The Buffalo Bills take on the Denver Broncos in the NFL Divisional Round on Saturday, Jan. 17. Kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High is set for 4:30 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast live on CBS.
Our player props for this AFC Divisional Round game target RJ Harvey, Dawson Knox and Keon Coleman.
Let's dive into my Bills vs Broncos player props for NFL Divisional Round Saturday.
Bills vs Broncos Player Props
- RJ Harvey Over 48.5 Rushing (-110 at bet365)
- Dawson Knox Over 2.5 Receptions (+140 at FanDuel)
- Keon Coleman Under 1.5 receptions (+140 at BetMGM)
Bills vs Broncos Prop Picks, Preview
RJ Harvey Over 48.5 Rushing (-110)
By Chris Prince
While the results have been a mixed bag of late, the workload has been there for RJ Harvey, and this is an elite spot against a bad Buffalo run defense.
Harvey has operated as the clear lead back for this Broncos offense, rushing the ball at least 14 times in four of his last five games. The Bills just gave up 154 rushing yards to the Jaguars, and they've allowed at least 150 rushing yards in three of their last five games.
On the season, Buffalo has given up 107.6 rushing yards per game to running backs, which is the sixth-highest mark in the NFL.
I'm jumping in early on this one, as I expect this number to move higher as we approach Saturday.
Pick: RJ Harvey Over 48.5 Rushing (-110; bet365)
Dawson Knox Over 2.5 Receptions (+140 at FanDuel)
By Brit Devine
Passing the ball to tight ends is one of the only ways to move the ball against the Broncos, and with teammate Dalton Kincaid constantly dealing with injuries, Knox should be involved rather heavily in the game plan.
The Broncos allowed the sixth-most targets and ninth-most receiving yards to TEs this season. Against RBs, they allowed the third-fewest targets and second-fewest receiving yards. Against WRs, they allowed the second-fewest yards per target. Any reasonable game plan against the Broncos should include plenty of looks to tight ends.
To be clear, the reports suggest that Kincaid's injury isn't too serious, but for a player who has been on the injury report nearly all season, he is likely to be operating at less than 100% come game time, which should elevate Knox's role in the offense.
Pick: Dawson Knox Over 2.5 Receptions (+140; FanDuel)
Keon Coleman Under 1.5 Receptions (+140)
It's been a tough stretch for Keon Coleman.
He air-balled in Week 15 against the Patriots and then was inactive for the next two games. He ran 22 routes in a meaningless Week 18 game, which is a bad sign for his standing on the team.
Coleman ran 15 routes in the Bills' Wild Card win over the Jaguars . Khalil Shakir, Brandin Cooks and Gabe Davis all ran more routes than Coleman, and Tyrell Shavers was right behind him at 14. Coleman earned one target.
All but one of Coleman's routes last week were out wide. That's not the best place to target the Broncos, given their talented corners.
I'd expect the slot receivers, tight ends and running backs to be the focus in this one.
Pick: Keon Coleman Under 1.5 Receptions (+140)
Editor's Note: A parlay of these props is not the author's formal recommendation. These picks have value as straight bets.
Bills vs Broncos Player Prop Bets
- RJ Harvey Over 48.5 Rushing (-110 at bet365)
- Dawson Knox Over 2.5 Receptions (+140 at FanDuel)
- Keon Coleman Under 1.5 receptions (+140 at BetMGM)
