Broncos vs Seahawks Picks, Predictions: 3 Best Bets for NFL Monday Night Football
Jane Gershovich/Getty Images. Pictured: Dareke Young (No. 83).
- The Broncos (-6.5) face the Seahawks in the first Monday Night Football game of the season.
- Russell Wilson returns to Seattle to face his former team tonight in his first game with the Broncos.
- Check out how three of our experts are betting this game.
Broncos vs. Seahawks Odds
Charlie DiSturco: Russell Wilson is looking to make a statement on Monday night in his return to Seattle, and I expect this high-powered Broncos receiving corps to dominate against the Seahawks defense.
One player in particular that I’m high on is tight end Albert Okwuegbunam, who has the chance to make a giant third-year leap with Noah Fant now in Seattle. Despite his productivity and improvement as the season progressed, Okwuegbunam never out-snapped Fant.
In the final nine games of 2021, Okwuegbunam hit Monday night’s over prop of 28.5 yards four times. The big 6-foot-5 receiver should be a consistent target for Wilson and see the field on the majority of snaps — assuming this is not a blowout.
Okwuegbunam also has a very favorable matchup against Seattle, one of the worst defenses against tight ends last season. The Seahawks gave up the fourth-most touchdowns and nearly 1,000 yards.
I think this line of 28.5 is way too low for Okwuegbunam, who averaged 10 yards per reception last year. This is a perfect buy-low spot on Albert O., who could very well be getting his receiving yard props in the mid-30s soon enough.
Simon Hunter: I love Seattle in this spot. It’s rare to get a Week 1 home underdog in primetime that as of Sunday morning was getting less than 25% of both the money and the bets. This just shows how much respect the public has for Russell Wilson.
Seattle has historically had one of the best home-field advantages in the NFL. Wilson has never been on the other side of the 12th man. These guys are human. There’s no doubt he’ll be affected by facing that as an opposing player.
Seattle matches up well with Denver on offense. Rashaad Penny, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are all fully healthy to start the season, and I have faith in Geno Smith to manage this offense and keep the game close.
I have this graded as Seahawks +4.5 and would bet them down to that number. I’m glad there are a few Seahawks +7 numbers back on the odds board after this dropped on Sunday.
Stuckey: Neither team showed much in the preseason, which creates added uncertainty. The Broncos also have a new defensive coordinator in Ejiro Evero, who has stated they will run a similar scheme to former head coach Vic Fangio.
It’s reasonable to expect early growing pains for the Broncos offense in front of the 12th man. Per my numbers, this early non-conference matchup in primetime will mark one of the strongest home-field advantages of the season.
I expect both teams will establish the run early while feeling each other out. The Seahawks likely want to play keep away with a significant quarterback disadvantage. Plus, Pete Carroll just has a general propensity for pounding the rock.
Meanwhile, Denver will likely run to set up the pass with favorable matchups on the outside. Therefore, I envision a lower scoring first half, which means the first-half under should warrant consideration.
From a spread perspective, I see value on Seattle +7 since the Denver preseason hype train has gone too far, in my opinion.
Relying on rookies at cornerback against Wilson and tackle against a solid pass rush with Smith under center certainly gives me pause. However, I ultimately trusted my projections and pulled the trigger at the key number of +7. I would not go any lower than that. The line has moved to +6.5 across the board, but as of Monday morning it has moved back to +7 in a few places.
Be sure to check our NFL odds page to monitor where this line has moved back to +7.
Seahawks nation, let’s ride.