Lions vs. Chiefs Week 1 Odds, Prediction: Expected Value on Spread
David Eulitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.
Lions vs. Chiefs Odds, Prediction
The following are the odds for Lions vs. Chiefs, according to DraftKings. This game will take place on Thursday, Sept. 7 at 8:20 p.m. ET.
|Lions Odds||+7 (-120)|
|Chiefs Odds||-7 (+100)|
|Odds according to DraftKings.|
The Chiefs will open the season with a ring ceremony before facing the upstart Lions.
And minutes after the announcement on Thursday morning, odds were posted at DraftKings for the early September opener. The Chiefs opened as -7 (+100) favorites. The Lions’ spread has -120 vig.
Action Network’s predictive analytics team has developed a fair value spread and moneyline for every game this regular season.
For Lions vs. Chiefs, DraftKings nearly hit the nail on the head. There’s no value on the moneyline, for instance.
While DraftKings slates the Lions as +230 underdogs and the Chiefs at -275 favorites, the fair value line for each should be around +249 and -249.
But there’s still a small edge on the spread.
The fair value line for the Lions’ spread is +6.5 (-110). DraftKings’ line at +7 (-120) gets you through the key number of +7 at a small 10-cent premium.
Our data team has projected this total at 51.6, which hasn’t been posted by any sportsbooks as of Thursday morning.
The Chiefs are expected to win this game 71.4% of the time while the Lions win 28.6% of the time, according to our models.
The algorithms consider all associated quantitative and qualitative metrics heading into the season.
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