, averaging 32.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 8.2 assists per game for the Hawkeyes. Somehow those numbers have actually gone up the past month, tallying 33.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 9.6 assists.
However, there's a decent factor here to consider: She is currently just 39 points away from passing Kelsey Plum for the all-time scoring record for NCAA DI women's college basketball. The next game up is a home game, meaning she could set herself up very nicely to break the record at home if they're running away with a win on Sunday (Iowa is 11-1 in the Big Ten right now).
On the other side of this Hawkeye prop is George Kittle. Now, I am not the NFL sharp you will read on our website, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night. And in this case, the Holiday Inn has wifi where I proceeded to download Sean Koerner's prop sheet and see that he's projecting Kittle for right around 52.5 yards receiving.
That would make the line for Caitlin around 57 PRA, a number she has cleared only twice — once back in November against Virginia Tech when she played all 40 minutes, and once against Loyola (IL), an inferior non-conference matchup.
Add in the potential for trying to break the record at home, and this is my favorite cross-sport prop for Super Bowl 58.
Pick: Kittle Receiving Yards +4.5 (-115 at Caesars)
Boo Buie Points (-2) vs. Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Penn State vs. Northwestern is Sunday at 1 p.m. ET on Big Ten Network
Mike Calabrese: Let’s start on the Isiah Pacheco side of this equation. Including postseason play, he’s suited up and taken significant snaps in 17 games this season. In eight of those 17 games, he’s been targeted three times or less, including five one-target performances that resulted in 24 total receiving yards (4.8 ypg).
Pacheco's backfield mate, Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been targeted in eight straight games dating back to the beginning of December for an average of 2.4 targets per contest. This is why I’m skeptical that Pacheco exceeds three targets in this game.
That receiving timeshare out of the backfield is critical because the 49ers have surrendered the seventh-most receptions to running backs this season (5.21 per game).
Now for the Boo Buie projection. The veteran point guard is averaging 23 points per game across his last five and he’s a decidedly better shooter at home than he is on the road. His shooting splits tick up by nearly 10 percentage points from the floor and five from the foul line when he's putting in work at Welsh-Ryan Arena.
Penn State is also on a three-game winning streak and played Northwestern close at home a month ago. If they replicate that performance, I foresee late foul shot attempts for Buie and a scoring performance that lands in the mid-20s.
Pick: Buie Points -2 (-120 at Caesars)
Memphis Tigers Team Total vs. Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards (-110)
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Tulane vs. Memphis is Sunday at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN2
Collin Wilson: Based on pregame projections alone, this number should not be -110 on both sides. Christian McCaffrey sits at 89.5 rushing yards as of this writing, a number much higher than the projected points of 87 for the Memphis Tigers, per KenPom.
Penny Hardaway's team lost to the Green Wave on January 21st, scoring just 79 points on 53% shooting. Per Torvik, pace and game score continue to trend downward for the Tigers. One reason for lower scoring games is the decrease in free throw rate, as Memphis is now 11th in free throw shooting in AAC play.
There is no expectation McCaffrey will not get his yards on the ground against a Kansas City defense that is 27th in defensive rush DVOA. The Chiefs finished dead-last in defensive power success rate, a measurement of opponent rushing attemtps on third and fourth down with a short distance.
Look for CMC to get his yards on the ground, while a lower pace of play and a lack of free throws plague Memphis.
Pick: McCaffrey Rushing Yards (-110 at DraftKings)
Alex Ovechkin Shots on Goal vs. Total Field Goals (pick'em)
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Canucks vs. Capitals is Sunday at 1:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+
Tony Sartori: I think a safe number to assume for field goals made on Sunday is around three. There have been three or more total field goals made in five of San Francisco's past six games and in four of Kansas City's past five. And that is just the floor.
Meanwhile, Alex Ovechkin has recorded three or fewer shots on goal in nine of his past 13 games at the time of writing (Thursday afternoon). Vancouver is an extremely strong two-way team and ranks in the top half of the league in shots on goal allowed per game.
A ton of Ovechkin's shots also come on the power play, which could be nullified in this matchup considering that the Canucks also rank in the top half of the league in penalty minutes taken per game and penalty kill percentage.
Washington is simply a very poor team, and its offense has been unable to get anything going as it ranks 29th in shots on goal per game. Against a capable Vancouver team that does a good job staying out of the box, I won't be shocked if Ovi finishes with three or fewer shots on goal.
I would take this line up to +100.
Pick: Total Field Goals (+105 at Caesars)
Jimmy Butler Points vs. San Francisco 49ers Total Points (-145)
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Celtics vs. Heat is Sunday at 2 p.m. ET on ABC
Matt Moore: Jimmy Butler has averaged 21.8 points against Boston since 2020. Instead of using some sort of complicated projection system, I looked at what our experts predicted the Niners' score to be. The average was 21.8; the median was 23.
I'd love to play an alt spread of Butler -5.5 vs. the Niners, but based on the Heat's recent improved play and Boston's relative defensive slippage recently (ninth vs. their usual top-three ranking), I'll grab the plus number.
Pick: Butler Points (+115 at DraftKings)
But that's not all!
Nineteen of our 20 experts have the Niners scoring in the 20s. Butler has scored in the 20s in six of his last 11 regular season matchups vs. the Celtics. So I'll throw a quarter unit on this.
Pick: Butler Points/49ers Points TIE (+3000)
Kings-Thunder Total Points vs. Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards (-17.5)
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Kings vs. Thunder is Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass
Matt Moore: I project this game at 234.5. Add the 17.5 and that gets us to 252 flat. Using Sean Koerner's props tool, he gives the over 252.5 a 1.8% edge. That's vs. a flat projection by me at 234.5.
Now, there are some "in the moment" numbers to consider. First, a surprising trend that goes back to last season is that the Kings' defense is absolute dog water at home, but surprisingly good on the road. They rank 10th in defensive rating on the road this season after ranking ninth last season. Don't ask me why they're so bad at home, I know not.
Then there's OKC, which has hit a bit of a wall lately. In the last two weeks, the Thunder are just 13th in offensive rating vs. their full-season No. 4 ranking.
The Niners' defense has consistently been worse in the playoffs than their regular season numbers suggest and the Chiefs' offense has been better since their receivers started, you know, catching the little thing covered in swine leather. Lay the 17.5.
Pick: Mahomes Passing Yards -17.5 (-110 at Circa)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points + Rebounds (-0.5) vs. Patrick Mahomes Passing Attempts
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Kings vs. Thunder is Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass
Joe Dellera: The Super Bowl pits Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs against the 49ers in a game that could be decided in the trenches. The Chiefs run 63.8 offensive plays per game (14th) while the 49ers run 60.7 (26th). The 49ers run the ball at the third-highest frequency in the league (48.18%) and as a result, have generally dominated the time of possession.
Baltimore runs at the highest-frequency and in the AFC Championship game Mahomes threw 39 pass attempts. Mahomes has averaged 36.8 PA this season but is averaging 34.3 in the postseason with games of 41, 23 and 39. His ceiling on the season has been 44 PA while he has had a low of 23 just two games ago against the Bills in the Divisional Round.
Turning to the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has dominated the Kings. In three games against the Kings over the last two seasons, he has averaged 37.7 points and 4.7 rebounds per game with P+R totals of 38, 40 and 49. SGA is averaging 36.7 P+R on the season but his upside in this game is more significant than Mahomes’. The Kings have the 18th ranked Adjusted Defense in the league while playing at the 11th-Fastest Pace, per Dunks and Threes.
Considering the Thunder play at the 10th-Fastest Pace and this game sets up for a significant bump in scoring. Considering Mahomes’ Pass Attempts prop has moved down from 37.5 to 36.5 and SGA’s dominance against the Kings, I’m comfortable backing the P+R in a game with a favorable game script.
Pick: Gilgeous-Alexander Points + Rebounds -0.5 (-115 at Caesars)
Josh Giddey Points vs. Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
When is the non-Super Bowl event? Kings vs. Thunder is Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass
Bryan Fonseca: I've liked Brock Purdy over 12.5 rushing yards since the prop was listed, and Josh Giddey is only averaging 11.6 points for the season.
Purdy has rushed for 14 and 48 yards in two playoff games with four more regular season overs. Giddey has gone over 12.5 points in two of his last 10 games, and while that does include a 24-point outburst, that's been uncharacteristic of his season.
I think there's a better chance Purdy breaks off a few runs out of necessity, and as someone backing the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, I think the 49ers will need him to.
The Thunder will be on the second of a back-to-back home against the Sacramento Kings, but I'd be hard pressed to bank on Giddey going way over, and Purdy has an outside shot to do so.
Pick: Purdy Rushing Yards (-110 at Caesars)
Premier Lacrosse League
California Redwoods Total Points vs. Deebo Samuel Longest Reception (pick'em)
When is the non-Super Bowl event? California Redwoods vs. Boston Cannons is Wednesday at 5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2
Hutton Jackson: The Premier Lacrosse League's offseason tournament begins on Wednesday with a game between the Boston Cannons and California Redwoods — and you can bet whether the Redwoods will score more points than Deebo Samuel's longest reception in the Super Bowl.
We'll start with Samuel. As my colleague Charlie DiSturco noted, Samuel's yards-after-catch numbers are the best among all receivers with at least 20 targets (8.7). Furthermore, Samuel had a reception of at least 20 yards in 10 of 17 games this season with his average longest reception at 24.29 yards and median at 22 yards.
Sean Koerner gives Deebo Samuel a 53.6% (-115) chance for his longest reception to go over 23.5 yards, meaning 24 points should be the mark we're looking at for the Redwoods team total.
An important thing to know about the PLL Championship Series is it is a variation of the Olympic-style of lacrosse called "Sixes" and the total number of goals scored is nearly double a typical PLL game. This is due to the shorter field, elimination of faceoffs and shorter two-point arc. As a result, individual teams scored an average of 23 points per game during the nine-game tournament last season.
Still, the highest number of points a team scored last year was 31—a number we could still see Samuel's longest reception easily pass.
Furthermore, the Cannons allowed the third-fewest 15-yard two-point goals during the 2023 PLL regular season with just 14% of two-point shots leading to goals. Even with the vastly different format and a 13-yard two-point arc for the PLL Championship Series, I expect Cannons starting goalie Colin Kirst to be able to stop a healthy amount of California two-point attempts.
Ultimately, I expect the Redwoods to score around 20 to 23 points and like the odds that Samuel sees a reception longer than that number. Bank on the Redwoods' low ceiling and Samuel's high floor when betting Samuel's longest reception to be higher than the number of points the Redwoods score on February 14.
Pick: Samuel Longest Reception (-115 at Caesars)
NASCAR
Drivers on Lead Lap at Finish of Daytona 500 (-3.5) vs. Longest Quarterback Rush
When is the non-Super Bowl event? The Daytona 500 is Sunday, Feb. 18 at 2:30 p.m. ET on FOX
Nick Giffen: Sean Koerner has the median longest rush for a QB in the Super Bowl at 15.5 yards. Patrick Mahomes' longest rush line is set at around 12.5 and Koerner leans over on that. But in this bet, you also get Brock Purdy, and while Purdy's longest rush prop is only around 7.5 in the market, you get the extra volume there with both quarterback included.
If the median is 15.5, and you get to add 3.5 to that, that puts us at 19 for the quarterback as kind of our median projection for this bet. The last five years at the Daytona 500, the average number of cars on the lead lap at the finish has been 14.8, with a median of 15.
No more than 17 cars have finished the Daytona 500 on the lead lap in each of the last five years. That's relevant because 2019 is kind of when the rules changed and we moved on to the Next Gen car. So I think that's a pretty relevant sample size.
It's Daytona. These guys get crazy at the end because they want to win the Daytona 500. You're driving in a massive pack. One wreck takes out half the field and nobody ends up finishing on the lead lap.
You just get so many wrecks at the end of the Daytona 500 year after year, and it's going to be hard to have more than half the field on the lead lap. And if we get less than half the field on the lead lap, we're probably winning this bet just by taking the quarterback side of things.
Pick: Longest Quarterback Rush +3.5 (-115 at Caesars)
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