Eagles vs. Vikings Betting Odds & Picks: Trust Kirk Cousins to Exploit Philly?

Eagles vs. Vikings Betting Odds & Picks: Trust Kirk Cousins to Exploit Philly? article feature image

Jeff Hanisch-USA Today Sports. Pictured: Kirk Cousins.

  • Our experts cover every angle of Sunday's Minnesota Vikings (-3) vs. Philadelphia Eagles matchup.
  • Find their analysis of the betting odds below, complete with a staff pick and more.

Eagles at Vikings Betting Odds & Picks

  • Odds: Vikings -3
  • Over/Under: 44
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: FOX

Odds as of Sunday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

After a contentious week among the offense, the Vikings played their best game of the season in a 28-10 win over the Giants. The Eagles, meanwhile, are still coping with a glut of injuries but are thriving on offense and feature one of the league’s top run defenses.

Our experts preview this week’s matchup, complete with a comparison of the market to Sean Koerner’s odds and a staff pick against the spread.

Eagles-Vikings Injury Report

Which team is healthier? Vikings

The Vikings’ player to watch is Adam Thielen, who missed practice on Thursday due to an illness. We’ll have a better idea of his status on Friday, but there aren’t any indications of him being ruled out on Sunday.

The Eagles continue to be banged up. DeSean Jackson (abdomen) is expected to be out again, and they had five other players who missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday including CB Ronald Darby (hamstring), CB Avonte Maddox (concussion) and DT Tim Jernigan (foot). The Vikings could have a nice game through the air if they can establish the pass. Justin Bailey

Note: Info as of Thursday. See our Injury Report for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff.

Biggest Mismatch

Vikings WRs Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs vs. Eagles Secondary

The Eagles cornerback group has been decimated by injuries.

Starters Jalen Mills (foot) is on PUP and Cre’Von LeBlanc (LisFranc) is on IR. Darby (hamstring) and Maddox (concussion) are questionable. The 32-year-old Orlando Scandrick, who went from his couch to Eagles slot corner last week, missed practice with an illness. And Sidney Jones has dealt with recurring hamstring issues, though he’s expected to return alongside Rasul Douglas and Scandrick, assuming he’s available.

If any go down in-game, 2018 undrafted free agent Craig James — already waived once by Philly this season — will be forced into action. Safety Rodney McLeod (knee) has also been limited in practice, so along with the potential for in-game injuries, communication could be an issue for a Philly secondary that has already given up five 100-yard games to opposing wideouts.

Douglas has acquitted himself well, ranking 26th among qualified cornerbacks in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades, but no one else ranks higher than 57th (Jones). Whomever lines up, they’ll struggle to cover the Vikings’ top receivers. Thielen is averaging 79.9 yards per game since the start of 2017, and Diggs has averaged 5.4 catches and 0.53 touchdowns per game over that span.

fantasy-football-half-ppr-rankings-flex-week 6-2019
Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Adam Thielen, Stefon Diggs

The Eagles defense ranks first in rushing yards per game allowed (63.0) and second in yards per carry allowed (3.2), so this matchup sets up well for Vikings offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski will likely have to change up his approach from one which has seen his unit attempt the fewest passes per game in the league through five weeks (25.2). Chris Raybon

Sean Koerner’s Projected Odds

  • Projected Spread: Vikings -3
  • Projected Total: 43.5

The Vikings’ main goal each week is to establish the run. They’ve enabled Dalvin Cook to have a breakout year, which has caused their star wide receivers to complain to the press.

But what does the Eagles defense do best? Stop the run.

Anytime we see a funnel defense that’s set up to stop the opposing offense, it creates hidden value. In this case, there isn’t much value in the pre-game lines as I’m right in line with them, but this sets up a potential in-game betting plan: If the Vikings happen to get an early lead of seven or more points, it’s going to set up a scoring environment that favors the under. If the Eagles get up early, it’ll set up a scoring environment that favors the over. Sean Koerner

Expert Picks

Matthew Freedman: Vikings -3

Under head coach Mike Zimmer (since 2014), the Vikings have had all sorts of against the spread edges.

They have been a profitable regular-season team to back:

  • At home: 29-12-1, 36.6% ROI
  • As favorites: 32-15-1, 31.8% ROI
  • Outside of division: 39-13-1, 45.1% ROI

These trends make sense within the context of who Zimmer is as a coach and what kind of team the Vikings are.

Zimmer is focused, no-nonsense and risk-adverse. His process-oriented, defense-directed management makes the Vikings a disciplined team that doesn’t often make big mistakes.

They don’t waste the natural advantage they have at home. They don’t play down to the level of their underdog opponents. They don’t present a known and easy challenge to teams that aren’t familiar with them.

As non-divisional home favorites, the Vikings are 18-2-1 against the spread (71.9% ROI).

How would you rate this article?