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NFL Week 10 saves an AFC North battle for Sunday Night Football, which features the Pittsburgh Steelers against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium. Steelers vs Bengals will broadcast tonight at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
Continue below for my Bengals vs Steelers parlay, which includes player props for Jaylen Warren, Chase Brown and Ja'Marr Chase.
Bengals vs Steelers Parlay
- Jaylen Warren Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
- Chase Brown Over 4.5 Receptions (+108)
- Ja'Marr Chase Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Parlay Odds: +633 (DraftKings)
Odds via DraftKings are subject to change*
Bengals vs Steelers Odds
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 49.5 -105o / -115u | +160 |
| Bengals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 49.5 -105o / -115u | -192 |
- Bengals vs Steelers Spread: Bengals -3.5, Steelers +3.5
- Bengals vs Steelers Total: 49.5
- Bengals vs Steelers Moneyline: Bengals -192, Steelers +160
Bengals vs Steelers Preview
Today's Sunday Night Football features a classic AFC North rivalry between the Steelers and Bengals. Both teams are tied at 6-2 and vying for the division crown. Pittsburgh is fresh off a bye week, and the Bengals are returning from Madrid after a blowout win over the Falcons.
The offensive matchup could not be more disparate, specifically on the ground.
The Steelers' rushing attack is one of the best in football, while the Bengals' is one of the worst. However, the Bengals' passing offense is one of the most prolific, with Joe Burrow the only QB owning multiple 400+ yard passing games.
We will lean into the Steelers' strong rushing attack for the first leg of tonight's parlay. Jaylen Warren's snap share has decreased since Rico Dowdle's return, but the former is still earning a massive touch share. Warren played fewer than 65% of the team's offensive snaps the past two games, yet had 17 rushes in Week 8 and 18 in Week 7.
The Bengals defense is respectable this year — thanks to the addition of star DT Dexter Lawrence — but they're average against the run. The Steelers' talented offensive line gives the rushing attack the fourth-best OL/DL matchup (via FantasyPoints).
Also, the Bengals defense runs the highest light-box rate (57.3%), giving Warren, who is averaging 88 rushing yards per game, a good shot to hit over his 64.5 rushing yards line (-113).
Next, the Bengals will likely continue utilizing their starting RB, Chase Brown, as a receiver. Brown's 3.9 yards per carry this season are a career low, but his 4.9 receptions per game are a career high.
Brown is an explosive back with questionable vision and a weaker play style. He is more of a "dink-and-dunk" player this season, but with no RB addition for the Bengals at the deadline, there should be plenty of opportunities for him in this game.
Pittsburgh plays a heavy amount of zone defense (82.6%), and ranks ninth in two-high safety rate (55.2%). Brown's targets per route are much higher against zone (23%) and two-high (27%) than man (21%) and single-high (20%). Brown to hit over 4.5 receptions (+108) is the second leg of this parlay.
Lastly, Ja'Marr Chase has looked more like himself lately. He has 296 yards combined since Week 8 and could continue his 100-yard streak in November.
The superstar WR, like Chase Brown, is much more productive against zone coverage and two-high safety looks this season. Chase's yards per route against both are above the 2.50 mark, which is typically elite territory.
While the Bengals are favored in this game, it is only by 3.5 points, with a 47.5-point total. Chase should see plenty of work, regardless of game script, to hit over his 89.5 receiving-yard line (-115) as the final leg of tonight's parlay.
The rest of Action Network's Sunday Night Football Coverage:
- Bengals vs. Steelers Best Bets: 4 Picks From Our Staff
- Bengals vs. Steelers Anytime Touchdown Scorers
- SNF Props for Pat Freiermuth, Germie Bernard, Chase Brown
Bengals vs Steelers Same-Game Parlay
- Jaylen Warren Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
- Chase Brown Over 4.5 Receptions (+108)
- Ja'Marr Chase Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Parlay Odds: +633 (DraftKings)
