The Bengals host the rival Steelers tonight on the Week 10 edition of NFL Sunday Night Football on November 15. Kickoff from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio, is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Sunday Night Football will broadcast on NBC.
The Bengals are 3.5-point favorites over the Steelers on the spread (Bengals -3.5), with an over/under of 49.5. The Bengals are -190 favorites on the moneyline and the Steelers are +160 underdogs.
Continue below for our Steelers vs Bengals picks for Sunday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, over/under, and player props.
Steelers vs Bengals Picks, Props
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Steelers vs Bengals Odds
- Steelers vs Bengals Spread: Steelers +3.5, Bengals -3.5
- Steelers vs Bengals Total: 49.5
- Steelers vs Bengals Moneyline: Steelers +160, Bengals -190
For the latest from sportsbooks nationwide, check out VegasInsider's NFL Week 10 Odds & Action Report.
Steelers vs Bengals Spread Prediction
This is bad scheduling spot for the Bengals, who are coming off the NFL Madrid Game. The Steelers, meanwhile, enjoyed their bye in Week 9.
Rivalry history says these teams have split three of the last four years. However, the road team won four of those eight meetings, and six were decided by one score.
The Steelers are live to win outright and getting the hook at +3.5 means they can keep it close and still cover.
The Bengals defense is the weakest of the four units on the field by the numbers, sitting around league average. This is a huge test for them as the Steelers have the best rushing attack in the NFL by DVOA.
Center Zach Frazier is a force and Jaylen Warren, who rushed for 127 yards in the first game, is enjoying a breakout season. Aaron Rodgers also matched Burrow statistically in that game.
The Bengals have been ineffective on the ground all season and absolutely no shot to change that narrative in this game against the No. 1-rated Pittsburgh run defense.
History says to back AFC North underdogs of 3.5 points or less. They are 60-37-4 against the spread (ATS) for a 62% cover rate.
Rodgers as an underdog of more than three points in his career is 20-12 ATS, including 4-1 with Pittsburgh. He is 12-3 ATS as a 3.5- or 4-point underdog. Rodgers is also 11-4-1 ATS after a bye week.
Mike McCarthy is 13-5-1 ATS after a bye week, making him the best coach in the Bet Labs system in this spot.
Pick: Steelers +3.5 (-110)
Steelers vs Bengals Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
The first meeting between the Bengals and Steelers this season produced 57 points. Cincinnati is the top offensive team in the NFL by DVOA, and this time we have a more measured total at 49.5.
There are some key differences this time around, though. Typically, the second yearly meeting between divisional rivals produces fewer points than the former. Primetime unders have also been a somewhat solid trend in recent years, though that’s partially a function of matchups.
Plus, the first Bengals-Steelers game was played in 70-degree weather — this one is outside at night in November. I don’t trust the Steelers offense to push the pace enough for this game to clear 50 points, so I’m taking the under here.
The best line is via PolyMarket, where you can trade under 50.5 at the equivalent of -115 odds. As far as traditional sportsbooks, the best option is under 49.5.
Pick: Under 50.5 at Polymarket | Under 49.5
Pat Freiermuth Player Props
Pat Freiermuth has been consistently undervalued all season long, and this game is no different.
The Bengals were historically bad defending tight ends last season (allowing 16 touchdowns). While they have only allowed one touchdown to TEs this season, they're due for negative regression considering they have allowed the fourth-most receiving yards.
Freiermuth is near the team lead in red-zone targets (six), and he's the Steelers' tush-push option near the goal line, which adds even more value.
I have the true odds here around +250.
Pick: Pat Freiermuth Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+320)
Germie Bernard Player Props
By Grant Neiffer
With the struggles of DK Metcalf this season, Germie Bernard has potentially become the WR1 in this offense.
The rookie out of Alabama has 31 targets over his last four games. Bernard leads the Steelers in red-zone targets (five) over the span, and this isn't a bad spot for him to continue producing against a beatable Bengals defense.
Factor in that the Steelers have been passing at a massive rate in the red zone this season, and I have the true odds here around +220.
Pick: Germie Bernard Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+280)
